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000
FLUS44 KOUN 021002
HWOOUN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
502 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-031015-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
502 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN...NORTHERN...AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.
A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS EXISTS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.

LOCATION...
THE SLIGHT RISK AREA IS NORTH OF AN ALTUS TO LAWTON TO ADA LINE
AND INCLUDES OKLAHOMA CITY...STILLWATER...PONCA CITY...ENID...
WEATHERFORD...AND WOODWARD. THE MARGINAL RISK AREA IS SOUTH OF
THE SLIGHT RISK AREA AND NORTH OF THE RED RIVER.

TIMING...
3 PM TO MIDNIGHT...

IMPACTS...
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH MAY CAUSE FLASH FLOODING...

DISCUSSION...
THIS MORNING...A FEW NON-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR ACROSS
THE AREA...MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. THESE MAY PRODUCE
BRIEF AND LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS AS WELL AS GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40
MPH.

BY THIS AFTERNOON...ISOLATED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO FORM OR MOVE INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA...EITHER NEAR
A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY OR JUST AHEAD OF A MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE.
THESE STORMS WILL GENERALLY MOVE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS. DUE TO MARGINALLY STRONG SHEAR...STORMS MAY ORGANIZE INTO
BOWS...CLUSTERS...AND LINES...WHICH COULD PRODUCE SOME POCKETS OF
DAMAGING WINDS AS THE AIR WILL BE MODERATELY UNSTABLE. LARGE HAIL
MAY BE POSSIBLE AS WELL...THOUGH DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
THE MAIN HAZARD. STORMS WILL WEAKEN AFTER MIDNIGHT DUE TO THE
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING AS THEY AFFECT MAINLY SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTH TEXAS.

.SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS
THE RISK AREAS SHOULD PREPARE FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.HEAT...
HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...WITH HEAT INDICES
APPROACHING THE 100 DEGREE MARK ACROSS PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA
AND NORTH TEXAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA WITH THE HIGHEST STORM CHANCES
EXPECTED FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS
NOT ANTICIPATED. HOWEVER...A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE...PRIMARILY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE PRIMARY
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL MAY RESULT IN FLOODING.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

$$

MBS



000
FLUS44 KOUN 021002
HWOOUN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
502 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-031015-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
502 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN...NORTHERN...AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.
A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS EXISTS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.

LOCATION...
THE SLIGHT RISK AREA IS NORTH OF AN ALTUS TO LAWTON TO ADA LINE
AND INCLUDES OKLAHOMA CITY...STILLWATER...PONCA CITY...ENID...
WEATHERFORD...AND WOODWARD. THE MARGINAL RISK AREA IS SOUTH OF
THE SLIGHT RISK AREA AND NORTH OF THE RED RIVER.

TIMING...
3 PM TO MIDNIGHT...

IMPACTS...
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH MAY CAUSE FLASH FLOODING...

DISCUSSION...
THIS MORNING...A FEW NON-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR ACROSS
THE AREA...MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. THESE MAY PRODUCE
BRIEF AND LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS AS WELL AS GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40
MPH.

BY THIS AFTERNOON...ISOLATED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO FORM OR MOVE INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA...EITHER NEAR
A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY OR JUST AHEAD OF A MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE.
THESE STORMS WILL GENERALLY MOVE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS. DUE TO MARGINALLY STRONG SHEAR...STORMS MAY ORGANIZE INTO
BOWS...CLUSTERS...AND LINES...WHICH COULD PRODUCE SOME POCKETS OF
DAMAGING WINDS AS THE AIR WILL BE MODERATELY UNSTABLE. LARGE HAIL
MAY BE POSSIBLE AS WELL...THOUGH DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
THE MAIN HAZARD. STORMS WILL WEAKEN AFTER MIDNIGHT DUE TO THE
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING AS THEY AFFECT MAINLY SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTH TEXAS.

.SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS
THE RISK AREAS SHOULD PREPARE FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.HEAT...
HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...WITH HEAT INDICES
APPROACHING THE 100 DEGREE MARK ACROSS PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA
AND NORTH TEXAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA WITH THE HIGHEST STORM CHANCES
EXPECTED FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS
NOT ANTICIPATED. HOWEVER...A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE...PRIMARILY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE PRIMARY
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL MAY RESULT IN FLOODING.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

$$

MBS



  [top]

000
FLUS44 KTSA 020958
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
458 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
458 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2015


...SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE TODAY...


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...MID MORNING.

DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG SURFACE HEATING
WILL ALLOW SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
NEAR THE BOUNDARY... WITH THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS
AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL CONTINUE
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE
AREA.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WITH THE CONTINUED THREAT FOR
THUNDERSTORMS... INCLUDING HEAVY RAINFALL... GENERALLY ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR.

LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE A THREAT THROUGH THE WEEKEND...
WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RUNNING AROUND 2 INCHES. THE
FLOODING THREAT WILL BE ENHANCED IN ANY LOCATIONS WHERE
THUNDERSTORMS TRAIN OVER THE SAME AREAS.

A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION ON MONDAY WITH A
BRIEF BREAK IN THE PRECIPITATION CHANCES. HOWEVER... ANOTHER
UPPER SHORT WAVE/FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY... INCREASING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES THROUGH MUCH OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$



000
FLUS44 KTSA 020958
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
458 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
458 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2015


...SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE TODAY...


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...MID MORNING.

DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG SURFACE HEATING
WILL ALLOW SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
NEAR THE BOUNDARY... WITH THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS
AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL CONTINUE
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE
AREA.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WITH THE CONTINUED THREAT FOR
THUNDERSTORMS... INCLUDING HEAVY RAINFALL... GENERALLY ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR.

LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE A THREAT THROUGH THE WEEKEND...
WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RUNNING AROUND 2 INCHES. THE
FLOODING THREAT WILL BE ENHANCED IN ANY LOCATIONS WHERE
THUNDERSTORMS TRAIN OVER THE SAME AREAS.

A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION ON MONDAY WITH A
BRIEF BREAK IN THE PRECIPITATION CHANCES. HOWEVER... ANOTHER
UPPER SHORT WAVE/FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY... INCREASING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES THROUGH MUCH OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$



000
FLUS44 KTSA 020958
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
458 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
458 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2015


...SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE TODAY...


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...MID MORNING.

DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG SURFACE HEATING
WILL ALLOW SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
NEAR THE BOUNDARY... WITH THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS
AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL CONTINUE
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE
AREA.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WITH THE CONTINUED THREAT FOR
THUNDERSTORMS... INCLUDING HEAVY RAINFALL... GENERALLY ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR.

LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE A THREAT THROUGH THE WEEKEND...
WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RUNNING AROUND 2 INCHES. THE
FLOODING THREAT WILL BE ENHANCED IN ANY LOCATIONS WHERE
THUNDERSTORMS TRAIN OVER THE SAME AREAS.

A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION ON MONDAY WITH A
BRIEF BREAK IN THE PRECIPITATION CHANCES. HOWEVER... ANOTHER
UPPER SHORT WAVE/FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY... INCREASING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES THROUGH MUCH OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$



000
FLUS44 KTSA 020958
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
458 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
458 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2015


...SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE TODAY...


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...MID MORNING.

DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG SURFACE HEATING
WILL ALLOW SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
NEAR THE BOUNDARY... WITH THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS
AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL CONTINUE
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE
AREA.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WITH THE CONTINUED THREAT FOR
THUNDERSTORMS... INCLUDING HEAVY RAINFALL... GENERALLY ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR.

LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE A THREAT THROUGH THE WEEKEND...
WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RUNNING AROUND 2 INCHES. THE
FLOODING THREAT WILL BE ENHANCED IN ANY LOCATIONS WHERE
THUNDERSTORMS TRAIN OVER THE SAME AREAS.

A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION ON MONDAY WITH A
BRIEF BREAK IN THE PRECIPITATION CHANCES. HOWEVER... ANOTHER
UPPER SHORT WAVE/FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY... INCREASING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES THROUGH MUCH OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$


  [top]

000
FLUS44 KAMA 020914
HWOAMA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
414 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-022115-
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
414 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING ACROSS THE
PANHANDLES...BUT ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE.
HOWEVER...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...AND SOME STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. HEAVY RAINFALL WITH LOCALIZED
AREAS OF FLOODING OR FLASH FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE PANHANDLES
FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. SOME STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE ON
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH SMALL HAIL...GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN
POSSIBLE. MONDAY NIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY APPEAR THE MOST LIKELY
TIMEFRAME FOR WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...AND WHILE SEVERE
WEATHER APPEARS UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME...SOME STRONG STORMS WITH GUSTY
WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

$$

ELSENHEIMER




000
FLUS44 KAMA 020914
HWOAMA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
414 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-022115-
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
414 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING ACROSS THE
PANHANDLES...BUT ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE.
HOWEVER...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...AND SOME STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. HEAVY RAINFALL WITH LOCALIZED
AREAS OF FLOODING OR FLASH FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE PANHANDLES
FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. SOME STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE ON
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH SMALL HAIL...GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN
POSSIBLE. MONDAY NIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY APPEAR THE MOST LIKELY
TIMEFRAME FOR WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...AND WHILE SEVERE
WEATHER APPEARS UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME...SOME STRONG STORMS WITH GUSTY
WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

$$

ELSENHEIMER




000
FLUS44 KAMA 020914
HWOAMA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
414 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-022115-
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
414 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING ACROSS THE
PANHANDLES...BUT ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE.
HOWEVER...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...AND SOME STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. HEAVY RAINFALL WITH LOCALIZED
AREAS OF FLOODING OR FLASH FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE PANHANDLES
FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. SOME STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE ON
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH SMALL HAIL...GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN
POSSIBLE. MONDAY NIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY APPEAR THE MOST LIKELY
TIMEFRAME FOR WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...AND WHILE SEVERE
WEATHER APPEARS UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME...SOME STRONG STORMS WITH GUSTY
WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

$$

ELSENHEIMER




000
FLUS44 KAMA 020914
HWOAMA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
414 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-022115-
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
414 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING ACROSS THE
PANHANDLES...BUT ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE.
HOWEVER...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...AND SOME STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. HEAVY RAINFALL WITH LOCALIZED
AREAS OF FLOODING OR FLASH FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE PANHANDLES
FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. SOME STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE ON
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH SMALL HAIL...GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN
POSSIBLE. MONDAY NIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY APPEAR THE MOST LIKELY
TIMEFRAME FOR WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...AND WHILE SEVERE
WEATHER APPEARS UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME...SOME STRONG STORMS WITH GUSTY
WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

$$

ELSENHEIMER




000
FLUS44 KAMA 020914
HWOAMA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
414 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-022115-
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
414 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING ACROSS THE
PANHANDLES...BUT ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE.
HOWEVER...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...AND SOME STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. HEAVY RAINFALL WITH LOCALIZED
AREAS OF FLOODING OR FLASH FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE PANHANDLES
FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. SOME STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE ON
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH SMALL HAIL...GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN
POSSIBLE. MONDAY NIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY APPEAR THE MOST LIKELY
TIMEFRAME FOR WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...AND WHILE SEVERE
WEATHER APPEARS UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME...SOME STRONG STORMS WITH GUSTY
WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

$$

ELSENHEIMER





000
FLUS44 KOUN 020414 AAA
HWOOUN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1113 PM CDT WED JUL 1 2015

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-030415-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1113 PM CDT WED JUL 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN
NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...REST OF TONIGHT...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
LOW THUNDERSTORM CHANCES CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF TONIGHT
ACROSS THE EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF OKLAHOMA. NO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA WITH THE HIGHEST STORM CHANCES
EXPECTED THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. WIDESPREAD
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. HOWEVER... A FEW STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE... PRIMARILY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS... AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED
FLOODING.

.HEAT...
HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY...WITH HEAT
INDICES REACHING THE 100 TO 105 DEGREE RANGE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
OKLAHOMA.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

$$

JTK/MBS



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