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000
FXUS64 KTSA 291559
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1059 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
MAKING A FEW MINOR UPDATES. GENERALLY LEFT FORECAST AS IS...BUT
HAVE CONCERNS THAT ADVANCING CLOUDS WILL MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO
REACH THE FOREAST AFTERNOON HIGHS. ONE BATCH OF CLOUDS SHOWS UP ON
THE SATELLITE IMAGE...FOLLOWED BY A BREAK. THAT BREAK MAY ALLOW
TEMPS TO REACH THE FORECAST HIGHS. WILL MONITOR.



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   70  43  72  53 /  10   0   0  10
FSM   74  47  73  54 /  10  10   0  20
MLC   77  49  73  58 /   0  10   0  20
BVO   69  39  72  48 /  10   0   0  10
FYV   66  40  69  50 /  10   0   0  10
BYV   67  41  68  49 /  10   0   0  10
MKO   72  44  72  53 /  10   0   0  10
MIO   66  39  70  49 /  10   0   0  10
F10   74  46  72  55 /   0   0   0  20
HHW   78  55  71  59 /  10  30  10  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...02
LONG TERM....99





000
FXUS64 KTSA 291559
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1059 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
MAKING A FEW MINOR UPDATES. GENERALLY LEFT FORECAST AS IS...BUT
HAVE CONCERNS THAT ADVANCING CLOUDS WILL MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO
REACH THE FOREAST AFTERNOON HIGHS. ONE BATCH OF CLOUDS SHOWS UP ON
THE SATELLITE IMAGE...FOLLOWED BY A BREAK. THAT BREAK MAY ALLOW
TEMPS TO REACH THE FORECAST HIGHS. WILL MONITOR.



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   70  43  72  53 /  10   0   0  10
FSM   74  47  73  54 /  10  10   0  20
MLC   77  49  73  58 /   0  10   0  20
BVO   69  39  72  48 /  10   0   0  10
FYV   66  40  69  50 /  10   0   0  10
BYV   67  41  68  49 /  10   0   0  10
MKO   72  44  72  53 /  10   0   0  10
MIO   66  39  70  49 /  10   0   0  10
F10   74  46  72  55 /   0   0   0  20
HHW   78  55  71  59 /  10  30  10  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...02
LONG TERM....99





  [top]

000
FXUS64 KOUN 291547
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1047 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WITH ONLY SLIGHTLY COOLER...BUT DRIER...AIR WILL MOVE
THROUGH MOST OF OKLAHOMA TODAY...ALONG WITH WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
THE WINDS/TEMPERATURES/RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BEHIND THE FRONT WILL
LIKELY SUPPORT OUR RED FLAG WARNING FOR A FEW HOURS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

A FEW ELEVATED ECHOES CONTINUE ON RADAR ACROSS FAR NORTHERN
OKLAHOMA LATE THIS MORNING. NONE OF THIS APPEARS TO BE REACHING
THE GROUND. SHORT-RANGE MODELS SUPPORT A MINIMAL CHANCE OF
MEASURABLE RAIN ALONG OUR EASTERN BORDER THIS AFTERNOON...BELOW
15 PERCENT.

THE CURRENT FORECAST APPEARS TO BE IN GOOD SHAPE AT THIS
TIME...AND NO CHANGES ARE PLANNED FOR THIS MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 647 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015/

AVIATION...
29/12Z TAFS...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA BY MID MORNING
AND WILL APPROACH OKC AROUND 18Z. SOME MID TO HIGH CLOUDS
CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR
THROUGH 12Z MONDAY.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 346 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...
GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND A COLD FRONT THIS MORNING
AND AFTERNOON WITH SOME GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH IN NORTHWEST AND
WEST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL BELOW
20 PERCENT IN FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA...WHICH WILL RESULT IN ELEVATED
TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL HOURS.

A FEW ELEVATED STORMS MAY FORM ALONG A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT
IN FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA TONIGHT. WILL KEEP LOW CHANCES IN THE
FORECAST.

MODELS HAVE BEEN REASONABLY CONSISTENT WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...AS A TROUGH MOVES
FROM NORTHERN MEXICO INTO WEST TEXAS. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST
OF THE AREA BY EARLY WEDNESDAY.

A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. HIGHER STORM CHANCES WILL BE NORTH AND EAST
OF THE FA. COOLER AND DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST
PART OF EASTER WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  76  49  72  56 /   0   0   0  30
HOBART OK         77  47  73  53 /   0   0   0  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  82  54  74  57 /   0   0  10  20
GAGE OK           75  40  75  47 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     72  42  71  49 /  10   0   0   0
DURANT OK         80  56  72  58 /   0  20  10  30

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR OKZ004-005-009-010-014-015-021-033-034-036.

TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR TXZ083.

&&

$$

23/09



000
FXUS64 KOUN 291547
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1047 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WITH ONLY SLIGHTLY COOLER...BUT DRIER...AIR WILL MOVE
THROUGH MOST OF OKLAHOMA TODAY...ALONG WITH WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
THE WINDS/TEMPERATURES/RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BEHIND THE FRONT WILL
LIKELY SUPPORT OUR RED FLAG WARNING FOR A FEW HOURS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

A FEW ELEVATED ECHOES CONTINUE ON RADAR ACROSS FAR NORTHERN
OKLAHOMA LATE THIS MORNING. NONE OF THIS APPEARS TO BE REACHING
THE GROUND. SHORT-RANGE MODELS SUPPORT A MINIMAL CHANCE OF
MEASURABLE RAIN ALONG OUR EASTERN BORDER THIS AFTERNOON...BELOW
15 PERCENT.

THE CURRENT FORECAST APPEARS TO BE IN GOOD SHAPE AT THIS
TIME...AND NO CHANGES ARE PLANNED FOR THIS MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 647 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015/

AVIATION...
29/12Z TAFS...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA BY MID MORNING
AND WILL APPROACH OKC AROUND 18Z. SOME MID TO HIGH CLOUDS
CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR
THROUGH 12Z MONDAY.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 346 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...
GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND A COLD FRONT THIS MORNING
AND AFTERNOON WITH SOME GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH IN NORTHWEST AND
WEST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL BELOW
20 PERCENT IN FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA...WHICH WILL RESULT IN ELEVATED
TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL HOURS.

A FEW ELEVATED STORMS MAY FORM ALONG A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT
IN FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA TONIGHT. WILL KEEP LOW CHANCES IN THE
FORECAST.

MODELS HAVE BEEN REASONABLY CONSISTENT WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...AS A TROUGH MOVES
FROM NORTHERN MEXICO INTO WEST TEXAS. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST
OF THE AREA BY EARLY WEDNESDAY.

A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. HIGHER STORM CHANCES WILL BE NORTH AND EAST
OF THE FA. COOLER AND DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST
PART OF EASTER WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  76  49  72  56 /   0   0   0  30
HOBART OK         77  47  73  53 /   0   0   0  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  82  54  74  57 /   0   0  10  20
GAGE OK           75  40  75  47 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     72  42  71  49 /  10   0   0   0
DURANT OK         80  56  72  58 /   0  20  10  30

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR OKZ004-005-009-010-014-015-021-033-034-036.

TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR TXZ083.

&&

$$

23/09




000
FXUS64 KOUN 291147
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
647 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.AVIATION...
29/12Z TAFS...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA BY MID MORNING
AND WILL APPROACH OKC AROUND 18Z. SOME MID TO HIGH CLOUDS
CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR
THROUGH 12Z MONDAY.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 346 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...
GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND A COLD FRONT THIS MORNING
AND AFTERNOON WITH SOME GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH IN NORTHWEST AND
WEST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL BELOW
20 PERCENT IN FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA...WHICH WILL RESULT IN ELEVATED
TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL HOURS.

A FEW ELEVATED STORMS MAY FORM ALONG A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT
IN FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA TONIGHT. WILL KEEP LOW CHANCES IN THE
FORECAST.

MODELS HAVE BEEN REASONABLY CONSISTENT WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...AS A TROUGH MOVES
FROM NORTHERN MEXICO INTO WEST TEXAS. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST
OF THE AREA BY EARLY WEDNESDAY.

A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. HIGHER STORM CHANCES WILL BE NORTH AND EAST
OF THE FA. COOLER AND DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST
PART OF EASTER WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  76  49  72  56 /   0   0   0  30
HOBART OK         77  47  73  53 /   0   0   0  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  82  54  74  57 /   0   0  10  20
GAGE OK           75  40  75  47 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     72  42  71  49 /  10   0   0   0
DURANT OK         80  56  72  58 /   0  20  10  30

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR OKZ004-005-009-010-014-015-021-033-034-036.

TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR TXZ083.

&&

$$



000
FXUS64 KOUN 291147
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
647 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.AVIATION...
29/12Z TAFS...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA BY MID MORNING
AND WILL APPROACH OKC AROUND 18Z. SOME MID TO HIGH CLOUDS
CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR
THROUGH 12Z MONDAY.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 346 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...
GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND A COLD FRONT THIS MORNING
AND AFTERNOON WITH SOME GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH IN NORTHWEST AND
WEST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL BELOW
20 PERCENT IN FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA...WHICH WILL RESULT IN ELEVATED
TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL HOURS.

A FEW ELEVATED STORMS MAY FORM ALONG A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT
IN FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA TONIGHT. WILL KEEP LOW CHANCES IN THE
FORECAST.

MODELS HAVE BEEN REASONABLY CONSISTENT WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...AS A TROUGH MOVES
FROM NORTHERN MEXICO INTO WEST TEXAS. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST
OF THE AREA BY EARLY WEDNESDAY.

A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. HIGHER STORM CHANCES WILL BE NORTH AND EAST
OF THE FA. COOLER AND DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST
PART OF EASTER WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  76  49  72  56 /   0   0   0  30
HOBART OK         77  47  73  53 /   0   0   0  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  82  54  74  57 /   0   0  10  20
GAGE OK           75  40  75  47 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     72  42  71  49 /  10   0   0   0
DURANT OK         80  56  72  58 /   0  20  10  30

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR OKZ004-005-009-010-014-015-021-033-034-036.

TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR TXZ083.

&&

$$



000
FXUS64 KOUN 291147
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
647 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.AVIATION...
29/12Z TAFS...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA BY MID MORNING
AND WILL APPROACH OKC AROUND 18Z. SOME MID TO HIGH CLOUDS
CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR
THROUGH 12Z MONDAY.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 346 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...
GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND A COLD FRONT THIS MORNING
AND AFTERNOON WITH SOME GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH IN NORTHWEST AND
WEST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL BELOW
20 PERCENT IN FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA...WHICH WILL RESULT IN ELEVATED
TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL HOURS.

A FEW ELEVATED STORMS MAY FORM ALONG A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT
IN FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA TONIGHT. WILL KEEP LOW CHANCES IN THE
FORECAST.

MODELS HAVE BEEN REASONABLY CONSISTENT WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...AS A TROUGH MOVES
FROM NORTHERN MEXICO INTO WEST TEXAS. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST
OF THE AREA BY EARLY WEDNESDAY.

A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. HIGHER STORM CHANCES WILL BE NORTH AND EAST
OF THE FA. COOLER AND DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST
PART OF EASTER WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  76  49  72  56 /   0   0   0  30
HOBART OK         77  47  73  53 /   0   0   0  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  82  54  74  57 /   0   0  10  20
GAGE OK           75  40  75  47 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     72  42  71  49 /  10   0   0   0
DURANT OK         80  56  72  58 /   0  20  10  30

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR OKZ004-005-009-010-014-015-021-033-034-036.

TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR TXZ083.

&&

$$



000
FXUS64 KOUN 291147
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
647 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.AVIATION...
29/12Z TAFS...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA BY MID MORNING
AND WILL APPROACH OKC AROUND 18Z. SOME MID TO HIGH CLOUDS
CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR
THROUGH 12Z MONDAY.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 346 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...
GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND A COLD FRONT THIS MORNING
AND AFTERNOON WITH SOME GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH IN NORTHWEST AND
WEST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL BELOW
20 PERCENT IN FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA...WHICH WILL RESULT IN ELEVATED
TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL HOURS.

A FEW ELEVATED STORMS MAY FORM ALONG A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT
IN FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA TONIGHT. WILL KEEP LOW CHANCES IN THE
FORECAST.

MODELS HAVE BEEN REASONABLY CONSISTENT WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...AS A TROUGH MOVES
FROM NORTHERN MEXICO INTO WEST TEXAS. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST
OF THE AREA BY EARLY WEDNESDAY.

A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. HIGHER STORM CHANCES WILL BE NORTH AND EAST
OF THE FA. COOLER AND DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST
PART OF EASTER WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  76  49  72  56 /   0   0   0  30
HOBART OK         77  47  73  53 /   0   0   0  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  82  54  74  57 /   0   0  10  20
GAGE OK           75  40  75  47 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     72  42  71  49 /  10   0   0   0
DURANT OK         80  56  72  58 /   0  20  10  30

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR OKZ004-005-009-010-014-015-021-033-034-036.

TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR TXZ083.

&&

$$



000
FXUS64 KOUN 291147
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
647 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.AVIATION...
29/12Z TAFS...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA BY MID MORNING
AND WILL APPROACH OKC AROUND 18Z. SOME MID TO HIGH CLOUDS
CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR
THROUGH 12Z MONDAY.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 346 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...
GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND A COLD FRONT THIS MORNING
AND AFTERNOON WITH SOME GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH IN NORTHWEST AND
WEST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL BELOW
20 PERCENT IN FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA...WHICH WILL RESULT IN ELEVATED
TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL HOURS.

A FEW ELEVATED STORMS MAY FORM ALONG A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT
IN FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA TONIGHT. WILL KEEP LOW CHANCES IN THE
FORECAST.

MODELS HAVE BEEN REASONABLY CONSISTENT WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...AS A TROUGH MOVES
FROM NORTHERN MEXICO INTO WEST TEXAS. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST
OF THE AREA BY EARLY WEDNESDAY.

A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. HIGHER STORM CHANCES WILL BE NORTH AND EAST
OF THE FA. COOLER AND DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST
PART OF EASTER WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  76  49  72  56 /   0   0   0  30
HOBART OK         77  47  73  53 /   0   0   0  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  82  54  74  57 /   0   0  10  20
GAGE OK           75  40  75  47 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     72  42  71  49 /  10   0   0   0
DURANT OK         80  56  72  58 /   0  20  10  30

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR OKZ004-005-009-010-014-015-021-033-034-036.

TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR TXZ083.

&&

$$



000
FXUS64 KOUN 291147
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
647 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.AVIATION...
29/12Z TAFS...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA BY MID MORNING
AND WILL APPROACH OKC AROUND 18Z. SOME MID TO HIGH CLOUDS
CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR
THROUGH 12Z MONDAY.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 346 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...
GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND A COLD FRONT THIS MORNING
AND AFTERNOON WITH SOME GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH IN NORTHWEST AND
WEST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL BELOW
20 PERCENT IN FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA...WHICH WILL RESULT IN ELEVATED
TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL HOURS.

A FEW ELEVATED STORMS MAY FORM ALONG A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT
IN FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA TONIGHT. WILL KEEP LOW CHANCES IN THE
FORECAST.

MODELS HAVE BEEN REASONABLY CONSISTENT WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...AS A TROUGH MOVES
FROM NORTHERN MEXICO INTO WEST TEXAS. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST
OF THE AREA BY EARLY WEDNESDAY.

A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. HIGHER STORM CHANCES WILL BE NORTH AND EAST
OF THE FA. COOLER AND DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST
PART OF EASTER WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  76  49  72  56 /   0   0   0  30
HOBART OK         77  47  73  53 /   0   0   0  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  82  54  74  57 /   0   0  10  20
GAGE OK           75  40  75  47 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     72  42  71  49 /  10   0   0   0
DURANT OK         80  56  72  58 /   0  20  10  30

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR OKZ004-005-009-010-014-015-021-033-034-036.

TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR TXZ083.

&&

$$



000
FXUS64 KOUN 291147
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
647 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.AVIATION...
29/12Z TAFS...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA BY MID MORNING
AND WILL APPROACH OKC AROUND 18Z. SOME MID TO HIGH CLOUDS
CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR
THROUGH 12Z MONDAY.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 346 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...
GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND A COLD FRONT THIS MORNING
AND AFTERNOON WITH SOME GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH IN NORTHWEST AND
WEST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL BELOW
20 PERCENT IN FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA...WHICH WILL RESULT IN ELEVATED
TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL HOURS.

A FEW ELEVATED STORMS MAY FORM ALONG A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT
IN FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA TONIGHT. WILL KEEP LOW CHANCES IN THE
FORECAST.

MODELS HAVE BEEN REASONABLY CONSISTENT WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...AS A TROUGH MOVES
FROM NORTHERN MEXICO INTO WEST TEXAS. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST
OF THE AREA BY EARLY WEDNESDAY.

A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. HIGHER STORM CHANCES WILL BE NORTH AND EAST
OF THE FA. COOLER AND DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST
PART OF EASTER WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  76  49  72  56 /   0   0   0  30
HOBART OK         77  47  73  53 /   0   0   0  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  82  54  74  57 /   0   0  10  20
GAGE OK           75  40  75  47 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     72  42  71  49 /  10   0   0   0
DURANT OK         80  56  72  58 /   0  20  10  30

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR OKZ004-005-009-010-014-015-021-033-034-036.

TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR TXZ083.

&&

$$



000
FXUS64 KOUN 291147
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
647 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.AVIATION...
29/12Z TAFS...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA BY MID MORNING
AND WILL APPROACH OKC AROUND 18Z. SOME MID TO HIGH CLOUDS
CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR
THROUGH 12Z MONDAY.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 346 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...
GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND A COLD FRONT THIS MORNING
AND AFTERNOON WITH SOME GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH IN NORTHWEST AND
WEST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL BELOW
20 PERCENT IN FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA...WHICH WILL RESULT IN ELEVATED
TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL HOURS.

A FEW ELEVATED STORMS MAY FORM ALONG A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT
IN FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA TONIGHT. WILL KEEP LOW CHANCES IN THE
FORECAST.

MODELS HAVE BEEN REASONABLY CONSISTENT WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...AS A TROUGH MOVES
FROM NORTHERN MEXICO INTO WEST TEXAS. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST
OF THE AREA BY EARLY WEDNESDAY.

A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. HIGHER STORM CHANCES WILL BE NORTH AND EAST
OF THE FA. COOLER AND DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST
PART OF EASTER WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  76  49  72  56 /   0   0   0  30
HOBART OK         77  47  73  53 /   0   0   0  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  82  54  74  57 /   0   0  10  20
GAGE OK           75  40  75  47 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     72  42  71  49 /  10   0   0   0
DURANT OK         80  56  72  58 /   0  20  10  30

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR OKZ004-005-009-010-014-015-021-033-034-036.

TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR TXZ083.

&&

$$



000
FXUS64 KOUN 291147
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
647 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.AVIATION...
29/12Z TAFS...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA BY MID MORNING
AND WILL APPROACH OKC AROUND 18Z. SOME MID TO HIGH CLOUDS
CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR
THROUGH 12Z MONDAY.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 346 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...
GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND A COLD FRONT THIS MORNING
AND AFTERNOON WITH SOME GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH IN NORTHWEST AND
WEST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL BELOW
20 PERCENT IN FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA...WHICH WILL RESULT IN ELEVATED
TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL HOURS.

A FEW ELEVATED STORMS MAY FORM ALONG A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT
IN FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA TONIGHT. WILL KEEP LOW CHANCES IN THE
FORECAST.

MODELS HAVE BEEN REASONABLY CONSISTENT WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...AS A TROUGH MOVES
FROM NORTHERN MEXICO INTO WEST TEXAS. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST
OF THE AREA BY EARLY WEDNESDAY.

A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. HIGHER STORM CHANCES WILL BE NORTH AND EAST
OF THE FA. COOLER AND DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST
PART OF EASTER WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  76  49  72  56 /   0   0   0  30
HOBART OK         77  47  73  53 /   0   0   0  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  82  54  74  57 /   0   0  10  20
GAGE OK           75  40  75  47 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     72  42  71  49 /  10   0   0   0
DURANT OK         80  56  72  58 /   0  20  10  30

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR OKZ004-005-009-010-014-015-021-033-034-036.

TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR TXZ083.

&&

$$



000
FXUS64 KOUN 291147
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
647 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.AVIATION...
29/12Z TAFS...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA BY MID MORNING
AND WILL APPROACH OKC AROUND 18Z. SOME MID TO HIGH CLOUDS
CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR
THROUGH 12Z MONDAY.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 346 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...
GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND A COLD FRONT THIS MORNING
AND AFTERNOON WITH SOME GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH IN NORTHWEST AND
WEST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL BELOW
20 PERCENT IN FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA...WHICH WILL RESULT IN ELEVATED
TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL HOURS.

A FEW ELEVATED STORMS MAY FORM ALONG A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT
IN FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA TONIGHT. WILL KEEP LOW CHANCES IN THE
FORECAST.

MODELS HAVE BEEN REASONABLY CONSISTENT WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...AS A TROUGH MOVES
FROM NORTHERN MEXICO INTO WEST TEXAS. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST
OF THE AREA BY EARLY WEDNESDAY.

A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. HIGHER STORM CHANCES WILL BE NORTH AND EAST
OF THE FA. COOLER AND DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST
PART OF EASTER WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  76  49  72  56 /   0   0   0  30
HOBART OK         77  47  73  53 /   0   0   0  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  82  54  74  57 /   0   0  10  20
GAGE OK           75  40  75  47 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     72  42  71  49 /  10   0   0   0
DURANT OK         80  56  72  58 /   0  20  10  30

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR OKZ004-005-009-010-014-015-021-033-034-036.

TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR TXZ083.

&&

$$



000
FXUS64 KTSA 291053
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
553 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL SHIFT
FROM THE SOUTH TO THE SOUTHWEST AND FINALLY THE NORTH IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE
TERMINALS SHOULD REMAIN CONVECTION FREE...WITH ANY FRONTAL TSRA
EXPECTED TO BE SOUTH OF MLC/FSM.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 353 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT CURRENTLY PASSING THROUGH NW KANSAS WILL ENTER NE OK
AROUND NOON AND PUSH INTO FAR SE BY EARLY EVENING. LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY HOWEVER SIDED MORE TOWARD
THE LESSER VALUES SHOWN IN THE RAP DATA GIVEN OBSERVED CONDITIONS
ACROSS SOUTH TX. REGARDLESS...A STOUT CAPPING INVERSION WILL
SUPPRESS ANY PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTION HOWEVER BY EARLY EVENING
SCATTERED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONE ACROSS SE
OK BEFORE THE FRONT CLEARS THE RED RIVER DURING THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS ON MONDAY.

NO APPRECIABLE COOLING IS EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT W/ HIGH TEMPS
REMAINING ABOVE NORMAL ON MONDAY. THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL WORK SLOWLY NORTHWARD MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY...AND WILL BE FOCUS FOR PRECIP CHANCES. A WEAK WAVE WILL
ALSO BE PASSING THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...THOUGH
COVERAGE OF ANY RESULTANT PRECIP IS HIGHLY VARIABLE AMONGST DATA.

TEMPS WILL WARM WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH MID WEEK WITH INCREASING
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ALSO MAINTAINING MORE MILD OVERNIGHT LOWS. THE
NEXT WAVE AND ASSOCIATED FRONT PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY
WHICH WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR PRECIP CHANCES FOR LATE IN THE WORK
WEEK. TEMPS NEARER NORMAL AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT
FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...22





000
FXUS64 KTSA 291053
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
553 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL SHIFT
FROM THE SOUTH TO THE SOUTHWEST AND FINALLY THE NORTH IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE
TERMINALS SHOULD REMAIN CONVECTION FREE...WITH ANY FRONTAL TSRA
EXPECTED TO BE SOUTH OF MLC/FSM.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 353 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT CURRENTLY PASSING THROUGH NW KANSAS WILL ENTER NE OK
AROUND NOON AND PUSH INTO FAR SE BY EARLY EVENING. LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY HOWEVER SIDED MORE TOWARD
THE LESSER VALUES SHOWN IN THE RAP DATA GIVEN OBSERVED CONDITIONS
ACROSS SOUTH TX. REGARDLESS...A STOUT CAPPING INVERSION WILL
SUPPRESS ANY PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTION HOWEVER BY EARLY EVENING
SCATTERED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONE ACROSS SE
OK BEFORE THE FRONT CLEARS THE RED RIVER DURING THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS ON MONDAY.

NO APPRECIABLE COOLING IS EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT W/ HIGH TEMPS
REMAINING ABOVE NORMAL ON MONDAY. THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL WORK SLOWLY NORTHWARD MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY...AND WILL BE FOCUS FOR PRECIP CHANCES. A WEAK WAVE WILL
ALSO BE PASSING THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...THOUGH
COVERAGE OF ANY RESULTANT PRECIP IS HIGHLY VARIABLE AMONGST DATA.

TEMPS WILL WARM WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH MID WEEK WITH INCREASING
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ALSO MAINTAINING MORE MILD OVERNIGHT LOWS. THE
NEXT WAVE AND ASSOCIATED FRONT PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY
WHICH WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR PRECIP CHANCES FOR LATE IN THE WORK
WEEK. TEMPS NEARER NORMAL AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT
FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...22





000
FXUS64 KTSA 291053
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
553 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL SHIFT
FROM THE SOUTH TO THE SOUTHWEST AND FINALLY THE NORTH IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE
TERMINALS SHOULD REMAIN CONVECTION FREE...WITH ANY FRONTAL TSRA
EXPECTED TO BE SOUTH OF MLC/FSM.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 353 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT CURRENTLY PASSING THROUGH NW KANSAS WILL ENTER NE OK
AROUND NOON AND PUSH INTO FAR SE BY EARLY EVENING. LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY HOWEVER SIDED MORE TOWARD
THE LESSER VALUES SHOWN IN THE RAP DATA GIVEN OBSERVED CONDITIONS
ACROSS SOUTH TX. REGARDLESS...A STOUT CAPPING INVERSION WILL
SUPPRESS ANY PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTION HOWEVER BY EARLY EVENING
SCATTERED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONE ACROSS SE
OK BEFORE THE FRONT CLEARS THE RED RIVER DURING THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS ON MONDAY.

NO APPRECIABLE COOLING IS EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT W/ HIGH TEMPS
REMAINING ABOVE NORMAL ON MONDAY. THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL WORK SLOWLY NORTHWARD MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY...AND WILL BE FOCUS FOR PRECIP CHANCES. A WEAK WAVE WILL
ALSO BE PASSING THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...THOUGH
COVERAGE OF ANY RESULTANT PRECIP IS HIGHLY VARIABLE AMONGST DATA.

TEMPS WILL WARM WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH MID WEEK WITH INCREASING
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ALSO MAINTAINING MORE MILD OVERNIGHT LOWS. THE
NEXT WAVE AND ASSOCIATED FRONT PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY
WHICH WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR PRECIP CHANCES FOR LATE IN THE WORK
WEEK. TEMPS NEARER NORMAL AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT
FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...22





000
FXUS64 KTSA 291053
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
553 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL SHIFT
FROM THE SOUTH TO THE SOUTHWEST AND FINALLY THE NORTH IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE
TERMINALS SHOULD REMAIN CONVECTION FREE...WITH ANY FRONTAL TSRA
EXPECTED TO BE SOUTH OF MLC/FSM.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 353 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT CURRENTLY PASSING THROUGH NW KANSAS WILL ENTER NE OK
AROUND NOON AND PUSH INTO FAR SE BY EARLY EVENING. LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY HOWEVER SIDED MORE TOWARD
THE LESSER VALUES SHOWN IN THE RAP DATA GIVEN OBSERVED CONDITIONS
ACROSS SOUTH TX. REGARDLESS...A STOUT CAPPING INVERSION WILL
SUPPRESS ANY PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTION HOWEVER BY EARLY EVENING
SCATTERED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONE ACROSS SE
OK BEFORE THE FRONT CLEARS THE RED RIVER DURING THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS ON MONDAY.

NO APPRECIABLE COOLING IS EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT W/ HIGH TEMPS
REMAINING ABOVE NORMAL ON MONDAY. THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL WORK SLOWLY NORTHWARD MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY...AND WILL BE FOCUS FOR PRECIP CHANCES. A WEAK WAVE WILL
ALSO BE PASSING THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...THOUGH
COVERAGE OF ANY RESULTANT PRECIP IS HIGHLY VARIABLE AMONGST DATA.

TEMPS WILL WARM WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH MID WEEK WITH INCREASING
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ALSO MAINTAINING MORE MILD OVERNIGHT LOWS. THE
NEXT WAVE AND ASSOCIATED FRONT PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY
WHICH WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR PRECIP CHANCES FOR LATE IN THE WORK
WEEK. TEMPS NEARER NORMAL AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT
FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...22





000
FXUS64 KTSA 290853
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
353 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT CURRENTLY PASSING THROUGH NW KANSAS WILL ENTER NE OK
AROUND NOON AND PUSH INTO FAR SE BY EARLY EVENING. LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY HOWEVER SIDED MORE TOWARD
THE LESSER VALUES SHOWN IN THE RAP DATA GIVEN OBSERVED CONDITIONS
ACROSS SOUTH TX. REGARDLESS...A STOUT CAPPING INVERSION WILL
SUPPRESS ANY PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTION HOWEVER BY EARLY EVENING
SCATTERED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONE ACROSS SE
OK BEFORE THE FRONT CLEARS THE RED RIVER DURING THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS ON MONDAY.

NO APPRECIABLE COOLING IS EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT W/ HIGH TEMPS
REMAINING ABOVE NORMAL ON MONDAY. THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL WORK SLOWLY NORTHWARD MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY...AND WILL BE FOCUS FOR PRECIP CHANCES. A WEAK WAVE WILL
ALSO BE PASSING THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...THOUGH
COVERAGE OF ANY RESULTANT PRECIP IS HIGHLY VARIABLE AMONGST DATA.

TEMPS WILL WARM WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH MID WEEK WITH INCREASING
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ALSO MAINTAINING MORE MILD OVERNIGHT LOWS. THE
NEXT WAVE AND ASSOCIATED FRONT PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY
WHICH WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR PRECIP CHANCES FOR LATE IN THE WORK
WEEK. TEMPS NEARER NORMAL AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT
FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   70  43  72  53 /  10   0   0  10
FSM   75  47  73  54 /  10  10   0  20
MLC   76  49  73  58 /   0  10   0  20
BVO   71  39  72  48 /  10   0   0  10
FYV   67  40  69  50 /  10   0   0  10
BYV   67  41  68  49 /  10   0   0  10
MKO   72  44  72  53 /  10   0   0  10
MIO   66  39  70  49 /  10   0   0  10
F10   73  46  72  55 /   0   0   0  20
HHW   78  55  71  59 /  10  30  10  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....07





000
FXUS64 KTSA 290853
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
353 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT CURRENTLY PASSING THROUGH NW KANSAS WILL ENTER NE OK
AROUND NOON AND PUSH INTO FAR SE BY EARLY EVENING. LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY HOWEVER SIDED MORE TOWARD
THE LESSER VALUES SHOWN IN THE RAP DATA GIVEN OBSERVED CONDITIONS
ACROSS SOUTH TX. REGARDLESS...A STOUT CAPPING INVERSION WILL
SUPPRESS ANY PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTION HOWEVER BY EARLY EVENING
SCATTERED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONE ACROSS SE
OK BEFORE THE FRONT CLEARS THE RED RIVER DURING THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS ON MONDAY.

NO APPRECIABLE COOLING IS EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT W/ HIGH TEMPS
REMAINING ABOVE NORMAL ON MONDAY. THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL WORK SLOWLY NORTHWARD MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY...AND WILL BE FOCUS FOR PRECIP CHANCES. A WEAK WAVE WILL
ALSO BE PASSING THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...THOUGH
COVERAGE OF ANY RESULTANT PRECIP IS HIGHLY VARIABLE AMONGST DATA.

TEMPS WILL WARM WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH MID WEEK WITH INCREASING
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ALSO MAINTAINING MORE MILD OVERNIGHT LOWS. THE
NEXT WAVE AND ASSOCIATED FRONT PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY
WHICH WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR PRECIP CHANCES FOR LATE IN THE WORK
WEEK. TEMPS NEARER NORMAL AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT
FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   70  43  72  53 /  10   0   0  10
FSM   75  47  73  54 /  10  10   0  20
MLC   76  49  73  58 /   0  10   0  20
BVO   71  39  72  48 /  10   0   0  10
FYV   67  40  69  50 /  10   0   0  10
BYV   67  41  68  49 /  10   0   0  10
MKO   72  44  72  53 /  10   0   0  10
MIO   66  39  70  49 /  10   0   0  10
F10   73  46  72  55 /   0   0   0  20
HHW   78  55  71  59 /  10  30  10  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....07






000
FXUS64 KTSA 290853
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
353 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT CURRENTLY PASSING THROUGH NW KANSAS WILL ENTER NE OK
AROUND NOON AND PUSH INTO FAR SE BY EARLY EVENING. LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY HOWEVER SIDED MORE TOWARD
THE LESSER VALUES SHOWN IN THE RAP DATA GIVEN OBSERVED CONDITIONS
ACROSS SOUTH TX. REGARDLESS...A STOUT CAPPING INVERSION WILL
SUPPRESS ANY PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTION HOWEVER BY EARLY EVENING
SCATTERED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONE ACROSS SE
OK BEFORE THE FRONT CLEARS THE RED RIVER DURING THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS ON MONDAY.

NO APPRECIABLE COOLING IS EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT W/ HIGH TEMPS
REMAINING ABOVE NORMAL ON MONDAY. THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL WORK SLOWLY NORTHWARD MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY...AND WILL BE FOCUS FOR PRECIP CHANCES. A WEAK WAVE WILL
ALSO BE PASSING THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...THOUGH
COVERAGE OF ANY RESULTANT PRECIP IS HIGHLY VARIABLE AMONGST DATA.

TEMPS WILL WARM WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH MID WEEK WITH INCREASING
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ALSO MAINTAINING MORE MILD OVERNIGHT LOWS. THE
NEXT WAVE AND ASSOCIATED FRONT PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY
WHICH WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR PRECIP CHANCES FOR LATE IN THE WORK
WEEK. TEMPS NEARER NORMAL AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT
FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   70  43  72  53 /  10   0   0  10
FSM   75  47  73  54 /  10  10   0  20
MLC   76  49  73  58 /   0  10   0  20
BVO   71  39  72  48 /  10   0   0  10
FYV   67  40  69  50 /  10   0   0  10
BYV   67  41  68  49 /  10   0   0  10
MKO   72  44  72  53 /  10   0   0  10
MIO   66  39  70  49 /  10   0   0  10
F10   73  46  72  55 /   0   0   0  20
HHW   78  55  71  59 /  10  30  10  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....07






000
FXUS64 KTSA 290853
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
353 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT CURRENTLY PASSING THROUGH NW KANSAS WILL ENTER NE OK
AROUND NOON AND PUSH INTO FAR SE BY EARLY EVENING. LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY HOWEVER SIDED MORE TOWARD
THE LESSER VALUES SHOWN IN THE RAP DATA GIVEN OBSERVED CONDITIONS
ACROSS SOUTH TX. REGARDLESS...A STOUT CAPPING INVERSION WILL
SUPPRESS ANY PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTION HOWEVER BY EARLY EVENING
SCATTERED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONE ACROSS SE
OK BEFORE THE FRONT CLEARS THE RED RIVER DURING THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS ON MONDAY.

NO APPRECIABLE COOLING IS EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT W/ HIGH TEMPS
REMAINING ABOVE NORMAL ON MONDAY. THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL WORK SLOWLY NORTHWARD MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY...AND WILL BE FOCUS FOR PRECIP CHANCES. A WEAK WAVE WILL
ALSO BE PASSING THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...THOUGH
COVERAGE OF ANY RESULTANT PRECIP IS HIGHLY VARIABLE AMONGST DATA.

TEMPS WILL WARM WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH MID WEEK WITH INCREASING
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ALSO MAINTAINING MORE MILD OVERNIGHT LOWS. THE
NEXT WAVE AND ASSOCIATED FRONT PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY
WHICH WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR PRECIP CHANCES FOR LATE IN THE WORK
WEEK. TEMPS NEARER NORMAL AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT
FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   70  43  72  53 /  10   0   0  10
FSM   75  47  73  54 /  10  10   0  20
MLC   76  49  73  58 /   0  10   0  20
BVO   71  39  72  48 /  10   0   0  10
FYV   67  40  69  50 /  10   0   0  10
BYV   67  41  68  49 /  10   0   0  10
MKO   72  44  72  53 /  10   0   0  10
MIO   66  39  70  49 /  10   0   0  10
F10   73  46  72  55 /   0   0   0  20
HHW   78  55  71  59 /  10  30  10  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....07






000
FXUS64 KTSA 290853
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
353 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT CURRENTLY PASSING THROUGH NW KANSAS WILL ENTER NE OK
AROUND NOON AND PUSH INTO FAR SE BY EARLY EVENING. LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY HOWEVER SIDED MORE TOWARD
THE LESSER VALUES SHOWN IN THE RAP DATA GIVEN OBSERVED CONDITIONS
ACROSS SOUTH TX. REGARDLESS...A STOUT CAPPING INVERSION WILL
SUPPRESS ANY PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTION HOWEVER BY EARLY EVENING
SCATTERED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONE ACROSS SE
OK BEFORE THE FRONT CLEARS THE RED RIVER DURING THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS ON MONDAY.

NO APPRECIABLE COOLING IS EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT W/ HIGH TEMPS
REMAINING ABOVE NORMAL ON MONDAY. THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL WORK SLOWLY NORTHWARD MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY...AND WILL BE FOCUS FOR PRECIP CHANCES. A WEAK WAVE WILL
ALSO BE PASSING THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...THOUGH
COVERAGE OF ANY RESULTANT PRECIP IS HIGHLY VARIABLE AMONGST DATA.

TEMPS WILL WARM WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH MID WEEK WITH INCREASING
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ALSO MAINTAINING MORE MILD OVERNIGHT LOWS. THE
NEXT WAVE AND ASSOCIATED FRONT PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY
WHICH WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR PRECIP CHANCES FOR LATE IN THE WORK
WEEK. TEMPS NEARER NORMAL AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT
FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   70  43  72  53 /  10   0   0  10
FSM   75  47  73  54 /  10  10   0  20
MLC   76  49  73  58 /   0  10   0  20
BVO   71  39  72  48 /  10   0   0  10
FYV   67  40  69  50 /  10   0   0  10
BYV   67  41  68  49 /  10   0   0  10
MKO   72  44  72  53 /  10   0   0  10
MIO   66  39  70  49 /  10   0   0  10
F10   73  46  72  55 /   0   0   0  20
HHW   78  55  71  59 /  10  30  10  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....07






000
FXUS64 KTSA 290853
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
353 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT CURRENTLY PASSING THROUGH NW KANSAS WILL ENTER NE OK
AROUND NOON AND PUSH INTO FAR SE BY EARLY EVENING. LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY HOWEVER SIDED MORE TOWARD
THE LESSER VALUES SHOWN IN THE RAP DATA GIVEN OBSERVED CONDITIONS
ACROSS SOUTH TX. REGARDLESS...A STOUT CAPPING INVERSION WILL
SUPPRESS ANY PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTION HOWEVER BY EARLY EVENING
SCATTERED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONE ACROSS SE
OK BEFORE THE FRONT CLEARS THE RED RIVER DURING THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS ON MONDAY.

NO APPRECIABLE COOLING IS EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT W/ HIGH TEMPS
REMAINING ABOVE NORMAL ON MONDAY. THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL WORK SLOWLY NORTHWARD MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY...AND WILL BE FOCUS FOR PRECIP CHANCES. A WEAK WAVE WILL
ALSO BE PASSING THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...THOUGH
COVERAGE OF ANY RESULTANT PRECIP IS HIGHLY VARIABLE AMONGST DATA.

TEMPS WILL WARM WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH MID WEEK WITH INCREASING
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ALSO MAINTAINING MORE MILD OVERNIGHT LOWS. THE
NEXT WAVE AND ASSOCIATED FRONT PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY
WHICH WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR PRECIP CHANCES FOR LATE IN THE WORK
WEEK. TEMPS NEARER NORMAL AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT
FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   70  43  72  53 /  10   0   0  10
FSM   75  47  73  54 /  10  10   0  20
MLC   76  49  73  58 /   0  10   0  20
BVO   71  39  72  48 /  10   0   0  10
FYV   67  40  69  50 /  10   0   0  10
BYV   67  41  68  49 /  10   0   0  10
MKO   72  44  72  53 /  10   0   0  10
MIO   66  39  70  49 /  10   0   0  10
F10   73  46  72  55 /   0   0   0  20
HHW   78  55  71  59 /  10  30  10  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....07






000
FXUS64 KOUN 290846
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
346 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...
GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND A COLD FRONT THIS MORNING
AND AFTERNOON WITH SOME GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH IN NORTHWEST AND
WEST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL BELOW
20 PERCENT IN FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA...WHICH WILL RESULT IN ELEVATED
TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL HOURS.

A FEW ELEVATED STORMS MAY FORM ALONG A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT
IN FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA TONIGHT. WILL KEEP LOW CHANCES IN THE
FORECAST.

MODELS HAVE BEEN REASONABLY CONSISTENT WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...AS A TROUGH MOVES
FROM NORTHERN MEXICO INTO WEST TEXAS. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST
OF THE AREA BY EARLY WEDNESDAY.

A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. HIGHER STORM CHANCES WILL BE NORTH AND EAST
OF THE FA. COOLER AND DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST
PART OF EASTER WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  76  49  72  56 /   0   0   0  30
HOBART OK         77  47  73  53 /   0   0   0  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  82  54  74  57 /   0   0  10  20
GAGE OK           75  40  75  47 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     72  42  71  49 /  10   0   0   0
DURANT OK         80  56  72  58 /   0  20  10  30

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR OKZ004-005-009-010-014-015-021-033-034-036.

TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR TXZ083.

&&

$$



000
FXUS64 KOUN 290846
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
346 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...
GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND A COLD FRONT THIS MORNING
AND AFTERNOON WITH SOME GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH IN NORTHWEST AND
WEST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL BELOW
20 PERCENT IN FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA...WHICH WILL RESULT IN ELEVATED
TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL HOURS.

A FEW ELEVATED STORMS MAY FORM ALONG A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT
IN FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA TONIGHT. WILL KEEP LOW CHANCES IN THE
FORECAST.

MODELS HAVE BEEN REASONABLY CONSISTENT WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...AS A TROUGH MOVES
FROM NORTHERN MEXICO INTO WEST TEXAS. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST
OF THE AREA BY EARLY WEDNESDAY.

A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. HIGHER STORM CHANCES WILL BE NORTH AND EAST
OF THE FA. COOLER AND DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST
PART OF EASTER WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  76  49  72  56 /   0   0   0  30
HOBART OK         77  47  73  53 /   0   0   0  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  82  54  74  57 /   0   0  10  20
GAGE OK           75  40  75  47 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     72  42  71  49 /  10   0   0   0
DURANT OK         80  56  72  58 /   0  20  10  30

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR OKZ004-005-009-010-014-015-021-033-034-036.

TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR TXZ083.

&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KOUN 290846
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
346 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...
GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND A COLD FRONT THIS MORNING
AND AFTERNOON WITH SOME GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH IN NORTHWEST AND
WEST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL BELOW
20 PERCENT IN FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA...WHICH WILL RESULT IN ELEVATED
TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL HOURS.

A FEW ELEVATED STORMS MAY FORM ALONG A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT
IN FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA TONIGHT. WILL KEEP LOW CHANCES IN THE
FORECAST.

MODELS HAVE BEEN REASONABLY CONSISTENT WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...AS A TROUGH MOVES
FROM NORTHERN MEXICO INTO WEST TEXAS. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST
OF THE AREA BY EARLY WEDNESDAY.

A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. HIGHER STORM CHANCES WILL BE NORTH AND EAST
OF THE FA. COOLER AND DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST
PART OF EASTER WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  76  49  72  56 /   0   0   0  30
HOBART OK         77  47  73  53 /   0   0   0  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  82  54  74  57 /   0   0  10  20
GAGE OK           75  40  75  47 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     72  42  71  49 /  10   0   0   0
DURANT OK         80  56  72  58 /   0  20  10  30

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR OKZ004-005-009-010-014-015-021-033-034-036.

TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR TXZ083.

&&

$$



000
FXUS64 KOUN 290846
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
346 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...
GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND A COLD FRONT THIS MORNING
AND AFTERNOON WITH SOME GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH IN NORTHWEST AND
WEST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL BELOW
20 PERCENT IN FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA...WHICH WILL RESULT IN ELEVATED
TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL HOURS.

A FEW ELEVATED STORMS MAY FORM ALONG A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT
IN FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA TONIGHT. WILL KEEP LOW CHANCES IN THE
FORECAST.

MODELS HAVE BEEN REASONABLY CONSISTENT WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...AS A TROUGH MOVES
FROM NORTHERN MEXICO INTO WEST TEXAS. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST
OF THE AREA BY EARLY WEDNESDAY.

A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. HIGHER STORM CHANCES WILL BE NORTH AND EAST
OF THE FA. COOLER AND DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST
PART OF EASTER WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  76  49  72  56 /   0   0   0  30
HOBART OK         77  47  73  53 /   0   0   0  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  82  54  74  57 /   0   0  10  20
GAGE OK           75  40  75  47 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     72  42  71  49 /  10   0   0   0
DURANT OK         80  56  72  58 /   0  20  10  30

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR OKZ004-005-009-010-014-015-021-033-034-036.

TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR TXZ083.

&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KOUN 290538
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1238 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015


.AVIATION...
29/06Z TAFS...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA SHORTLY AFTER
SUNRISE SUNDAY. BY MID AFTERNOON...THE FRONT WILL CLEAR ALL TAF
SITES (SPS). RATHER STRONG WIND GUSTS (30-35 KTS WILL DEVELOP
BEHIND THE FRONT FOR A FEW HOURS...ESPECIALLY NORTHWEST AND WEST
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 642 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
29/00Z TAFS.

AVIATION...
PRIMARILY VFR CONDITIONS WITH WINDS SHIFTING FROM SOUTHERLY TO
STRONG NORTHERLY. COULD SEE MVFR VSBY AND CIGS FROM KPNC DOWN
THROUGH KOKC/KOUN FROM AROUND 09-12Z UNTIL FROPA WITH MOISTURE
INCREASE. CIGS WILL BE MENTIONED AT KPNC WITH LIGHT FOG KOKC/KOUN.
STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED AFTER FROPA WITH VFR CONDITIONS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 131 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
SEVERAL FRONTS THIS WEEK WILL BRING WIND SHIFTS AND CHANCES FOR
RAIN, BUT THE WARM AIRMASSES WILL STAY IN OKLAHOMA UNTIL THURSDAY.
THE FIRST FRONT TOMORROW WILL BRING GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND
INCREASED FIRE DANGER TO WESTERN OKLAHOMA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY
JUST LOWER TO 20 PERCENT, SO A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS EFFECTIVE
THERE TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL TOMORROW
NIGHT NEAR OR SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER. THIS WILL BE THE WEATHER
MAKER MONDAY AND TUESDAY. ON MONDAY WEAK NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IS
EXPECTED TO IMPINGE ON WEAK SOUTHERLY WINDS AT THE SURFACE FOR
MODEST VERTICAL SHEAR. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTH
OF THE FRONT IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATER MONDAY. A BETTER CHANCE
FOR THUNDERSTORMS COMES TUESDAY WHEN SLIGHTLY STRONGER MID-LEVEL
FLOW IS ACROSS THE AREA AND THE FRONT HAS MOVED NORTH INTO MORE OF
OKLAHOMA. SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA HAVE THE BEST CHANCE FOR
RAIN. THE NEXT FRONT COMES THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A SECOND, STRONGER
ONE FRIDAY. THE ONE ON FRIDAY FINALLY BRINGS COOLER, MORE
SEASONABLE WEATHER. A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL COME WITH THIS
FRONT ESPECIALLY IN SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. MID-
LEVEL FLOW AND VERTICAL SHEAR IS STRONGER THIS DAY WHICH MAY LEAD
TO STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  49  72  56  76 /   0   0  30  30
HOBART OK         47  72  53  78 /   0   0  10  30
WICHITA FALLS TX  54  74  57  78 /   0  10  20  40
GAGE OK           40  75  47  80 /   0   0   0  20
PONCA CITY OK     42  72  49  76 /   0   0   0  20
DURANT OK         56  70  58  72 /  20  10  30  40

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR
     OKZ004-005-009-010-014-015-021-033-034-036.

TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR
     TXZ083.

&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KOUN 290538
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1238 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015


.AVIATION...
29/06Z TAFS...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA SHORTLY AFTER
SUNRISE SUNDAY. BY MID AFTERNOON...THE FRONT WILL CLEAR ALL TAF
SITES (SPS). RATHER STRONG WIND GUSTS (30-35 KTS WILL DEVELOP
BEHIND THE FRONT FOR A FEW HOURS...ESPECIALLY NORTHWEST AND WEST
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 642 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
29/00Z TAFS.

AVIATION...
PRIMARILY VFR CONDITIONS WITH WINDS SHIFTING FROM SOUTHERLY TO
STRONG NORTHERLY. COULD SEE MVFR VSBY AND CIGS FROM KPNC DOWN
THROUGH KOKC/KOUN FROM AROUND 09-12Z UNTIL FROPA WITH MOISTURE
INCREASE. CIGS WILL BE MENTIONED AT KPNC WITH LIGHT FOG KOKC/KOUN.
STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED AFTER FROPA WITH VFR CONDITIONS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 131 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
SEVERAL FRONTS THIS WEEK WILL BRING WIND SHIFTS AND CHANCES FOR
RAIN, BUT THE WARM AIRMASSES WILL STAY IN OKLAHOMA UNTIL THURSDAY.
THE FIRST FRONT TOMORROW WILL BRING GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND
INCREASED FIRE DANGER TO WESTERN OKLAHOMA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY
JUST LOWER TO 20 PERCENT, SO A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS EFFECTIVE
THERE TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL TOMORROW
NIGHT NEAR OR SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER. THIS WILL BE THE WEATHER
MAKER MONDAY AND TUESDAY. ON MONDAY WEAK NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IS
EXPECTED TO IMPINGE ON WEAK SOUTHERLY WINDS AT THE SURFACE FOR
MODEST VERTICAL SHEAR. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTH
OF THE FRONT IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATER MONDAY. A BETTER CHANCE
FOR THUNDERSTORMS COMES TUESDAY WHEN SLIGHTLY STRONGER MID-LEVEL
FLOW IS ACROSS THE AREA AND THE FRONT HAS MOVED NORTH INTO MORE OF
OKLAHOMA. SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA HAVE THE BEST CHANCE FOR
RAIN. THE NEXT FRONT COMES THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A SECOND, STRONGER
ONE FRIDAY. THE ONE ON FRIDAY FINALLY BRINGS COOLER, MORE
SEASONABLE WEATHER. A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL COME WITH THIS
FRONT ESPECIALLY IN SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. MID-
LEVEL FLOW AND VERTICAL SHEAR IS STRONGER THIS DAY WHICH MAY LEAD
TO STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  49  72  56  76 /   0   0  30  30
HOBART OK         47  72  53  78 /   0   0  10  30
WICHITA FALLS TX  54  74  57  78 /   0  10  20  40
GAGE OK           40  75  47  80 /   0   0   0  20
PONCA CITY OK     42  72  49  76 /   0   0   0  20
DURANT OK         56  70  58  72 /  20  10  30  40

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR
     OKZ004-005-009-010-014-015-021-033-034-036.

TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR
     TXZ083.

&&

$$



000
FXUS64 KOUN 290538
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1238 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015


.AVIATION...
29/06Z TAFS...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA SHORTLY AFTER
SUNRISE SUNDAY. BY MID AFTERNOON...THE FRONT WILL CLEAR ALL TAF
SITES (SPS). RATHER STRONG WIND GUSTS (30-35 KTS WILL DEVELOP
BEHIND THE FRONT FOR A FEW HOURS...ESPECIALLY NORTHWEST AND WEST
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 642 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
29/00Z TAFS.

AVIATION...
PRIMARILY VFR CONDITIONS WITH WINDS SHIFTING FROM SOUTHERLY TO
STRONG NORTHERLY. COULD SEE MVFR VSBY AND CIGS FROM KPNC DOWN
THROUGH KOKC/KOUN FROM AROUND 09-12Z UNTIL FROPA WITH MOISTURE
INCREASE. CIGS WILL BE MENTIONED AT KPNC WITH LIGHT FOG KOKC/KOUN.
STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED AFTER FROPA WITH VFR CONDITIONS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 131 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
SEVERAL FRONTS THIS WEEK WILL BRING WIND SHIFTS AND CHANCES FOR
RAIN, BUT THE WARM AIRMASSES WILL STAY IN OKLAHOMA UNTIL THURSDAY.
THE FIRST FRONT TOMORROW WILL BRING GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND
INCREASED FIRE DANGER TO WESTERN OKLAHOMA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY
JUST LOWER TO 20 PERCENT, SO A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS EFFECTIVE
THERE TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL TOMORROW
NIGHT NEAR OR SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER. THIS WILL BE THE WEATHER
MAKER MONDAY AND TUESDAY. ON MONDAY WEAK NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IS
EXPECTED TO IMPINGE ON WEAK SOUTHERLY WINDS AT THE SURFACE FOR
MODEST VERTICAL SHEAR. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTH
OF THE FRONT IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATER MONDAY. A BETTER CHANCE
FOR THUNDERSTORMS COMES TUESDAY WHEN SLIGHTLY STRONGER MID-LEVEL
FLOW IS ACROSS THE AREA AND THE FRONT HAS MOVED NORTH INTO MORE OF
OKLAHOMA. SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA HAVE THE BEST CHANCE FOR
RAIN. THE NEXT FRONT COMES THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A SECOND, STRONGER
ONE FRIDAY. THE ONE ON FRIDAY FINALLY BRINGS COOLER, MORE
SEASONABLE WEATHER. A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL COME WITH THIS
FRONT ESPECIALLY IN SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. MID-
LEVEL FLOW AND VERTICAL SHEAR IS STRONGER THIS DAY WHICH MAY LEAD
TO STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  49  72  56  76 /   0   0  30  30
HOBART OK         47  72  53  78 /   0   0  10  30
WICHITA FALLS TX  54  74  57  78 /   0  10  20  40
GAGE OK           40  75  47  80 /   0   0   0  20
PONCA CITY OK     42  72  49  76 /   0   0   0  20
DURANT OK         56  70  58  72 /  20  10  30  40

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR
     OKZ004-005-009-010-014-015-021-033-034-036.

TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR
     TXZ083.

&&

$$



000
FXUS64 KOUN 290538
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1238 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015


.AVIATION...
29/06Z TAFS...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA SHORTLY AFTER
SUNRISE SUNDAY. BY MID AFTERNOON...THE FRONT WILL CLEAR ALL TAF
SITES (SPS). RATHER STRONG WIND GUSTS (30-35 KTS WILL DEVELOP
BEHIND THE FRONT FOR A FEW HOURS...ESPECIALLY NORTHWEST AND WEST
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 642 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
29/00Z TAFS.

AVIATION...
PRIMARILY VFR CONDITIONS WITH WINDS SHIFTING FROM SOUTHERLY TO
STRONG NORTHERLY. COULD SEE MVFR VSBY AND CIGS FROM KPNC DOWN
THROUGH KOKC/KOUN FROM AROUND 09-12Z UNTIL FROPA WITH MOISTURE
INCREASE. CIGS WILL BE MENTIONED AT KPNC WITH LIGHT FOG KOKC/KOUN.
STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED AFTER FROPA WITH VFR CONDITIONS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 131 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
SEVERAL FRONTS THIS WEEK WILL BRING WIND SHIFTS AND CHANCES FOR
RAIN, BUT THE WARM AIRMASSES WILL STAY IN OKLAHOMA UNTIL THURSDAY.
THE FIRST FRONT TOMORROW WILL BRING GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND
INCREASED FIRE DANGER TO WESTERN OKLAHOMA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY
JUST LOWER TO 20 PERCENT, SO A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS EFFECTIVE
THERE TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL TOMORROW
NIGHT NEAR OR SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER. THIS WILL BE THE WEATHER
MAKER MONDAY AND TUESDAY. ON MONDAY WEAK NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IS
EXPECTED TO IMPINGE ON WEAK SOUTHERLY WINDS AT THE SURFACE FOR
MODEST VERTICAL SHEAR. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTH
OF THE FRONT IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATER MONDAY. A BETTER CHANCE
FOR THUNDERSTORMS COMES TUESDAY WHEN SLIGHTLY STRONGER MID-LEVEL
FLOW IS ACROSS THE AREA AND THE FRONT HAS MOVED NORTH INTO MORE OF
OKLAHOMA. SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA HAVE THE BEST CHANCE FOR
RAIN. THE NEXT FRONT COMES THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A SECOND, STRONGER
ONE FRIDAY. THE ONE ON FRIDAY FINALLY BRINGS COOLER, MORE
SEASONABLE WEATHER. A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL COME WITH THIS
FRONT ESPECIALLY IN SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. MID-
LEVEL FLOW AND VERTICAL SHEAR IS STRONGER THIS DAY WHICH MAY LEAD
TO STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  49  72  56  76 /   0   0  30  30
HOBART OK         47  72  53  78 /   0   0  10  30
WICHITA FALLS TX  54  74  57  78 /   0  10  20  40
GAGE OK           40  75  47  80 /   0   0   0  20
PONCA CITY OK     42  72  49  76 /   0   0   0  20
DURANT OK         56  70  58  72 /  20  10  30  40

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR
     OKZ004-005-009-010-014-015-021-033-034-036.

TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR
     TXZ083.

&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KTSA 290451
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1151 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST WINDS CONTINUING THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INCREASING
SLIGHTLY. MID CLOUDS WILL INCREASE AFTER 18Z SUNDAY WITH WINDS
SWITCHING TO NORTH LATE IN THE PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 856 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK...SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INCREASE OVERNIGHT WHICH SHOULD
KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM FALLING BELOW PROJECTED LOWS.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...14







000
FXUS64 KTSA 290156
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
856 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK...SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INCREASE OVERNIGHT WHICH SHOULD
KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM FALLING BELOW PROJECTED LOWS.


&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...12






000
FXUS64 KTSA 290156
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
856 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK...SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INCREASE OVERNIGHT WHICH SHOULD
KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM FALLING BELOW PROJECTED LOWS.


&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...12






000
FXUS64 KTSA 290156
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
856 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK...SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INCREASE OVERNIGHT WHICH SHOULD
KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM FALLING BELOW PROJECTED LOWS.


&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...12






000
FXUS64 KTSA 290156
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
856 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK...SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INCREASE OVERNIGHT WHICH SHOULD
KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM FALLING BELOW PROJECTED LOWS.


&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...12






000
FXUS64 KTSA 290156
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
856 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK...SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INCREASE OVERNIGHT WHICH SHOULD
KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM FALLING BELOW PROJECTED LOWS.


&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...12






000
FXUS64 KTSA 290156
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
856 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK...SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INCREASE OVERNIGHT WHICH SHOULD
KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM FALLING BELOW PROJECTED LOWS.


&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...12







000
FXUS64 KOUN 282342
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
642 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...
29/00Z TAFS.

&&

.AVIATION...
PRIMARILY VFR CONDITIONS WITH WINDS SHIFTING FROM SOUTHERLY TO
STRONG NORTHERLY. COULD SEE MVFR VSBY AND CIGS FROM KPNC DOWN
THROUGH KOKC/KOUN FROM AROUND 09-12Z UNTIL FROPA WITH MOISTURE
INCREASE. CIGS WILL BE MENTIONED AT KPNC WITH LIGHT FOG KOKC/KOUN.
STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED AFTER FROPA WITH VFR CONDITIONS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 131 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
SEVERAL FRONTS THIS WEEK WILL BRING WIND SHIFTS AND CHANCES FOR
RAIN, BUT THE WARM AIRMASSES WILL STAY IN OKLAHOMA UNTIL THURSDAY.
THE FIRST FRONT TOMORROW WILL BRING GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND
INCREASED FIRE DANGER TO WESTERN OKLAHOMA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY
JUST LOWER TO 20 PERCENT, SO A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS EFFECTIVE
THERE TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL TOMORROW
NIGHT NEAR OR SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER. THIS WILL BE THE WEATHER
MAKER MONDAY AND TUESDAY. ON MONDAY WEAK NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IS
EXPECTED TO IMPINGE ON WEAK SOUTHERLY WINDS AT THE SURFACE FOR
MODEST VERTICAL SHEAR. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTH
OF THE FRONT IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATER MONDAY. A BETTER CHANCE
FOR THUNDERSTORMS COMES TUESDAY WHEN SLIGHTLY STRONGER MID-LEVEL
FLOW IS ACROSS THE AREA AND THE FRONT HAS MOVED NORTH INTO MORE OF
OKLAHOMA. SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA HAVE THE BEST CHANCE FOR
RAIN. THE NEXT FRONT COMES THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A SECOND, STRONGER
ONE FRIDAY. THE ONE ON FRIDAY FINALLY BRINGS COOLER, MORE
SEASONABLE WEATHER. A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL COME WITH THIS
FRONT ESPECIALLY IN SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. MID-
LEVEL FLOW AND VERTICAL SHEAR IS STRONGER THIS DAY WHICH MAY LEAD
TO STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  53  77  49  72 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         50  78  47  72 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  54  83  54  74 /   0   0   0  10
GAGE OK           48  76  40  75 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     48  76  42  72 /   0  10   0   0
DURANT OK         52  78  56  70 /   0   0  20  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR OKZ004-005-009-010-014-015-021-033-034-036.

TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR TXZ083.

&&

$$

84/11



000
FXUS64 KOUN 282342
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
642 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...
29/00Z TAFS.

&&

.AVIATION...
PRIMARILY VFR CONDITIONS WITH WINDS SHIFTING FROM SOUTHERLY TO
STRONG NORTHERLY. COULD SEE MVFR VSBY AND CIGS FROM KPNC DOWN
THROUGH KOKC/KOUN FROM AROUND 09-12Z UNTIL FROPA WITH MOISTURE
INCREASE. CIGS WILL BE MENTIONED AT KPNC WITH LIGHT FOG KOKC/KOUN.
STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED AFTER FROPA WITH VFR CONDITIONS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 131 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
SEVERAL FRONTS THIS WEEK WILL BRING WIND SHIFTS AND CHANCES FOR
RAIN, BUT THE WARM AIRMASSES WILL STAY IN OKLAHOMA UNTIL THURSDAY.
THE FIRST FRONT TOMORROW WILL BRING GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND
INCREASED FIRE DANGER TO WESTERN OKLAHOMA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY
JUST LOWER TO 20 PERCENT, SO A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS EFFECTIVE
THERE TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL TOMORROW
NIGHT NEAR OR SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER. THIS WILL BE THE WEATHER
MAKER MONDAY AND TUESDAY. ON MONDAY WEAK NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IS
EXPECTED TO IMPINGE ON WEAK SOUTHERLY WINDS AT THE SURFACE FOR
MODEST VERTICAL SHEAR. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTH
OF THE FRONT IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATER MONDAY. A BETTER CHANCE
FOR THUNDERSTORMS COMES TUESDAY WHEN SLIGHTLY STRONGER MID-LEVEL
FLOW IS ACROSS THE AREA AND THE FRONT HAS MOVED NORTH INTO MORE OF
OKLAHOMA. SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA HAVE THE BEST CHANCE FOR
RAIN. THE NEXT FRONT COMES THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A SECOND, STRONGER
ONE FRIDAY. THE ONE ON FRIDAY FINALLY BRINGS COOLER, MORE
SEASONABLE WEATHER. A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL COME WITH THIS
FRONT ESPECIALLY IN SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. MID-
LEVEL FLOW AND VERTICAL SHEAR IS STRONGER THIS DAY WHICH MAY LEAD
TO STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  53  77  49  72 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         50  78  47  72 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  54  83  54  74 /   0   0   0  10
GAGE OK           48  76  40  75 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     48  76  42  72 /   0  10   0   0
DURANT OK         52  78  56  70 /   0   0  20  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR OKZ004-005-009-010-014-015-021-033-034-036.

TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR TXZ083.

&&

$$

84/11



000
FXUS64 KOUN 282342
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
642 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...
29/00Z TAFS.

&&

.AVIATION...
PRIMARILY VFR CONDITIONS WITH WINDS SHIFTING FROM SOUTHERLY TO
STRONG NORTHERLY. COULD SEE MVFR VSBY AND CIGS FROM KPNC DOWN
THROUGH KOKC/KOUN FROM AROUND 09-12Z UNTIL FROPA WITH MOISTURE
INCREASE. CIGS WILL BE MENTIONED AT KPNC WITH LIGHT FOG KOKC/KOUN.
STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED AFTER FROPA WITH VFR CONDITIONS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 131 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
SEVERAL FRONTS THIS WEEK WILL BRING WIND SHIFTS AND CHANCES FOR
RAIN, BUT THE WARM AIRMASSES WILL STAY IN OKLAHOMA UNTIL THURSDAY.
THE FIRST FRONT TOMORROW WILL BRING GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND
INCREASED FIRE DANGER TO WESTERN OKLAHOMA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY
JUST LOWER TO 20 PERCENT, SO A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS EFFECTIVE
THERE TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL TOMORROW
NIGHT NEAR OR SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER. THIS WILL BE THE WEATHER
MAKER MONDAY AND TUESDAY. ON MONDAY WEAK NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IS
EXPECTED TO IMPINGE ON WEAK SOUTHERLY WINDS AT THE SURFACE FOR
MODEST VERTICAL SHEAR. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTH
OF THE FRONT IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATER MONDAY. A BETTER CHANCE
FOR THUNDERSTORMS COMES TUESDAY WHEN SLIGHTLY STRONGER MID-LEVEL
FLOW IS ACROSS THE AREA AND THE FRONT HAS MOVED NORTH INTO MORE OF
OKLAHOMA. SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA HAVE THE BEST CHANCE FOR
RAIN. THE NEXT FRONT COMES THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A SECOND, STRONGER
ONE FRIDAY. THE ONE ON FRIDAY FINALLY BRINGS COOLER, MORE
SEASONABLE WEATHER. A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL COME WITH THIS
FRONT ESPECIALLY IN SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. MID-
LEVEL FLOW AND VERTICAL SHEAR IS STRONGER THIS DAY WHICH MAY LEAD
TO STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  53  77  49  72 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         50  78  47  72 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  54  83  54  74 /   0   0   0  10
GAGE OK           48  76  40  75 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     48  76  42  72 /   0  10   0   0
DURANT OK         52  78  56  70 /   0   0  20  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR OKZ004-005-009-010-014-015-021-033-034-036.

TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR TXZ083.

&&

$$

84/11




000
FXUS64 KTSA 282316
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
616 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MID CLOUDS
WILL INCREASE AFTER 18Z SUNDAY WITH WINDS SWITCHING TO NORTH LATE
IN THE PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 402 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
UPPER WAVE MOVING FROM THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS THIS
EVENING INTO THE NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI VALLEY SUNDAY.
A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THAT H5 UPPER WAVE WILL
MOVE THROUGH EASTERN OK / NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SUNDAY.
TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL
CAUSE ENOUGH SOUTHEAST WIND TO HOLD TEMPS UP TONIGHT.

LOW CHANCE POPS  FAR SOUTHEAST SUNDAY NIGHT / MONDAY
WITH STALLED FRONT SOUTH.  BETTER CHANCE POPS MONDAY
NIGHT INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK  WHEN UNDERCUTTING
WAVE FROM THE SOUTHWEST MOVES INTO  TEXAS  AND LIFTS
MOISTURE OVER FRONTAL BOUNDARY. GOOD CHANCE OF STOUT
THUNDERSTORMS  TUESDAY WHEN NORTH TEXAS SURFACE WAVE
BACKS LOW LEVEL WINDS.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...14









000
FXUS64 KTSA 282316
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
616 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MID CLOUDS
WILL INCREASE AFTER 18Z SUNDAY WITH WINDS SWITCHING TO NORTH LATE
IN THE PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 402 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
UPPER WAVE MOVING FROM THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS THIS
EVENING INTO THE NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI VALLEY SUNDAY.
A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THAT H5 UPPER WAVE WILL
MOVE THROUGH EASTERN OK / NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SUNDAY.
TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL
CAUSE ENOUGH SOUTHEAST WIND TO HOLD TEMPS UP TONIGHT.

LOW CHANCE POPS  FAR SOUTHEAST SUNDAY NIGHT / MONDAY
WITH STALLED FRONT SOUTH.  BETTER CHANCE POPS MONDAY
NIGHT INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK  WHEN UNDERCUTTING
WAVE FROM THE SOUTHWEST MOVES INTO  TEXAS  AND LIFTS
MOISTURE OVER FRONTAL BOUNDARY. GOOD CHANCE OF STOUT
THUNDERSTORMS  TUESDAY WHEN NORTH TEXAS SURFACE WAVE
BACKS LOW LEVEL WINDS.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...14








000
FXUS64 KTSA 282102
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
402 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER WAVE MOVING FROM THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS THIS
EVENING INTO THE NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI VALLEY SUNDAY.
A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THAT H5 UPPER WAVE WILL
MOVE THROUGH EASTERN OK / NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SUNDAY.
TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL
CAUSE ENOUGH SOUTHEAST WIND TO HOLD TEMPS UP TONIGHT.

LOW CHANCE POPS  FAR SOUTHEAST SUNDAY NIGHT / MONDAY
WITH STALLED FRONT SOUTH.  BETTER CHANCE POPS MONDAY
NIGHT INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK  WHEN UNDERCUTTING
WAVE FROM THE SOUTHWEST MOVES INTO  TEXAS  AND LIFTS
MOISTURE OVER FRONTAL BOUNDARY. GOOD CHANCE OF STOUT
THUNDERSTORMS  TUESDAY WHEN NORTH TEXAS SURFACE WAVE
BACKS LOW LEVEL WINDS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   51  75  45  74 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   45  76  48  73 /   0  10  10   0
MLC   53  78  50  72 /   0   0  10  10
BVO   47  74  36  73 /   0  20   0   0
FYV   43  71  37  70 /   0  10  10   0
BYV   41  70  42  69 /   0  10   0   0
MKO   48  75  44  72 /   0   0  10   0
MIO   46  69  41  72 /   0  20   0   0
F10   52  77  47  72 /   0   0  10   0
HHW   50  80  55  70 /   0  10  40  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....21






000
FXUS64 KTSA 282102
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
402 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER WAVE MOVING FROM THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS THIS
EVENING INTO THE NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI VALLEY SUNDAY.
A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THAT H5 UPPER WAVE WILL
MOVE THROUGH EASTERN OK / NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SUNDAY.
TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL
CAUSE ENOUGH SOUTHEAST WIND TO HOLD TEMPS UP TONIGHT.

LOW CHANCE POPS  FAR SOUTHEAST SUNDAY NIGHT / MONDAY
WITH STALLED FRONT SOUTH.  BETTER CHANCE POPS MONDAY
NIGHT INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK  WHEN UNDERCUTTING
WAVE FROM THE SOUTHWEST MOVES INTO  TEXAS  AND LIFTS
MOISTURE OVER FRONTAL BOUNDARY. GOOD CHANCE OF STOUT
THUNDERSTORMS  TUESDAY WHEN NORTH TEXAS SURFACE WAVE
BACKS LOW LEVEL WINDS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   51  75  45  74 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   45  76  48  73 /   0  10  10   0
MLC   53  78  50  72 /   0   0  10  10
BVO   47  74  36  73 /   0  20   0   0
FYV   43  71  37  70 /   0  10  10   0
BYV   41  70  42  69 /   0  10   0   0
MKO   48  75  44  72 /   0   0  10   0
MIO   46  69  41  72 /   0  20   0   0
F10   52  77  47  72 /   0   0  10   0
HHW   50  80  55  70 /   0  10  40  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....21





000
FXUS64 KOUN 281831
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
131 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...
SEVERAL FRONTS THIS WEEK WILL BRING WIND SHIFTS AND CHANCES FOR
RAIN, BUT THE WARM AIRMASSES WILL STAY IN OKLAHOMA UNTIL THURSDAY.
THE FIRST FRONT TOMORROW WILL BRING GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND
INCREASED FIRE DANGER TO WESTERN OKLAHOMA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY
JUST LOWER TO 20 PERCENT, SO A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS EFFECTIVE
THERE TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL TOMORROW
NIGHT NEAR OR SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER. THIS WILL BE THE WEATHER
MAKER MONDAY AND TUESDAY. ON MONDAY WEAK NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IS
EXPECTED TO IMPINGE ON WEAK SOUTHERLY WINDS AT THE SURFACE FOR
MODEST VERTICAL SHEAR. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTH
OF THE FRONT IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATER MONDAY. A BETTER CHANCE
FOR THUNDERSTORMS COMES TUESDAY WHEN SLIGHTLY STRONGER MID-LEVEL
FLOW IS ACROSS THE AREA AND THE FRONT HAS MOVED NORTH INTO MORE OF
OKLAHOMA. SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA HAVE THE BEST CHANCE FOR
RAIN. THE NEXT FRONT COMES THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A SECOND, STRONGER
ONE FRIDAY. THE ONE ON FRIDAY FINALLY BRINGS COOLER, MORE
SEASONABLE WEATHER. A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL COME WITH THIS
FRONT ESPECIALLY IN SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. MID-
LEVEL FLOW AND VERTICAL SHEAR IS STRONGER THIS DAY WHICH MAY LEAD
TO STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  53  77  49  72 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         50  78  47  72 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  54  83  54  74 /   0   0   0  10
GAGE OK           48  76  40  75 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     48  76  42  72 /   0  10   0   0
DURANT OK         52  78  56  70 /   0   0  20  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR OKZ004-005-009-010-014-015-021-033-034-036.

TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR TXZ083.

&&

$$

23/09



000
FXUS64 KOUN 281831
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
131 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...
SEVERAL FRONTS THIS WEEK WILL BRING WIND SHIFTS AND CHANCES FOR
RAIN, BUT THE WARM AIRMASSES WILL STAY IN OKLAHOMA UNTIL THURSDAY.
THE FIRST FRONT TOMORROW WILL BRING GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND
INCREASED FIRE DANGER TO WESTERN OKLAHOMA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY
JUST LOWER TO 20 PERCENT, SO A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS EFFECTIVE
THERE TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL TOMORROW
NIGHT NEAR OR SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER. THIS WILL BE THE WEATHER
MAKER MONDAY AND TUESDAY. ON MONDAY WEAK NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IS
EXPECTED TO IMPINGE ON WEAK SOUTHERLY WINDS AT THE SURFACE FOR
MODEST VERTICAL SHEAR. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTH
OF THE FRONT IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATER MONDAY. A BETTER CHANCE
FOR THUNDERSTORMS COMES TUESDAY WHEN SLIGHTLY STRONGER MID-LEVEL
FLOW IS ACROSS THE AREA AND THE FRONT HAS MOVED NORTH INTO MORE OF
OKLAHOMA. SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA HAVE THE BEST CHANCE FOR
RAIN. THE NEXT FRONT COMES THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A SECOND, STRONGER
ONE FRIDAY. THE ONE ON FRIDAY FINALLY BRINGS COOLER, MORE
SEASONABLE WEATHER. A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL COME WITH THIS
FRONT ESPECIALLY IN SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. MID-
LEVEL FLOW AND VERTICAL SHEAR IS STRONGER THIS DAY WHICH MAY LEAD
TO STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  53  77  49  72 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         50  78  47  72 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  54  83  54  74 /   0   0   0  10
GAGE OK           48  76  40  75 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     48  76  42  72 /   0  10   0   0
DURANT OK         52  78  56  70 /   0   0  20  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR OKZ004-005-009-010-014-015-021-033-034-036.

TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR TXZ083.

&&

$$

23/09




000
FXUS64 KOUN 281831
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
131 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...
SEVERAL FRONTS THIS WEEK WILL BRING WIND SHIFTS AND CHANCES FOR
RAIN, BUT THE WARM AIRMASSES WILL STAY IN OKLAHOMA UNTIL THURSDAY.
THE FIRST FRONT TOMORROW WILL BRING GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND
INCREASED FIRE DANGER TO WESTERN OKLAHOMA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY
JUST LOWER TO 20 PERCENT, SO A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS EFFECTIVE
THERE TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL TOMORROW
NIGHT NEAR OR SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER. THIS WILL BE THE WEATHER
MAKER MONDAY AND TUESDAY. ON MONDAY WEAK NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IS
EXPECTED TO IMPINGE ON WEAK SOUTHERLY WINDS AT THE SURFACE FOR
MODEST VERTICAL SHEAR. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTH
OF THE FRONT IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATER MONDAY. A BETTER CHANCE
FOR THUNDERSTORMS COMES TUESDAY WHEN SLIGHTLY STRONGER MID-LEVEL
FLOW IS ACROSS THE AREA AND THE FRONT HAS MOVED NORTH INTO MORE OF
OKLAHOMA. SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA HAVE THE BEST CHANCE FOR
RAIN. THE NEXT FRONT COMES THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A SECOND, STRONGER
ONE FRIDAY. THE ONE ON FRIDAY FINALLY BRINGS COOLER, MORE
SEASONABLE WEATHER. A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL COME WITH THIS
FRONT ESPECIALLY IN SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. MID-
LEVEL FLOW AND VERTICAL SHEAR IS STRONGER THIS DAY WHICH MAY LEAD
TO STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  53  77  49  72 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         50  78  47  72 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  54  83  54  74 /   0   0   0  10
GAGE OK           48  76  40  75 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     48  76  42  72 /   0  10   0   0
DURANT OK         52  78  56  70 /   0   0  20  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR OKZ004-005-009-010-014-015-021-033-034-036.

TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR TXZ083.

&&

$$

23/09




000
FXUS64 KOUN 281831
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
131 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...
SEVERAL FRONTS THIS WEEK WILL BRING WIND SHIFTS AND CHANCES FOR
RAIN, BUT THE WARM AIRMASSES WILL STAY IN OKLAHOMA UNTIL THURSDAY.
THE FIRST FRONT TOMORROW WILL BRING GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND
INCREASED FIRE DANGER TO WESTERN OKLAHOMA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY
JUST LOWER TO 20 PERCENT, SO A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS EFFECTIVE
THERE TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL TOMORROW
NIGHT NEAR OR SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER. THIS WILL BE THE WEATHER
MAKER MONDAY AND TUESDAY. ON MONDAY WEAK NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IS
EXPECTED TO IMPINGE ON WEAK SOUTHERLY WINDS AT THE SURFACE FOR
MODEST VERTICAL SHEAR. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTH
OF THE FRONT IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATER MONDAY. A BETTER CHANCE
FOR THUNDERSTORMS COMES TUESDAY WHEN SLIGHTLY STRONGER MID-LEVEL
FLOW IS ACROSS THE AREA AND THE FRONT HAS MOVED NORTH INTO MORE OF
OKLAHOMA. SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA HAVE THE BEST CHANCE FOR
RAIN. THE NEXT FRONT COMES THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A SECOND, STRONGER
ONE FRIDAY. THE ONE ON FRIDAY FINALLY BRINGS COOLER, MORE
SEASONABLE WEATHER. A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL COME WITH THIS
FRONT ESPECIALLY IN SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. MID-
LEVEL FLOW AND VERTICAL SHEAR IS STRONGER THIS DAY WHICH MAY LEAD
TO STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  53  77  49  72 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         50  78  47  72 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  54  83  54  74 /   0   0   0  10
GAGE OK           48  76  40  75 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     48  76  42  72 /   0  10   0   0
DURANT OK         52  78  56  70 /   0   0  20  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR OKZ004-005-009-010-014-015-021-033-034-036.

TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR TXZ083.

&&

$$

23/09



000
FXUS64 KOUN 281823
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
123 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015


.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF PATCH MVFR VISIBILITIES
BEFORE SUNRISE SUNDAY THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL INTO NORTH CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT UNTIL A FRONT ENTERS NORTHWEST
OKLAHOMA SUNDAY AFTER SUNRISE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1039 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SMALL SHOWERS HAVE ENDED ACROSS OUR EASTERN
COUNTIES...AND A GENERAL CLEARING TREND IS EXPECTED THERE THIS
MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE...MAINLY CLEAR SKIES WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

THE FORECAST APPEARS TO BE IN GOOD SHAPE AT THIS TIME...AND NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES ARE PLANNED FOR THIS MORNING.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 643 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

AVIATION...
28/12Z TAFS...
MID-LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA WILL
GRADUALLY MOVE EAST THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST BY AFTERNOON.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 343 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH THE
MORNING...WHILE LIGHT PRECIPITATION/SPRINKLES REMAIN EAST
OF THE FA. RATHER WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
ESPECIALLY ACROSS FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA. AFTERNOON HUMIDITY WILL
ALSO BE RATHER LOW IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA BUT SURFACE WINDS WILL
REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS OKLAHOMA ON SUNDAY AS A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVES QUICKLY INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION. ISOLATED STORMS
MAY FORM ALONG THE FRONT IN SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...MAINLY AFTER DARK.

SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE MONDAY EVENING...AS A
TROUGH APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN PLAINS FROM THE WEST. INCREASING
ASCENT MONDAY EVENING INTO TUESDAY MORNING SHOULD RESULT IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS...ESPECIALLY IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. OTHER
SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY DEVELOP AS THE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS SOUTH
TEXAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT.

ANOTHER FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  53  77  49  72 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         50  78  47  72 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  54  83  54  74 /   0   0   0  10
GAGE OK           48  76  40  75 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     48  76  42  72 /   0  10   0   0
DURANT OK         52  78  56  70 /   0   0  20  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR OKZ004-005-009-010-014-015-021-033-034-036.

TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR TXZ083.

&&

$$

23/09/09



000
FXUS64 KOUN 281823
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
123 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015


.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF PATCH MVFR VISIBILITIES
BEFORE SUNRISE SUNDAY THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL INTO NORTH CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT UNTIL A FRONT ENTERS NORTHWEST
OKLAHOMA SUNDAY AFTER SUNRISE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1039 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SMALL SHOWERS HAVE ENDED ACROSS OUR EASTERN
COUNTIES...AND A GENERAL CLEARING TREND IS EXPECTED THERE THIS
MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE...MAINLY CLEAR SKIES WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

THE FORECAST APPEARS TO BE IN GOOD SHAPE AT THIS TIME...AND NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES ARE PLANNED FOR THIS MORNING.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 643 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

AVIATION...
28/12Z TAFS...
MID-LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA WILL
GRADUALLY MOVE EAST THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST BY AFTERNOON.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 343 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH THE
MORNING...WHILE LIGHT PRECIPITATION/SPRINKLES REMAIN EAST
OF THE FA. RATHER WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
ESPECIALLY ACROSS FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA. AFTERNOON HUMIDITY WILL
ALSO BE RATHER LOW IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA BUT SURFACE WINDS WILL
REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS OKLAHOMA ON SUNDAY AS A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVES QUICKLY INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION. ISOLATED STORMS
MAY FORM ALONG THE FRONT IN SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...MAINLY AFTER DARK.

SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE MONDAY EVENING...AS A
TROUGH APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN PLAINS FROM THE WEST. INCREASING
ASCENT MONDAY EVENING INTO TUESDAY MORNING SHOULD RESULT IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS...ESPECIALLY IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. OTHER
SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY DEVELOP AS THE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS SOUTH
TEXAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT.

ANOTHER FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  53  77  49  72 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         50  78  47  72 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  54  83  54  74 /   0   0   0  10
GAGE OK           48  76  40  75 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     48  76  42  72 /   0  10   0   0
DURANT OK         52  78  56  70 /   0   0  20  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR OKZ004-005-009-010-014-015-021-033-034-036.

TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR TXZ083.

&&

$$

23/09/09



000
FXUS64 KOUN 281823
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
123 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015


.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF PATCH MVFR VISIBILITIES
BEFORE SUNRISE SUNDAY THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL INTO NORTH CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT UNTIL A FRONT ENTERS NORTHWEST
OKLAHOMA SUNDAY AFTER SUNRISE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1039 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SMALL SHOWERS HAVE ENDED ACROSS OUR EASTERN
COUNTIES...AND A GENERAL CLEARING TREND IS EXPECTED THERE THIS
MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE...MAINLY CLEAR SKIES WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

THE FORECAST APPEARS TO BE IN GOOD SHAPE AT THIS TIME...AND NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES ARE PLANNED FOR THIS MORNING.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 643 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

AVIATION...
28/12Z TAFS...
MID-LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA WILL
GRADUALLY MOVE EAST THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST BY AFTERNOON.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 343 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH THE
MORNING...WHILE LIGHT PRECIPITATION/SPRINKLES REMAIN EAST
OF THE FA. RATHER WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
ESPECIALLY ACROSS FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA. AFTERNOON HUMIDITY WILL
ALSO BE RATHER LOW IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA BUT SURFACE WINDS WILL
REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS OKLAHOMA ON SUNDAY AS A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVES QUICKLY INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION. ISOLATED STORMS
MAY FORM ALONG THE FRONT IN SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...MAINLY AFTER DARK.

SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE MONDAY EVENING...AS A
TROUGH APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN PLAINS FROM THE WEST. INCREASING
ASCENT MONDAY EVENING INTO TUESDAY MORNING SHOULD RESULT IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS...ESPECIALLY IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. OTHER
SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY DEVELOP AS THE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS SOUTH
TEXAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT.

ANOTHER FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  53  77  49  72 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         50  78  47  72 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  54  83  54  74 /   0   0   0  10
GAGE OK           48  76  40  75 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     48  76  42  72 /   0  10   0   0
DURANT OK         52  78  56  70 /   0   0  20  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR OKZ004-005-009-010-014-015-021-033-034-036.

TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR TXZ083.

&&

$$

23/09/09



000
FXUS64 KOUN 281823
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
123 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015


.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF PATCH MVFR VISIBILITIES
BEFORE SUNRISE SUNDAY THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL INTO NORTH CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT UNTIL A FRONT ENTERS NORTHWEST
OKLAHOMA SUNDAY AFTER SUNRISE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1039 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SMALL SHOWERS HAVE ENDED ACROSS OUR EASTERN
COUNTIES...AND A GENERAL CLEARING TREND IS EXPECTED THERE THIS
MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE...MAINLY CLEAR SKIES WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

THE FORECAST APPEARS TO BE IN GOOD SHAPE AT THIS TIME...AND NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES ARE PLANNED FOR THIS MORNING.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 643 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

AVIATION...
28/12Z TAFS...
MID-LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA WILL
GRADUALLY MOVE EAST THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST BY AFTERNOON.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 343 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH THE
MORNING...WHILE LIGHT PRECIPITATION/SPRINKLES REMAIN EAST
OF THE FA. RATHER WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
ESPECIALLY ACROSS FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA. AFTERNOON HUMIDITY WILL
ALSO BE RATHER LOW IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA BUT SURFACE WINDS WILL
REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS OKLAHOMA ON SUNDAY AS A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVES QUICKLY INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION. ISOLATED STORMS
MAY FORM ALONG THE FRONT IN SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...MAINLY AFTER DARK.

SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE MONDAY EVENING...AS A
TROUGH APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN PLAINS FROM THE WEST. INCREASING
ASCENT MONDAY EVENING INTO TUESDAY MORNING SHOULD RESULT IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS...ESPECIALLY IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. OTHER
SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY DEVELOP AS THE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS SOUTH
TEXAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT.

ANOTHER FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  53  77  49  72 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         50  78  47  72 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  54  83  54  74 /   0   0   0  10
GAGE OK           48  76  40  75 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     48  76  42  72 /   0  10   0   0
DURANT OK         52  78  56  70 /   0   0  20  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR OKZ004-005-009-010-014-015-021-033-034-036.

TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR TXZ083.

&&

$$

23/09/09



000
FXUS64 KOUN 281823
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
123 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015


.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF PATCH MVFR VISIBILITIES
BEFORE SUNRISE SUNDAY THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL INTO NORTH CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT UNTIL A FRONT ENTERS NORTHWEST
OKLAHOMA SUNDAY AFTER SUNRISE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1039 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SMALL SHOWERS HAVE ENDED ACROSS OUR EASTERN
COUNTIES...AND A GENERAL CLEARING TREND IS EXPECTED THERE THIS
MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE...MAINLY CLEAR SKIES WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

THE FORECAST APPEARS TO BE IN GOOD SHAPE AT THIS TIME...AND NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES ARE PLANNED FOR THIS MORNING.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 643 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

AVIATION...
28/12Z TAFS...
MID-LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA WILL
GRADUALLY MOVE EAST THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST BY AFTERNOON.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 343 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH THE
MORNING...WHILE LIGHT PRECIPITATION/SPRINKLES REMAIN EAST
OF THE FA. RATHER WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
ESPECIALLY ACROSS FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA. AFTERNOON HUMIDITY WILL
ALSO BE RATHER LOW IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA BUT SURFACE WINDS WILL
REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS OKLAHOMA ON SUNDAY AS A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVES QUICKLY INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION. ISOLATED STORMS
MAY FORM ALONG THE FRONT IN SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...MAINLY AFTER DARK.

SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE MONDAY EVENING...AS A
TROUGH APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN PLAINS FROM THE WEST. INCREASING
ASCENT MONDAY EVENING INTO TUESDAY MORNING SHOULD RESULT IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS...ESPECIALLY IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. OTHER
SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY DEVELOP AS THE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS SOUTH
TEXAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT.

ANOTHER FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  53  77  49  72 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         50  78  47  72 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  54  83  54  74 /   0   0   0  10
GAGE OK           48  76  40  75 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     48  76  42  72 /   0  10   0   0
DURANT OK         52  78  56  70 /   0   0  20  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR OKZ004-005-009-010-014-015-021-033-034-036.

TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR TXZ083.

&&

$$

23/09/09



000
FXUS64 KOUN 281823
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
123 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015


.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF PATCH MVFR VISIBILITIES
BEFORE SUNRISE SUNDAY THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL INTO NORTH CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT UNTIL A FRONT ENTERS NORTHWEST
OKLAHOMA SUNDAY AFTER SUNRISE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1039 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SMALL SHOWERS HAVE ENDED ACROSS OUR EASTERN
COUNTIES...AND A GENERAL CLEARING TREND IS EXPECTED THERE THIS
MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE...MAINLY CLEAR SKIES WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

THE FORECAST APPEARS TO BE IN GOOD SHAPE AT THIS TIME...AND NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES ARE PLANNED FOR THIS MORNING.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 643 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

AVIATION...
28/12Z TAFS...
MID-LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA WILL
GRADUALLY MOVE EAST THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST BY AFTERNOON.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 343 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH THE
MORNING...WHILE LIGHT PRECIPITATION/SPRINKLES REMAIN EAST
OF THE FA. RATHER WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
ESPECIALLY ACROSS FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA. AFTERNOON HUMIDITY WILL
ALSO BE RATHER LOW IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA BUT SURFACE WINDS WILL
REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS OKLAHOMA ON SUNDAY AS A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVES QUICKLY INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION. ISOLATED STORMS
MAY FORM ALONG THE FRONT IN SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...MAINLY AFTER DARK.

SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE MONDAY EVENING...AS A
TROUGH APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN PLAINS FROM THE WEST. INCREASING
ASCENT MONDAY EVENING INTO TUESDAY MORNING SHOULD RESULT IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS...ESPECIALLY IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. OTHER
SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY DEVELOP AS THE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS SOUTH
TEXAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT.

ANOTHER FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  53  77  49  72 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         50  78  47  72 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  54  83  54  74 /   0   0   0  10
GAGE OK           48  76  40  75 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     48  76  42  72 /   0  10   0   0
DURANT OK         52  78  56  70 /   0   0  20  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR OKZ004-005-009-010-014-015-021-033-034-036.

TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR TXZ083.

&&

$$

23/09/09




000
FXUS64 KTSA 281730
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1230 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SOUTHEAST WINDS
WILL BECOME SOUTH AND INCREASE LATER TONIGHT AND INTO
SUNDAY MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1054 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED SHOWERS HAVE JUST ABOUT FIZZLED OUT
WITH SUNNY TO CLEARING SKIES EXPECTED THE
REMAINDER OF THE DAY.

UPDATED PRODUCTS ARE ON THE WAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   49  71  46  71 /   0  10   0   0
FSM   44  73  50  72 /  10  10  20  10
MLC   51  76  53  72 /   0  10  10  10
BVO   42  72  39  70 /   0  10   0   0
FYV   39  67  42  69 /   0  10  10   0
BYV   37  67  43  67 /  10  10  10   0
MKO   45  71  48  71 /   0  10  10   0
MIO   44  67  41  69 /   0  10   0   0
F10   50  73  49  72 /   0  10  10   0
HHW   49  77  57  71 /   0  10  30  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...18





000
FXUS64 KTSA 281730
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1230 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SOUTHEAST WINDS
WILL BECOME SOUTH AND INCREASE LATER TONIGHT AND INTO
SUNDAY MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1054 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED SHOWERS HAVE JUST ABOUT FIZZLED OUT
WITH SUNNY TO CLEARING SKIES EXPECTED THE
REMAINDER OF THE DAY.

UPDATED PRODUCTS ARE ON THE WAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   49  71  46  71 /   0  10   0   0
FSM   44  73  50  72 /  10  10  20  10
MLC   51  76  53  72 /   0  10  10  10
BVO   42  72  39  70 /   0  10   0   0
FYV   39  67  42  69 /   0  10  10   0
BYV   37  67  43  67 /  10  10  10   0
MKO   45  71  48  71 /   0  10  10   0
MIO   44  67  41  69 /   0  10   0   0
F10   50  73  49  72 /   0  10  10   0
HHW   49  77  57  71 /   0  10  30  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...18





000
FXUS64 KTSA 281730
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1230 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SOUTHEAST WINDS
WILL BECOME SOUTH AND INCREASE LATER TONIGHT AND INTO
SUNDAY MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1054 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED SHOWERS HAVE JUST ABOUT FIZZLED OUT
WITH SUNNY TO CLEARING SKIES EXPECTED THE
REMAINDER OF THE DAY.

UPDATED PRODUCTS ARE ON THE WAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   49  71  46  71 /   0  10   0   0
FSM   44  73  50  72 /  10  10  20  10
MLC   51  76  53  72 /   0  10  10  10
BVO   42  72  39  70 /   0  10   0   0
FYV   39  67  42  69 /   0  10  10   0
BYV   37  67  43  67 /  10  10  10   0
MKO   45  71  48  71 /   0  10  10   0
MIO   44  67  41  69 /   0  10   0   0
F10   50  73  49  72 /   0  10  10   0
HHW   49  77  57  71 /   0  10  30  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...18





000
FXUS64 KTSA 281730
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1230 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SOUTHEAST WINDS
WILL BECOME SOUTH AND INCREASE LATER TONIGHT AND INTO
SUNDAY MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1054 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED SHOWERS HAVE JUST ABOUT FIZZLED OUT
WITH SUNNY TO CLEARING SKIES EXPECTED THE
REMAINDER OF THE DAY.

UPDATED PRODUCTS ARE ON THE WAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   49  71  46  71 /   0  10   0   0
FSM   44  73  50  72 /  10  10  20  10
MLC   51  76  53  72 /   0  10  10  10
BVO   42  72  39  70 /   0  10   0   0
FYV   39  67  42  69 /   0  10  10   0
BYV   37  67  43  67 /  10  10  10   0
MKO   45  71  48  71 /   0  10  10   0
MIO   44  67  41  69 /   0  10   0   0
F10   50  73  49  72 /   0  10  10   0
HHW   49  77  57  71 /   0  10  30  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...18





000
FXUS64 KTSA 281730
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1230 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SOUTHEAST WINDS
WILL BECOME SOUTH AND INCREASE LATER TONIGHT AND INTO
SUNDAY MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1054 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED SHOWERS HAVE JUST ABOUT FIZZLED OUT
WITH SUNNY TO CLEARING SKIES EXPECTED THE
REMAINDER OF THE DAY.

UPDATED PRODUCTS ARE ON THE WAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   49  71  46  71 /   0  10   0   0
FSM   44  73  50  72 /  10  10  20  10
MLC   51  76  53  72 /   0  10  10  10
BVO   42  72  39  70 /   0  10   0   0
FYV   39  67  42  69 /   0  10  10   0
BYV   37  67  43  67 /  10  10  10   0
MKO   45  71  48  71 /   0  10  10   0
MIO   44  67  41  69 /   0  10   0   0
F10   50  73  49  72 /   0  10  10   0
HHW   49  77  57  71 /   0  10  30  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...18





000
FXUS64 KTSA 281554
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1054 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED SHOWERS HAVE JUST ABOUT FIZZLED OUT
WITH SUNNY TO CLEARING SKIES EXPECTED THE
REMAINDER OF THE DAY.

UPDATED PRODUCTS ARE ON THE WAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   70  49  71  46 /  10   0  10   0
FSM   65  44  73  50 /  20  10  10  20
MLC   71  51  76  53 /   0   0  10  10
BVO   69  42  72  39 /  10   0  10   0
FYV   60  39  67  42 /  10   0  10  10
BYV   54  37  67  43 /  10  10  10  10
MKO   68  45  71  48 /   0   0  10  10
MIO   64  44  67  41 /  10   0  10   0
F10   70  50  73  49 /   0   0  10  10
HHW   73  49  77  57 /   0   0  10  30

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...18
LONG TERM....99





000
FXUS64 KTSA 281554
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1054 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED SHOWERS HAVE JUST ABOUT FIZZLED OUT
WITH SUNNY TO CLEARING SKIES EXPECTED THE
REMAINDER OF THE DAY.

UPDATED PRODUCTS ARE ON THE WAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   70  49  71  46 /  10   0  10   0
FSM   65  44  73  50 /  20  10  10  20
MLC   71  51  76  53 /   0   0  10  10
BVO   69  42  72  39 /  10   0  10   0
FYV   60  39  67  42 /  10   0  10  10
BYV   54  37  67  43 /  10  10  10  10
MKO   68  45  71  48 /   0   0  10  10
MIO   64  44  67  41 /  10   0  10   0
F10   70  50  73  49 /   0   0  10  10
HHW   73  49  77  57 /   0   0  10  30

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...18
LONG TERM....99





000
FXUS64 KTSA 281554
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1054 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED SHOWERS HAVE JUST ABOUT FIZZLED OUT
WITH SUNNY TO CLEARING SKIES EXPECTED THE
REMAINDER OF THE DAY.

UPDATED PRODUCTS ARE ON THE WAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   70  49  71  46 /  10   0  10   0
FSM   65  44  73  50 /  20  10  10  20
MLC   71  51  76  53 /   0   0  10  10
BVO   69  42  72  39 /  10   0  10   0
FYV   60  39  67  42 /  10   0  10  10
BYV   54  37  67  43 /  10  10  10  10
MKO   68  45  71  48 /   0   0  10  10
MIO   64  44  67  41 /  10   0  10   0
F10   70  50  73  49 /   0   0  10  10
HHW   73  49  77  57 /   0   0  10  30

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...18
LONG TERM....99





000
FXUS64 KTSA 281554
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1054 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED SHOWERS HAVE JUST ABOUT FIZZLED OUT
WITH SUNNY TO CLEARING SKIES EXPECTED THE
REMAINDER OF THE DAY.

UPDATED PRODUCTS ARE ON THE WAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   70  49  71  46 /  10   0  10   0
FSM   65  44  73  50 /  20  10  10  20
MLC   71  51  76  53 /   0   0  10  10
BVO   69  42  72  39 /  10   0  10   0
FYV   60  39  67  42 /  10   0  10  10
BYV   54  37  67  43 /  10  10  10  10
MKO   68  45  71  48 /   0   0  10  10
MIO   64  44  67  41 /  10   0  10   0
F10   70  50  73  49 /   0   0  10  10
HHW   73  49  77  57 /   0   0  10  30

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...18
LONG TERM....99





000
FXUS64 KOUN 281539
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1039 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SMALL SHOWERS HAVE ENDED ACROSS OUR EASTERN
COUNTIES...AND A GENERAL CLEARING TREND IS EXPECTED THERE THIS
MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE...MAINLY CLEAR SKIES WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

THE FORECAST APPEARS TO BE IN GOOD SHAPE AT THIS TIME...AND NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES ARE PLANNED FOR THIS MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 643 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

AVIATION...
28/12Z TAFS...
MID-LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA WILL
GRADUALLY MOVE EAST THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST BY AFTERNOON.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 343 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH THE
MORNING...WHILE LIGHT PRECIPITATION/SPRINKLES REMAIN EAST
OF THE FA. RATHER WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
ESPECIALLY ACROSS FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA. AFTERNOON HUMIDITY WILL
ALSO BE RATHER LOW IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA BUT SURFACE WINDS WILL
REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS OKLAHOMA ON SUNDAY AS A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVES QUICKLY INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION. ISOLATED STORMS
MAY FORM ALONG THE FRONT IN SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...MAINLY AFTER DARK.

SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE MONDAY EVENING...AS A
TROUGH APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN PLAINS FROM THE WEST. INCREASING
ASCENT MONDAY EVENING INTO TUESDAY MORNING SHOULD RESULT IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS...ESPECIALLY IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. OTHER
SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY DEVELOP AS THE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS SOUTH
TEXAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT.

ANOTHER FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  74  52  77  47 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         79  49  78  46 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  82  54  83  52 /   0   0   0  10
GAGE OK           83  48  75  39 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     72  47  76  42 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         74  51  79  55 /   0   0   0  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

23/09




000
FXUS64 KOUN 281143
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
643 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.AVIATION...
28/12Z TAFS...
MID-LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA WILL
GRADUALLY MOVE EAST THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST BY AFTERNOON.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 343 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH THE
MORNING...WHILE LIGHT PRECIPITATION/SPRINKLES REMAIN EAST
OF THE FA. RATHER WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
ESPECIALLY ACROSS FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA. AFTERNOON HUMIDITY WILL
ALSO BE RATHER LOW IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA BUT SURFACE WINDS WILL
REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS OKLAHOMA ON SUNDAY AS A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVES QUICKLY INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION. ISOLATED STORMS
MAY FORM ALONG THE FRONT IN SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...MAINLY AFTER DARK.

SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE MONDAY EVENING...AS A
TROUGH APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN PLAINS FROM THE WEST. INCREASING
ASCENT MONDAY EVENING INTO TUESDAY MORNING SHOULD RESULT IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS...ESPECIALLY IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. OTHER
SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY DEVELOP AS THE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS SOUTH
TEXAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT.

ANOTHER FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  75  52  77  47 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         80  49  78  46 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  83  54  83  52 /   0   0   0  10
GAGE OK           83  48  75  39 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     72  47  76  42 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         74  51  79  55 /   0   0   0  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KOUN 281143
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
643 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.AVIATION...
28/12Z TAFS...
MID-LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA WILL
GRADUALLY MOVE EAST THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST BY AFTERNOON.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 343 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH THE
MORNING...WHILE LIGHT PRECIPITATION/SPRINKLES REMAIN EAST
OF THE FA. RATHER WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
ESPECIALLY ACROSS FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA. AFTERNOON HUMIDITY WILL
ALSO BE RATHER LOW IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA BUT SURFACE WINDS WILL
REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS OKLAHOMA ON SUNDAY AS A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVES QUICKLY INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION. ISOLATED STORMS
MAY FORM ALONG THE FRONT IN SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...MAINLY AFTER DARK.

SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE MONDAY EVENING...AS A
TROUGH APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN PLAINS FROM THE WEST. INCREASING
ASCENT MONDAY EVENING INTO TUESDAY MORNING SHOULD RESULT IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS...ESPECIALLY IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. OTHER
SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY DEVELOP AS THE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS SOUTH
TEXAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT.

ANOTHER FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  75  52  77  47 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         80  49  78  46 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  83  54  83  52 /   0   0   0  10
GAGE OK           83  48  75  39 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     72  47  76  42 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         74  51  79  55 /   0   0   0  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$



000
FXUS64 KOUN 281143
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
643 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.AVIATION...
28/12Z TAFS...
MID-LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA WILL
GRADUALLY MOVE EAST THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST BY AFTERNOON.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 343 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH THE
MORNING...WHILE LIGHT PRECIPITATION/SPRINKLES REMAIN EAST
OF THE FA. RATHER WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
ESPECIALLY ACROSS FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA. AFTERNOON HUMIDITY WILL
ALSO BE RATHER LOW IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA BUT SURFACE WINDS WILL
REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS OKLAHOMA ON SUNDAY AS A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVES QUICKLY INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION. ISOLATED STORMS
MAY FORM ALONG THE FRONT IN SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...MAINLY AFTER DARK.

SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE MONDAY EVENING...AS A
TROUGH APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN PLAINS FROM THE WEST. INCREASING
ASCENT MONDAY EVENING INTO TUESDAY MORNING SHOULD RESULT IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS...ESPECIALLY IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. OTHER
SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY DEVELOP AS THE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS SOUTH
TEXAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT.

ANOTHER FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  75  52  77  47 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         80  49  78  46 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  83  54  83  52 /   0   0   0  10
GAGE OK           83  48  75  39 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     72  47  76  42 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         74  51  79  55 /   0   0   0  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$



000
FXUS64 KTSA 281100
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
600 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. LIGHT SHOWERS WILL
AFFECT MOST...IF NOT ALL...THE TERMINALS THROUGH THE FIRST 4 TO 6
HOURS OF THE VALID TAF PERIOD...BUT CIG/VSBY IMPACTS SHOULD NOT
OCCUR.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 332 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
FAST MOVING MINOR WAVE PASSING THIS MORNING MAY PRODUCE SCATTERED
LIGHT RAIN PRIMARILY OVER FAR NW AR...OTHERWISE WARMER TEMPS WILL
BE REALIZED AS SFC HIGH SHIFTS EASTWARD AND SOUTHERLY FLOW
RETURNS. THE NEXT COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY /
SUNDAY EVENING WITH AN AXIS OF HIGHER INSTABILITY DEVELOPING ALONG
THE BOUNDARY ACROSS SE OK INTO WESTERN AR. INHIBITION IS FORECAST
TO REMAIN RATHER STRONG WITH ANY STORM DEVELOPMENT LIKELY WAITING
UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING AND MOST LIKELY ACROSS FAR SE OK AND POINTS
FURTHER SOUTH.

THE AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARY BECOMES STATIONARY BEFORE WORKING
SLOWLY BACK NORTH MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY WHILE PROVIDING FOCUS
FOR A PASSING UPPER WAVE. THE RESULT WILL BE INCREASING PRECIP
CHANCES LATE MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE UPPER PATTERN IS MUCH LESS AMPLIFIED BY LATE WEEK WITH A
STRONGER STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY TIMED THROUGH THE PLAINS BY
FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK WILL BE ABOVE
NORMAL.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...22





000
FXUS64 KTSA 281100
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
600 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. LIGHT SHOWERS WILL
AFFECT MOST...IF NOT ALL...THE TERMINALS THROUGH THE FIRST 4 TO 6
HOURS OF THE VALID TAF PERIOD...BUT CIG/VSBY IMPACTS SHOULD NOT
OCCUR.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 332 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
FAST MOVING MINOR WAVE PASSING THIS MORNING MAY PRODUCE SCATTERED
LIGHT RAIN PRIMARILY OVER FAR NW AR...OTHERWISE WARMER TEMPS WILL
BE REALIZED AS SFC HIGH SHIFTS EASTWARD AND SOUTHERLY FLOW
RETURNS. THE NEXT COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY /
SUNDAY EVENING WITH AN AXIS OF HIGHER INSTABILITY DEVELOPING ALONG
THE BOUNDARY ACROSS SE OK INTO WESTERN AR. INHIBITION IS FORECAST
TO REMAIN RATHER STRONG WITH ANY STORM DEVELOPMENT LIKELY WAITING
UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING AND MOST LIKELY ACROSS FAR SE OK AND POINTS
FURTHER SOUTH.

THE AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARY BECOMES STATIONARY BEFORE WORKING
SLOWLY BACK NORTH MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY WHILE PROVIDING FOCUS
FOR A PASSING UPPER WAVE. THE RESULT WILL BE INCREASING PRECIP
CHANCES LATE MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE UPPER PATTERN IS MUCH LESS AMPLIFIED BY LATE WEEK WITH A
STRONGER STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY TIMED THROUGH THE PLAINS BY
FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK WILL BE ABOVE
NORMAL.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...22






000
FXUS64 KTSA 281100
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
600 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. LIGHT SHOWERS WILL
AFFECT MOST...IF NOT ALL...THE TERMINALS THROUGH THE FIRST 4 TO 6
HOURS OF THE VALID TAF PERIOD...BUT CIG/VSBY IMPACTS SHOULD NOT
OCCUR.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 332 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
FAST MOVING MINOR WAVE PASSING THIS MORNING MAY PRODUCE SCATTERED
LIGHT RAIN PRIMARILY OVER FAR NW AR...OTHERWISE WARMER TEMPS WILL
BE REALIZED AS SFC HIGH SHIFTS EASTWARD AND SOUTHERLY FLOW
RETURNS. THE NEXT COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY /
SUNDAY EVENING WITH AN AXIS OF HIGHER INSTABILITY DEVELOPING ALONG
THE BOUNDARY ACROSS SE OK INTO WESTERN AR. INHIBITION IS FORECAST
TO REMAIN RATHER STRONG WITH ANY STORM DEVELOPMENT LIKELY WAITING
UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING AND MOST LIKELY ACROSS FAR SE OK AND POINTS
FURTHER SOUTH.

THE AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARY BECOMES STATIONARY BEFORE WORKING
SLOWLY BACK NORTH MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY WHILE PROVIDING FOCUS
FOR A PASSING UPPER WAVE. THE RESULT WILL BE INCREASING PRECIP
CHANCES LATE MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE UPPER PATTERN IS MUCH LESS AMPLIFIED BY LATE WEEK WITH A
STRONGER STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY TIMED THROUGH THE PLAINS BY
FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK WILL BE ABOVE
NORMAL.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...22





000
FXUS64 KOUN 280843
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
343 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...
MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH THE
MORNING...WHILE LIGHT PRECIPITATION/SPRINKLES REMAIN EAST
OF THE FA. RATHER WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
ESPECIALLY ACROSS FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA. AFTERNOON HUMIDITY WILL
ALSO BE RATHER LOW IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA BUT SURFACE WINDS WILL
REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS OKLAHOMA ON SUNDAY AS A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVES QUICKLY INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION. ISOLATED STORMS
MAY FORM ALONG THE FRONT IN SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...MAINLY AFTER DARK.

SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE MONDAY EVENING...AS A
TROUGH APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN PLAINS FROM THE WEST. INCREASING
ASCENT MONDAY EVENING INTO TUESDAY MORNING SHOULD RESULT IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS...ESPECIALLY IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. OTHER
SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY DEVELOP AS THE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS SOUTH
TEXAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT.

ANOTHER FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  75  52  77  47 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         80  49  78  46 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  83  54  83  52 /   0   0   0  10
GAGE OK           83  48  75  39 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     72  47  76  42 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         74  51  79  55 /   0   0   0  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KOUN 280843
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
343 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...
MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH THE
MORNING...WHILE LIGHT PRECIPITATION/SPRINKLES REMAIN EAST
OF THE FA. RATHER WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
ESPECIALLY ACROSS FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA. AFTERNOON HUMIDITY WILL
ALSO BE RATHER LOW IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA BUT SURFACE WINDS WILL
REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS OKLAHOMA ON SUNDAY AS A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVES QUICKLY INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION. ISOLATED STORMS
MAY FORM ALONG THE FRONT IN SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...MAINLY AFTER DARK.

SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE MONDAY EVENING...AS A
TROUGH APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN PLAINS FROM THE WEST. INCREASING
ASCENT MONDAY EVENING INTO TUESDAY MORNING SHOULD RESULT IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS...ESPECIALLY IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. OTHER
SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY DEVELOP AS THE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS SOUTH
TEXAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT.

ANOTHER FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  75  52  77  47 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         80  49  78  46 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  83  54  83  52 /   0   0   0  10
GAGE OK           83  48  75  39 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     72  47  76  42 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         74  51  79  55 /   0   0   0  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$



000
FXUS64 KTSA 280832
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
332 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...
FAST MOVING MINOR WAVE PASSING THIS MORNING MAY PRODUCE SCATTERED
LIGHT RAIN PRIMARILY OVER FAR NW AR...OTHERWISE WARMER TEMPS WILL
BE REALIZED AS SFC HIGH SHIFTS EASTWARD AND SOUTHERLY FLOW
RETURNS. THE NEXT COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY /
SUNDAY EVENING WITH AN AXIS OF HIGHER INSTABILITY DEVELOPING ALONG
THE BOUNDARY ACROSS SE OK INTO WESTERN AR. INHIBITION IS FORECAST
TO REMAIN RATHER STRONG WITH ANY STORM DEVELOPMENT LIKELY WAITING
UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING AND MOST LIKELY ACROSS FAR SE OK AND POINTS
FURTHER SOUTH.

THE AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARY BECOMES STATIONARY BEFORE WORKING
SLOWLY BACK NORTH MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY WHILE PROVIDING FOCUS
FOR A PASSING UPPER WAVE. THE RESULT WILL BE INCREASING PRECIP
CHANCES LATE MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE UPPER PATTERN IS MUCH LESS AMPLIFIED BY LATE WEEK WITH A
STRONGER STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY TIMED THROUGH THE PLAINS BY
FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK WILL BE ABOVE
NORMAL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   70  49  71  46 /  10   0  10   0
FSM   65  44  73  50 /  10  10  10  20
MLC   71  51  76  53 /   0   0  10  10
BVO   69  42  72  39 /  10   0  10   0
FYV   60  39  67  42 /  10   0  10  10
BYV   54  37  67  43 /  20  10  10  10
MKO   68  45  71  48 /   0   0  10  10
MIO   64  44  67  41 /  10   0  10   0
F10   70  50  73  49 /   0   0  10  10
HHW   73  49  77  57 /   0   0  10  30

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....07






000
FXUS64 KTSA 280832
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
332 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...
FAST MOVING MINOR WAVE PASSING THIS MORNING MAY PRODUCE SCATTERED
LIGHT RAIN PRIMARILY OVER FAR NW AR...OTHERWISE WARMER TEMPS WILL
BE REALIZED AS SFC HIGH SHIFTS EASTWARD AND SOUTHERLY FLOW
RETURNS. THE NEXT COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY /
SUNDAY EVENING WITH AN AXIS OF HIGHER INSTABILITY DEVELOPING ALONG
THE BOUNDARY ACROSS SE OK INTO WESTERN AR. INHIBITION IS FORECAST
TO REMAIN RATHER STRONG WITH ANY STORM DEVELOPMENT LIKELY WAITING
UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING AND MOST LIKELY ACROSS FAR SE OK AND POINTS
FURTHER SOUTH.

THE AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARY BECOMES STATIONARY BEFORE WORKING
SLOWLY BACK NORTH MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY WHILE PROVIDING FOCUS
FOR A PASSING UPPER WAVE. THE RESULT WILL BE INCREASING PRECIP
CHANCES LATE MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE UPPER PATTERN IS MUCH LESS AMPLIFIED BY LATE WEEK WITH A
STRONGER STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY TIMED THROUGH THE PLAINS BY
FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK WILL BE ABOVE
NORMAL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   70  49  71  46 /  10   0  10   0
FSM   65  44  73  50 /  10  10  10  20
MLC   71  51  76  53 /   0   0  10  10
BVO   69  42  72  39 /  10   0  10   0
FYV   60  39  67  42 /  10   0  10  10
BYV   54  37  67  43 /  20  10  10  10
MKO   68  45  71  48 /   0   0  10  10
MIO   64  44  67  41 /  10   0  10   0
F10   70  50  73  49 /   0   0  10  10
HHW   73  49  77  57 /   0   0  10  30

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....07






000
FXUS64 KTSA 280832
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
332 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...
FAST MOVING MINOR WAVE PASSING THIS MORNING MAY PRODUCE SCATTERED
LIGHT RAIN PRIMARILY OVER FAR NW AR...OTHERWISE WARMER TEMPS WILL
BE REALIZED AS SFC HIGH SHIFTS EASTWARD AND SOUTHERLY FLOW
RETURNS. THE NEXT COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY /
SUNDAY EVENING WITH AN AXIS OF HIGHER INSTABILITY DEVELOPING ALONG
THE BOUNDARY ACROSS SE OK INTO WESTERN AR. INHIBITION IS FORECAST
TO REMAIN RATHER STRONG WITH ANY STORM DEVELOPMENT LIKELY WAITING
UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING AND MOST LIKELY ACROSS FAR SE OK AND POINTS
FURTHER SOUTH.

THE AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARY BECOMES STATIONARY BEFORE WORKING
SLOWLY BACK NORTH MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY WHILE PROVIDING FOCUS
FOR A PASSING UPPER WAVE. THE RESULT WILL BE INCREASING PRECIP
CHANCES LATE MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE UPPER PATTERN IS MUCH LESS AMPLIFIED BY LATE WEEK WITH A
STRONGER STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY TIMED THROUGH THE PLAINS BY
FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK WILL BE ABOVE
NORMAL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   70  49  71  46 /  10   0  10   0
FSM   65  44  73  50 /  10  10  10  20
MLC   71  51  76  53 /   0   0  10  10
BVO   69  42  72  39 /  10   0  10   0
FYV   60  39  67  42 /  10   0  10  10
BYV   54  37  67  43 /  20  10  10  10
MKO   68  45  71  48 /   0   0  10  10
MIO   64  44  67  41 /  10   0  10   0
F10   70  50  73  49 /   0   0  10  10
HHW   73  49  77  57 /   0   0  10  30

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....07






000
FXUS64 KTSA 280832
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
332 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...
FAST MOVING MINOR WAVE PASSING THIS MORNING MAY PRODUCE SCATTERED
LIGHT RAIN PRIMARILY OVER FAR NW AR...OTHERWISE WARMER TEMPS WILL
BE REALIZED AS SFC HIGH SHIFTS EASTWARD AND SOUTHERLY FLOW
RETURNS. THE NEXT COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY /
SUNDAY EVENING WITH AN AXIS OF HIGHER INSTABILITY DEVELOPING ALONG
THE BOUNDARY ACROSS SE OK INTO WESTERN AR. INHIBITION IS FORECAST
TO REMAIN RATHER STRONG WITH ANY STORM DEVELOPMENT LIKELY WAITING
UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING AND MOST LIKELY ACROSS FAR SE OK AND POINTS
FURTHER SOUTH.

THE AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARY BECOMES STATIONARY BEFORE WORKING
SLOWLY BACK NORTH MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY WHILE PROVIDING FOCUS
FOR A PASSING UPPER WAVE. THE RESULT WILL BE INCREASING PRECIP
CHANCES LATE MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE UPPER PATTERN IS MUCH LESS AMPLIFIED BY LATE WEEK WITH A
STRONGER STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY TIMED THROUGH THE PLAINS BY
FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK WILL BE ABOVE
NORMAL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   70  49  71  46 /  10   0  10   0
FSM   65  44  73  50 /  10  10  10  20
MLC   71  51  76  53 /   0   0  10  10
BVO   69  42  72  39 /  10   0  10   0
FYV   60  39  67  42 /  10   0  10  10
BYV   54  37  67  43 /  20  10  10  10
MKO   68  45  71  48 /   0   0  10  10
MIO   64  44  67  41 /  10   0  10   0
F10   70  50  73  49 /   0   0  10  10
HHW   73  49  77  57 /   0   0  10  30

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....07






000
FXUS64 KOUN 280510
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1210 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.AVIATION...
28/06Z TAFS...
MID-LEVEL CLOUDS WILL RESULT IN VFR CEILINGS OVERNIGHT INTO
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING WITH DECREASING CLOUDS THEREAFTER.  SOUTH
WINDS WILL BECOME EAST AND SOUTHEAST SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 925 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

UPDATE...
OVERALL FORECAST LOOKS GOOD. ONLY CHANGES WERE TO MAKES SOME
ADJUSTMENTS TO CLOUD COVER. SOME SPRINKLES STILL SEEM POSSIBLE
LATER TONIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE... DRY AND COOL
ACROSS THE AREA.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 638 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
28/00Z TAFS.

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH ANOTHER INCREASE IN MAINLY
10-15KFT CLOUDS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL TERMINALS 00Z-18Z. WINDS
MAINLY LIGHT WITH SOUTHWEST WIND DOMINATING BEFORE SHIFTING TO
SOUTHEAST LATE IN FORECAST PERIOD AS WARM FRONT DEVELOPS NEAR RED
RIVER.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 318 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
FORECAST FOCUS IS ON TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND... AND THE RETURN OF
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BEGINNING SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK.

MILD... MARCH LIKE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. REMAINING UNDER NW FLOW ALOFT... WITH THE EASTERN TROUGH
SLOW TO EXIT THE NORTHEAST... ANOTHER WEAK H500 SHORT WAVE WILL RIDE
DOWN THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EMBEDDED IN THE LARGER TROUGH.
THIS WILL ONCE AGAIN RESULT IN A WEAK COLD FRONT... NOT AS STRONG AS
LAST NIGHTS... CROSSING THE SRN PLAINS. IN RESPONSE... WE COULD SEE
SOME LIGHT SPRINKLES DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL OK.
HOWEVER... LOW/MID LEVEL MOISTURE IS NOT AS PLENTIFUL AS THIS
MORNING... SO COVERAGE MAY BE LESS THAN TODAY... BUT A FEW MAY SEE
SOME DROPS ON WINDSHIELDS DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE ACROSS
LOCATIONS ALONG I-35 AND NORTH AND EAST OF THE OKC METRO. TEMPS WILL
BE COOL AGAIN OVERNIGHT... WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S IN THE N/NE TO
THE MID 40S ACROSS WRN OK TO WRN N TX.

TEMPS WILL REBOUND THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A SHORT RIDGE DEVELOPS
OVER THE SW U.S AND S/SWRLY FLOW RETURNS. TEMPS ACROSS WRN N TX AND
SWRN OK MAY BE A 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL IN SOME LOCATIONS BOTH
SAT AND SUN. MOISTURE RETURN WILL ALSO INCREASE AS THE RIDGE
DIMINISHES INTO MONDAY AND AN H500 SHORT WAVE TROUGH PUSHES ACROSS NM
AND NRN MEXICO INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN BY TUESDAY. THE GFS REMAINS
THE MORE BULLISH SOLUTION IN COMPARO TO THE ECMWF... BUT BOTH
DEVELOP SOME -TSRA ALONG THE ERN RED RIVER VALLEY SUN NIGHT INTO MON
AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLIDES SOUTH INTO THE ARKLATEX. THE CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE INTO TUESDAY AS THE UPPER
WAVE APPROACHES... WITH THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE WARM
FRONT AS IT LIFTS OUT OF NRN TX INTO OK. CONSISTENCY BETWEEN
SOLUTIONS IS OKAY... NOT GREAT... BUT THE GENERAL IDEA IS THE SAME.
EXACT LOCATION OF PRECIP REMAINS THE CHALLENGE... WITH THE GFS
DEVELOPING MORE QPF... WHICH CONTINUES TO BE ITS TREND AS OF LATE.
CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING FOR THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...
WITH THE BEST CHANCES ALONG SRN OK/NRN TX AS THE FRONT LIFTS NORTH.
INSTABILITY WILL BE ENOUGH FOR THUNDER... BUT SHEAR LOOKS
MARGINAL... 25 TO 35KTS... SO SEVERE POTENTIAL LOOKS LOW AT THE
MOMENT.

LATER IN THE WEEK... LATE WED INTO THU... A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH IN
FROM THE NORTH... WITH ANOTHER CHANCE AT THUNDERSTORMS. AT THE
MOMENT... MOISTURE RECOVERY MAY BE SLOW DUE TO THE EXIT OF THE FIRST
SYSTEM... BUT ENOUGH MAY EXIST FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT. GUIDANCE IS IN
OKAY AGREEMENT... BUT IT IS A BIT TOO FAR OUT FOR ANY SPECIFICS.

JTK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  50  77  47  72 /   0   0   0  10
HOBART OK         48  80  46  71 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  52  84  52  74 /   0   0  10  10
GAGE OK           47  75  39  75 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     50  75  42  72 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         52  78  55  70 /   0   0  30  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KOUN 280510
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1210 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.AVIATION...
28/06Z TAFS...
MID-LEVEL CLOUDS WILL RESULT IN VFR CEILINGS OVERNIGHT INTO
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING WITH DECREASING CLOUDS THEREAFTER.  SOUTH
WINDS WILL BECOME EAST AND SOUTHEAST SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 925 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

UPDATE...
OVERALL FORECAST LOOKS GOOD. ONLY CHANGES WERE TO MAKES SOME
ADJUSTMENTS TO CLOUD COVER. SOME SPRINKLES STILL SEEM POSSIBLE
LATER TONIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE... DRY AND COOL
ACROSS THE AREA.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 638 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
28/00Z TAFS.

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH ANOTHER INCREASE IN MAINLY
10-15KFT CLOUDS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL TERMINALS 00Z-18Z. WINDS
MAINLY LIGHT WITH SOUTHWEST WIND DOMINATING BEFORE SHIFTING TO
SOUTHEAST LATE IN FORECAST PERIOD AS WARM FRONT DEVELOPS NEAR RED
RIVER.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 318 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
FORECAST FOCUS IS ON TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND... AND THE RETURN OF
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BEGINNING SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK.

MILD... MARCH LIKE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. REMAINING UNDER NW FLOW ALOFT... WITH THE EASTERN TROUGH
SLOW TO EXIT THE NORTHEAST... ANOTHER WEAK H500 SHORT WAVE WILL RIDE
DOWN THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EMBEDDED IN THE LARGER TROUGH.
THIS WILL ONCE AGAIN RESULT IN A WEAK COLD FRONT... NOT AS STRONG AS
LAST NIGHTS... CROSSING THE SRN PLAINS. IN RESPONSE... WE COULD SEE
SOME LIGHT SPRINKLES DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL OK.
HOWEVER... LOW/MID LEVEL MOISTURE IS NOT AS PLENTIFUL AS THIS
MORNING... SO COVERAGE MAY BE LESS THAN TODAY... BUT A FEW MAY SEE
SOME DROPS ON WINDSHIELDS DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE ACROSS
LOCATIONS ALONG I-35 AND NORTH AND EAST OF THE OKC METRO. TEMPS WILL
BE COOL AGAIN OVERNIGHT... WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S IN THE N/NE TO
THE MID 40S ACROSS WRN OK TO WRN N TX.

TEMPS WILL REBOUND THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A SHORT RIDGE DEVELOPS
OVER THE SW U.S AND S/SWRLY FLOW RETURNS. TEMPS ACROSS WRN N TX AND
SWRN OK MAY BE A 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL IN SOME LOCATIONS BOTH
SAT AND SUN. MOISTURE RETURN WILL ALSO INCREASE AS THE RIDGE
DIMINISHES INTO MONDAY AND AN H500 SHORT WAVE TROUGH PUSHES ACROSS NM
AND NRN MEXICO INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN BY TUESDAY. THE GFS REMAINS
THE MORE BULLISH SOLUTION IN COMPARO TO THE ECMWF... BUT BOTH
DEVELOP SOME -TSRA ALONG THE ERN RED RIVER VALLEY SUN NIGHT INTO MON
AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLIDES SOUTH INTO THE ARKLATEX. THE CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE INTO TUESDAY AS THE UPPER
WAVE APPROACHES... WITH THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE WARM
FRONT AS IT LIFTS OUT OF NRN TX INTO OK. CONSISTENCY BETWEEN
SOLUTIONS IS OKAY... NOT GREAT... BUT THE GENERAL IDEA IS THE SAME.
EXACT LOCATION OF PRECIP REMAINS THE CHALLENGE... WITH THE GFS
DEVELOPING MORE QPF... WHICH CONTINUES TO BE ITS TREND AS OF LATE.
CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING FOR THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...
WITH THE BEST CHANCES ALONG SRN OK/NRN TX AS THE FRONT LIFTS NORTH.
INSTABILITY WILL BE ENOUGH FOR THUNDER... BUT SHEAR LOOKS
MARGINAL... 25 TO 35KTS... SO SEVERE POTENTIAL LOOKS LOW AT THE
MOMENT.

LATER IN THE WEEK... LATE WED INTO THU... A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH IN
FROM THE NORTH... WITH ANOTHER CHANCE AT THUNDERSTORMS. AT THE
MOMENT... MOISTURE RECOVERY MAY BE SLOW DUE TO THE EXIT OF THE FIRST
SYSTEM... BUT ENOUGH MAY EXIST FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT. GUIDANCE IS IN
OKAY AGREEMENT... BUT IT IS A BIT TOO FAR OUT FOR ANY SPECIFICS.

JTK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  50  77  47  72 /   0   0   0  10
HOBART OK         48  80  46  71 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  52  84  52  74 /   0   0  10  10
GAGE OK           47  75  39  75 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     50  75  42  72 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         52  78  55  70 /   0   0  30  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$



000
FXUS64 KOUN 280510
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1210 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.AVIATION...
28/06Z TAFS...
MID-LEVEL CLOUDS WILL RESULT IN VFR CEILINGS OVERNIGHT INTO
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING WITH DECREASING CLOUDS THEREAFTER.  SOUTH
WINDS WILL BECOME EAST AND SOUTHEAST SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 925 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

UPDATE...
OVERALL FORECAST LOOKS GOOD. ONLY CHANGES WERE TO MAKES SOME
ADJUSTMENTS TO CLOUD COVER. SOME SPRINKLES STILL SEEM POSSIBLE
LATER TONIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE... DRY AND COOL
ACROSS THE AREA.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 638 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
28/00Z TAFS.

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH ANOTHER INCREASE IN MAINLY
10-15KFT CLOUDS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL TERMINALS 00Z-18Z. WINDS
MAINLY LIGHT WITH SOUTHWEST WIND DOMINATING BEFORE SHIFTING TO
SOUTHEAST LATE IN FORECAST PERIOD AS WARM FRONT DEVELOPS NEAR RED
RIVER.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 318 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
FORECAST FOCUS IS ON TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND... AND THE RETURN OF
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BEGINNING SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK.

MILD... MARCH LIKE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. REMAINING UNDER NW FLOW ALOFT... WITH THE EASTERN TROUGH
SLOW TO EXIT THE NORTHEAST... ANOTHER WEAK H500 SHORT WAVE WILL RIDE
DOWN THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EMBEDDED IN THE LARGER TROUGH.
THIS WILL ONCE AGAIN RESULT IN A WEAK COLD FRONT... NOT AS STRONG AS
LAST NIGHTS... CROSSING THE SRN PLAINS. IN RESPONSE... WE COULD SEE
SOME LIGHT SPRINKLES DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL OK.
HOWEVER... LOW/MID LEVEL MOISTURE IS NOT AS PLENTIFUL AS THIS
MORNING... SO COVERAGE MAY BE LESS THAN TODAY... BUT A FEW MAY SEE
SOME DROPS ON WINDSHIELDS DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE ACROSS
LOCATIONS ALONG I-35 AND NORTH AND EAST OF THE OKC METRO. TEMPS WILL
BE COOL AGAIN OVERNIGHT... WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S IN THE N/NE TO
THE MID 40S ACROSS WRN OK TO WRN N TX.

TEMPS WILL REBOUND THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A SHORT RIDGE DEVELOPS
OVER THE SW U.S AND S/SWRLY FLOW RETURNS. TEMPS ACROSS WRN N TX AND
SWRN OK MAY BE A 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL IN SOME LOCATIONS BOTH
SAT AND SUN. MOISTURE RETURN WILL ALSO INCREASE AS THE RIDGE
DIMINISHES INTO MONDAY AND AN H500 SHORT WAVE TROUGH PUSHES ACROSS NM
AND NRN MEXICO INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN BY TUESDAY. THE GFS REMAINS
THE MORE BULLISH SOLUTION IN COMPARO TO THE ECMWF... BUT BOTH
DEVELOP SOME -TSRA ALONG THE ERN RED RIVER VALLEY SUN NIGHT INTO MON
AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLIDES SOUTH INTO THE ARKLATEX. THE CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE INTO TUESDAY AS THE UPPER
WAVE APPROACHES... WITH THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE WARM
FRONT AS IT LIFTS OUT OF NRN TX INTO OK. CONSISTENCY BETWEEN
SOLUTIONS IS OKAY... NOT GREAT... BUT THE GENERAL IDEA IS THE SAME.
EXACT LOCATION OF PRECIP REMAINS THE CHALLENGE... WITH THE GFS
DEVELOPING MORE QPF... WHICH CONTINUES TO BE ITS TREND AS OF LATE.
CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING FOR THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...
WITH THE BEST CHANCES ALONG SRN OK/NRN TX AS THE FRONT LIFTS NORTH.
INSTABILITY WILL BE ENOUGH FOR THUNDER... BUT SHEAR LOOKS
MARGINAL... 25 TO 35KTS... SO SEVERE POTENTIAL LOOKS LOW AT THE
MOMENT.

LATER IN THE WEEK... LATE WED INTO THU... A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH IN
FROM THE NORTH... WITH ANOTHER CHANCE AT THUNDERSTORMS. AT THE
MOMENT... MOISTURE RECOVERY MAY BE SLOW DUE TO THE EXIT OF THE FIRST
SYSTEM... BUT ENOUGH MAY EXIST FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT. GUIDANCE IS IN
OKAY AGREEMENT... BUT IT IS A BIT TOO FAR OUT FOR ANY SPECIFICS.

JTK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  50  77  47  72 /   0   0   0  10
HOBART OK         48  80  46  71 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  52  84  52  74 /   0   0  10  10
GAGE OK           47  75  39  75 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     50  75  42  72 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         52  78  55  70 /   0   0  30  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KOUN 280510
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1210 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.AVIATION...
28/06Z TAFS...
MID-LEVEL CLOUDS WILL RESULT IN VFR CEILINGS OVERNIGHT INTO
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING WITH DECREASING CLOUDS THEREAFTER.  SOUTH
WINDS WILL BECOME EAST AND SOUTHEAST SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 925 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

UPDATE...
OVERALL FORECAST LOOKS GOOD. ONLY CHANGES WERE TO MAKES SOME
ADJUSTMENTS TO CLOUD COVER. SOME SPRINKLES STILL SEEM POSSIBLE
LATER TONIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE... DRY AND COOL
ACROSS THE AREA.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 638 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
28/00Z TAFS.

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH ANOTHER INCREASE IN MAINLY
10-15KFT CLOUDS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL TERMINALS 00Z-18Z. WINDS
MAINLY LIGHT WITH SOUTHWEST WIND DOMINATING BEFORE SHIFTING TO
SOUTHEAST LATE IN FORECAST PERIOD AS WARM FRONT DEVELOPS NEAR RED
RIVER.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 318 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
FORECAST FOCUS IS ON TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND... AND THE RETURN OF
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BEGINNING SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK.

MILD... MARCH LIKE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. REMAINING UNDER NW FLOW ALOFT... WITH THE EASTERN TROUGH
SLOW TO EXIT THE NORTHEAST... ANOTHER WEAK H500 SHORT WAVE WILL RIDE
DOWN THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EMBEDDED IN THE LARGER TROUGH.
THIS WILL ONCE AGAIN RESULT IN A WEAK COLD FRONT... NOT AS STRONG AS
LAST NIGHTS... CROSSING THE SRN PLAINS. IN RESPONSE... WE COULD SEE
SOME LIGHT SPRINKLES DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL OK.
HOWEVER... LOW/MID LEVEL MOISTURE IS NOT AS PLENTIFUL AS THIS
MORNING... SO COVERAGE MAY BE LESS THAN TODAY... BUT A FEW MAY SEE
SOME DROPS ON WINDSHIELDS DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE ACROSS
LOCATIONS ALONG I-35 AND NORTH AND EAST OF THE OKC METRO. TEMPS WILL
BE COOL AGAIN OVERNIGHT... WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S IN THE N/NE TO
THE MID 40S ACROSS WRN OK TO WRN N TX.

TEMPS WILL REBOUND THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A SHORT RIDGE DEVELOPS
OVER THE SW U.S AND S/SWRLY FLOW RETURNS. TEMPS ACROSS WRN N TX AND
SWRN OK MAY BE A 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL IN SOME LOCATIONS BOTH
SAT AND SUN. MOISTURE RETURN WILL ALSO INCREASE AS THE RIDGE
DIMINISHES INTO MONDAY AND AN H500 SHORT WAVE TROUGH PUSHES ACROSS NM
AND NRN MEXICO INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN BY TUESDAY. THE GFS REMAINS
THE MORE BULLISH SOLUTION IN COMPARO TO THE ECMWF... BUT BOTH
DEVELOP SOME -TSRA ALONG THE ERN RED RIVER VALLEY SUN NIGHT INTO MON
AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLIDES SOUTH INTO THE ARKLATEX. THE CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE INTO TUESDAY AS THE UPPER
WAVE APPROACHES... WITH THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE WARM
FRONT AS IT LIFTS OUT OF NRN TX INTO OK. CONSISTENCY BETWEEN
SOLUTIONS IS OKAY... NOT GREAT... BUT THE GENERAL IDEA IS THE SAME.
EXACT LOCATION OF PRECIP REMAINS THE CHALLENGE... WITH THE GFS
DEVELOPING MORE QPF... WHICH CONTINUES TO BE ITS TREND AS OF LATE.
CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING FOR THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...
WITH THE BEST CHANCES ALONG SRN OK/NRN TX AS THE FRONT LIFTS NORTH.
INSTABILITY WILL BE ENOUGH FOR THUNDER... BUT SHEAR LOOKS
MARGINAL... 25 TO 35KTS... SO SEVERE POTENTIAL LOOKS LOW AT THE
MOMENT.

LATER IN THE WEEK... LATE WED INTO THU... A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH IN
FROM THE NORTH... WITH ANOTHER CHANCE AT THUNDERSTORMS. AT THE
MOMENT... MOISTURE RECOVERY MAY BE SLOW DUE TO THE EXIT OF THE FIRST
SYSTEM... BUT ENOUGH MAY EXIST FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT. GUIDANCE IS IN
OKAY AGREEMENT... BUT IT IS A BIT TOO FAR OUT FOR ANY SPECIFICS.

JTK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  50  77  47  72 /   0   0   0  10
HOBART OK         48  80  46  71 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  52  84  52  74 /   0   0  10  10
GAGE OK           47  75  39  75 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     50  75  42  72 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         52  78  55  70 /   0   0  30  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$



000
FXUS64 KTSA 280448
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1148 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. INCREASE
IN MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL RESULT IN CEILINGS IN THE 6-8 KFT RANGE
MUCH OF TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY CLEARING SKIES SAT AFTERNOON.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 923 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
CURRENT SHORT TERM FORECAST ON TRACK THIS EVENING WITH ONLY MINOR
CHANGES WITH UPDATE.  A FEW LINGERING SPRINKLES WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS OVERNIGHT.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...14








000
FXUS64 KTSA 280448
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1148 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. INCREASE
IN MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL RESULT IN CEILINGS IN THE 6-8 KFT RANGE
MUCH OF TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY CLEARING SKIES SAT AFTERNOON.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 923 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
CURRENT SHORT TERM FORECAST ON TRACK THIS EVENING WITH ONLY MINOR
CHANGES WITH UPDATE.  A FEW LINGERING SPRINKLES WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS OVERNIGHT.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...14








000
FXUS64 KTSA 280448
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1148 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. INCREASE
IN MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL RESULT IN CEILINGS IN THE 6-8 KFT RANGE
MUCH OF TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY CLEARING SKIES SAT AFTERNOON.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 923 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
CURRENT SHORT TERM FORECAST ON TRACK THIS EVENING WITH ONLY MINOR
CHANGES WITH UPDATE.  A FEW LINGERING SPRINKLES WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS OVERNIGHT.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...14







000
FXUS64 KOUN 280225 AAA
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
925 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.UPDATE...
OVERALL FORECAST LOOKS GOOD. ONLY CHANGES WERE TO MAKES SOME
ADJUSTMENTS TO CLOUD COVER. SOME SPRINKLES STILL SEEM POSSIBLE
LATER TONIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE... DRY AND COOL
ACROSS THE AREA.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 638 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
28/00Z TAFS.

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH ANOTHER INCREASE IN MAINLY
10-15KFT CLOUDS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL TERMINALS 00Z-18Z. WINDS
MAINLY LIGHT WITH SOUTHWEST WIND DOMINATING BEFORE SHIFTING TO
SOUTHEAST LATE IN FORECAST PERIOD AS WARM FRONT DEVELOPS NEAR RED
RIVER.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 318 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
FORECAST FOCUS IS ON TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND... AND THE RETURN OF
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BEGINNING SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK.

MILD... MARCH LIKE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. REMAINING UNDER NW FLOW ALOFT... WITH THE EASTERN TROUGH
SLOW TO EXIT THE NORTHEAST... ANOTHER WEAK H500 SHORT WAVE WILL RIDE
DOWN THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EMBEDDED IN THE LARGER TROUGH.
THIS WILL ONCE AGAIN RESULT IN A WEAK COLD FRONT... NOT AS STRONG AS
LAST NIGHTS... CROSSING THE SRN PLAINS. IN RESPONSE... WE COULD SEE
SOME LIGHT SPRINKLES DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL OK.
HOWEVER... LOW/MID LEVEL MOISTURE IS NOT AS PLENTIFUL AS THIS
MORNING... SO COVERAGE MAY BE LESS THAN TODAY... BUT A FEW MAY SEE
SOME DROPS ON WINDSHIELDS DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE ACROSS
LOCATIONS ALONG I-35 AND NORTH AND EAST OF THE OKC METRO. TEMPS WILL
BE COOL AGAIN OVERNIGHT... WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S IN THE N/NE TO
THE MID 40S ACROSS WRN OK TO WRN N TX.

TEMPS WILL REBOUND THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A SHORT RIDGE DEVELOPS
OVER THE SW U.S AND S/SWRLY FLOW RETURNS. TEMPS ACROSS WRN N TX AND
SWRN OK MAY BE A 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL IN SOME LOCATIONS BOTH
SAT AND SUN. MOISTURE RETURN WILL ALSO INCREASE AS THE RIDGE
DIMINISHES INTO MONDAY AND AN H500 SHORT WAVE TROUGH PUSHES ACROSS NM
AND NRN MEXICO INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN BY TUESDAY. THE GFS REMAINS
THE MORE BULLISH SOLUTION IN COMPARO TO THE ECMWF... BUT BOTH
DEVELOP SOME -TSRA ALONG THE ERN RED RIVER VALLEY SUN NIGHT INTO MON
AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLIDES SOUTH INTO THE ARKLATEX. THE CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE INTO TUESDAY AS THE UPPER
WAVE APPROACHES... WITH THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE WARM
FRONT AS IT LIFTS OUT OF NRN TX INTO OK. CONSISTENCY BETWEEN
SOLUTIONS IS OKAY... NOT GREAT... BUT THE GENERAL IDEA IS THE SAME.
EXACT LOCATION OF PRECIP REMAINS THE CHALLENGE... WITH THE GFS
DEVELOPING MORE QPF... WHICH CONTINUES TO BE ITS TREND AS OF LATE.
CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING FOR THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...
WITH THE BEST CHANCES ALONG SRN OK/NRN TX AS THE FRONT LIFTS NORTH.
INSTABILITY WILL BE ENOUGH FOR THUNDER... BUT SHEAR LOOKS
MARGINAL... 25 TO 35KTS... SO SEVERE POTENTIAL LOOKS LOW AT THE
MOMENT.

LATER IN THE WEEK... LATE WED INTO THU... A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH IN
FROM THE NORTH... WITH ANOTHER CHANCE AT THUNDERSTORMS. AT THE
MOMENT... MOISTURE RECOVERY MAY BE SLOW DUE TO THE EXIT OF THE FIRST
SYSTEM... BUT ENOUGH MAY EXIST FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT. GUIDANCE IS IN
OKAY AGREEMENT... BUT IT IS A BIT TOO FAR OUT FOR ANY SPECIFICS.

JTK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  44  74  50  77 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         41  80  48  80 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  45  84  52  84 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           40  81  47  75 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     39  71  50  75 /  10   0   0   0
DURANT OK         44  74  52  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

25/11




000
FXUS64 KOUN 280225 AAA
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
925 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.UPDATE...
OVERALL FORECAST LOOKS GOOD. ONLY CHANGES WERE TO MAKES SOME
ADJUSTMENTS TO CLOUD COVER. SOME SPRINKLES STILL SEEM POSSIBLE
LATER TONIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE... DRY AND COOL
ACROSS THE AREA.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 638 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
28/00Z TAFS.

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH ANOTHER INCREASE IN MAINLY
10-15KFT CLOUDS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL TERMINALS 00Z-18Z. WINDS
MAINLY LIGHT WITH SOUTHWEST WIND DOMINATING BEFORE SHIFTING TO
SOUTHEAST LATE IN FORECAST PERIOD AS WARM FRONT DEVELOPS NEAR RED
RIVER.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 318 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
FORECAST FOCUS IS ON TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND... AND THE RETURN OF
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BEGINNING SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK.

MILD... MARCH LIKE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. REMAINING UNDER NW FLOW ALOFT... WITH THE EASTERN TROUGH
SLOW TO EXIT THE NORTHEAST... ANOTHER WEAK H500 SHORT WAVE WILL RIDE
DOWN THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EMBEDDED IN THE LARGER TROUGH.
THIS WILL ONCE AGAIN RESULT IN A WEAK COLD FRONT... NOT AS STRONG AS
LAST NIGHTS... CROSSING THE SRN PLAINS. IN RESPONSE... WE COULD SEE
SOME LIGHT SPRINKLES DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL OK.
HOWEVER... LOW/MID LEVEL MOISTURE IS NOT AS PLENTIFUL AS THIS
MORNING... SO COVERAGE MAY BE LESS THAN TODAY... BUT A FEW MAY SEE
SOME DROPS ON WINDSHIELDS DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE ACROSS
LOCATIONS ALONG I-35 AND NORTH AND EAST OF THE OKC METRO. TEMPS WILL
BE COOL AGAIN OVERNIGHT... WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S IN THE N/NE TO
THE MID 40S ACROSS WRN OK TO WRN N TX.

TEMPS WILL REBOUND THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A SHORT RIDGE DEVELOPS
OVER THE SW U.S AND S/SWRLY FLOW RETURNS. TEMPS ACROSS WRN N TX AND
SWRN OK MAY BE A 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL IN SOME LOCATIONS BOTH
SAT AND SUN. MOISTURE RETURN WILL ALSO INCREASE AS THE RIDGE
DIMINISHES INTO MONDAY AND AN H500 SHORT WAVE TROUGH PUSHES ACROSS NM
AND NRN MEXICO INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN BY TUESDAY. THE GFS REMAINS
THE MORE BULLISH SOLUTION IN COMPARO TO THE ECMWF... BUT BOTH
DEVELOP SOME -TSRA ALONG THE ERN RED RIVER VALLEY SUN NIGHT INTO MON
AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLIDES SOUTH INTO THE ARKLATEX. THE CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE INTO TUESDAY AS THE UPPER
WAVE APPROACHES... WITH THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE WARM
FRONT AS IT LIFTS OUT OF NRN TX INTO OK. CONSISTENCY BETWEEN
SOLUTIONS IS OKAY... NOT GREAT... BUT THE GENERAL IDEA IS THE SAME.
EXACT LOCATION OF PRECIP REMAINS THE CHALLENGE... WITH THE GFS
DEVELOPING MORE QPF... WHICH CONTINUES TO BE ITS TREND AS OF LATE.
CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING FOR THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...
WITH THE BEST CHANCES ALONG SRN OK/NRN TX AS THE FRONT LIFTS NORTH.
INSTABILITY WILL BE ENOUGH FOR THUNDER... BUT SHEAR LOOKS
MARGINAL... 25 TO 35KTS... SO SEVERE POTENTIAL LOOKS LOW AT THE
MOMENT.

LATER IN THE WEEK... LATE WED INTO THU... A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH IN
FROM THE NORTH... WITH ANOTHER CHANCE AT THUNDERSTORMS. AT THE
MOMENT... MOISTURE RECOVERY MAY BE SLOW DUE TO THE EXIT OF THE FIRST
SYSTEM... BUT ENOUGH MAY EXIST FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT. GUIDANCE IS IN
OKAY AGREEMENT... BUT IT IS A BIT TOO FAR OUT FOR ANY SPECIFICS.

JTK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  44  74  50  77 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         41  80  48  80 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  45  84  52  84 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           40  81  47  75 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     39  71  50  75 /  10   0   0   0
DURANT OK         44  74  52  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

25/11




000
FXUS64 KOUN 280225 AAA
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
925 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.UPDATE...
OVERALL FORECAST LOOKS GOOD. ONLY CHANGES WERE TO MAKES SOME
ADJUSTMENTS TO CLOUD COVER. SOME SPRINKLES STILL SEEM POSSIBLE
LATER TONIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE... DRY AND COOL
ACROSS THE AREA.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 638 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
28/00Z TAFS.

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH ANOTHER INCREASE IN MAINLY
10-15KFT CLOUDS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL TERMINALS 00Z-18Z. WINDS
MAINLY LIGHT WITH SOUTHWEST WIND DOMINATING BEFORE SHIFTING TO
SOUTHEAST LATE IN FORECAST PERIOD AS WARM FRONT DEVELOPS NEAR RED
RIVER.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 318 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
FORECAST FOCUS IS ON TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND... AND THE RETURN OF
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BEGINNING SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK.

MILD... MARCH LIKE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. REMAINING UNDER NW FLOW ALOFT... WITH THE EASTERN TROUGH
SLOW TO EXIT THE NORTHEAST... ANOTHER WEAK H500 SHORT WAVE WILL RIDE
DOWN THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EMBEDDED IN THE LARGER TROUGH.
THIS WILL ONCE AGAIN RESULT IN A WEAK COLD FRONT... NOT AS STRONG AS
LAST NIGHTS... CROSSING THE SRN PLAINS. IN RESPONSE... WE COULD SEE
SOME LIGHT SPRINKLES DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL OK.
HOWEVER... LOW/MID LEVEL MOISTURE IS NOT AS PLENTIFUL AS THIS
MORNING... SO COVERAGE MAY BE LESS THAN TODAY... BUT A FEW MAY SEE
SOME DROPS ON WINDSHIELDS DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE ACROSS
LOCATIONS ALONG I-35 AND NORTH AND EAST OF THE OKC METRO. TEMPS WILL
BE COOL AGAIN OVERNIGHT... WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S IN THE N/NE TO
THE MID 40S ACROSS WRN OK TO WRN N TX.

TEMPS WILL REBOUND THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A SHORT RIDGE DEVELOPS
OVER THE SW U.S AND S/SWRLY FLOW RETURNS. TEMPS ACROSS WRN N TX AND
SWRN OK MAY BE A 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL IN SOME LOCATIONS BOTH
SAT AND SUN. MOISTURE RETURN WILL ALSO INCREASE AS THE RIDGE
DIMINISHES INTO MONDAY AND AN H500 SHORT WAVE TROUGH PUSHES ACROSS NM
AND NRN MEXICO INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN BY TUESDAY. THE GFS REMAINS
THE MORE BULLISH SOLUTION IN COMPARO TO THE ECMWF... BUT BOTH
DEVELOP SOME -TSRA ALONG THE ERN RED RIVER VALLEY SUN NIGHT INTO MON
AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLIDES SOUTH INTO THE ARKLATEX. THE CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE INTO TUESDAY AS THE UPPER
WAVE APPROACHES... WITH THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE WARM
FRONT AS IT LIFTS OUT OF NRN TX INTO OK. CONSISTENCY BETWEEN
SOLUTIONS IS OKAY... NOT GREAT... BUT THE GENERAL IDEA IS THE SAME.
EXACT LOCATION OF PRECIP REMAINS THE CHALLENGE... WITH THE GFS
DEVELOPING MORE QPF... WHICH CONTINUES TO BE ITS TREND AS OF LATE.
CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING FOR THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...
WITH THE BEST CHANCES ALONG SRN OK/NRN TX AS THE FRONT LIFTS NORTH.
INSTABILITY WILL BE ENOUGH FOR THUNDER... BUT SHEAR LOOKS
MARGINAL... 25 TO 35KTS... SO SEVERE POTENTIAL LOOKS LOW AT THE
MOMENT.

LATER IN THE WEEK... LATE WED INTO THU... A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH IN
FROM THE NORTH... WITH ANOTHER CHANCE AT THUNDERSTORMS. AT THE
MOMENT... MOISTURE RECOVERY MAY BE SLOW DUE TO THE EXIT OF THE FIRST
SYSTEM... BUT ENOUGH MAY EXIST FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT. GUIDANCE IS IN
OKAY AGREEMENT... BUT IT IS A BIT TOO FAR OUT FOR ANY SPECIFICS.

JTK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  44  74  50  77 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         41  80  48  80 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  45  84  52  84 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           40  81  47  75 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     39  71  50  75 /  10   0   0   0
DURANT OK         44  74  52  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

25/11




000
FXUS64 KOUN 280225 AAA
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
925 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.UPDATE...
OVERALL FORECAST LOOKS GOOD. ONLY CHANGES WERE TO MAKES SOME
ADJUSTMENTS TO CLOUD COVER. SOME SPRINKLES STILL SEEM POSSIBLE
LATER TONIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE... DRY AND COOL
ACROSS THE AREA.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 638 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
28/00Z TAFS.

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH ANOTHER INCREASE IN MAINLY
10-15KFT CLOUDS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL TERMINALS 00Z-18Z. WINDS
MAINLY LIGHT WITH SOUTHWEST WIND DOMINATING BEFORE SHIFTING TO
SOUTHEAST LATE IN FORECAST PERIOD AS WARM FRONT DEVELOPS NEAR RED
RIVER.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 318 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
FORECAST FOCUS IS ON TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND... AND THE RETURN OF
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BEGINNING SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK.

MILD... MARCH LIKE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. REMAINING UNDER NW FLOW ALOFT... WITH THE EASTERN TROUGH
SLOW TO EXIT THE NORTHEAST... ANOTHER WEAK H500 SHORT WAVE WILL RIDE
DOWN THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EMBEDDED IN THE LARGER TROUGH.
THIS WILL ONCE AGAIN RESULT IN A WEAK COLD FRONT... NOT AS STRONG AS
LAST NIGHTS... CROSSING THE SRN PLAINS. IN RESPONSE... WE COULD SEE
SOME LIGHT SPRINKLES DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL OK.
HOWEVER... LOW/MID LEVEL MOISTURE IS NOT AS PLENTIFUL AS THIS
MORNING... SO COVERAGE MAY BE LESS THAN TODAY... BUT A FEW MAY SEE
SOME DROPS ON WINDSHIELDS DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE ACROSS
LOCATIONS ALONG I-35 AND NORTH AND EAST OF THE OKC METRO. TEMPS WILL
BE COOL AGAIN OVERNIGHT... WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S IN THE N/NE TO
THE MID 40S ACROSS WRN OK TO WRN N TX.

TEMPS WILL REBOUND THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A SHORT RIDGE DEVELOPS
OVER THE SW U.S AND S/SWRLY FLOW RETURNS. TEMPS ACROSS WRN N TX AND
SWRN OK MAY BE A 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL IN SOME LOCATIONS BOTH
SAT AND SUN. MOISTURE RETURN WILL ALSO INCREASE AS THE RIDGE
DIMINISHES INTO MONDAY AND AN H500 SHORT WAVE TROUGH PUSHES ACROSS NM
AND NRN MEXICO INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN BY TUESDAY. THE GFS REMAINS
THE MORE BULLISH SOLUTION IN COMPARO TO THE ECMWF... BUT BOTH
DEVELOP SOME -TSRA ALONG THE ERN RED RIVER VALLEY SUN NIGHT INTO MON
AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLIDES SOUTH INTO THE ARKLATEX. THE CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE INTO TUESDAY AS THE UPPER
WAVE APPROACHES... WITH THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE WARM
FRONT AS IT LIFTS OUT OF NRN TX INTO OK. CONSISTENCY BETWEEN
SOLUTIONS IS OKAY... NOT GREAT... BUT THE GENERAL IDEA IS THE SAME.
EXACT LOCATION OF PRECIP REMAINS THE CHALLENGE... WITH THE GFS
DEVELOPING MORE QPF... WHICH CONTINUES TO BE ITS TREND AS OF LATE.
CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING FOR THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...
WITH THE BEST CHANCES ALONG SRN OK/NRN TX AS THE FRONT LIFTS NORTH.
INSTABILITY WILL BE ENOUGH FOR THUNDER... BUT SHEAR LOOKS
MARGINAL... 25 TO 35KTS... SO SEVERE POTENTIAL LOOKS LOW AT THE
MOMENT.

LATER IN THE WEEK... LATE WED INTO THU... A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH IN
FROM THE NORTH... WITH ANOTHER CHANCE AT THUNDERSTORMS. AT THE
MOMENT... MOISTURE RECOVERY MAY BE SLOW DUE TO THE EXIT OF THE FIRST
SYSTEM... BUT ENOUGH MAY EXIST FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT. GUIDANCE IS IN
OKAY AGREEMENT... BUT IT IS A BIT TOO FAR OUT FOR ANY SPECIFICS.

JTK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  44  74  50  77 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         41  80  48  80 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  45  84  52  84 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           40  81  47  75 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     39  71  50  75 /  10   0   0   0
DURANT OK         44  74  52  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

25/11




000
FXUS64 KTSA 280223
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
923 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT SHORT TERM FORECAST ON TRACK THIS EVENING WITH ONLY MINOR
CHANGES WITH UPDATE.  A FEW LINGERING SPRINKLES WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS OVERNIGHT.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...12






000
FXUS64 KTSA 280223
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
923 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT SHORT TERM FORECAST ON TRACK THIS EVENING WITH ONLY MINOR
CHANGES WITH UPDATE.  A FEW LINGERING SPRINKLES WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS OVERNIGHT.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...12






000
FXUS64 KTSA 280223
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
923 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT SHORT TERM FORECAST ON TRACK THIS EVENING WITH ONLY MINOR
CHANGES WITH UPDATE.  A FEW LINGERING SPRINKLES WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS OVERNIGHT.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...12






000
FXUS64 KTSA 280223
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
923 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT SHORT TERM FORECAST ON TRACK THIS EVENING WITH ONLY MINOR
CHANGES WITH UPDATE.  A FEW LINGERING SPRINKLES WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS OVERNIGHT.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...12






000
FXUS64 KOUN 272338
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
638 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...
28/00Z TAFS.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH ANOTHER INCREASE IN MAINLY
10-15KFT CLOUDS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL TERMINALS 00Z-18Z. WINDS
MAINLY LIGHT WITH SOUTHWEST WIND DOMINATING BEFORE SHIFTING TO
SOUTHEAST LATE IN FORECAST PERIOD AS WARM FRONT DEVELOPS NEAR RED
RIVER.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 318 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
FORECAST FOCUS IS ON TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND... AND THE RETURN OF
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BEGINNING SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK.

MILD... MARCH LIKE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. REMAINING UNDER NW FLOW ALOFT... WITH THE EASTERN TROUGH
SLOW TO EXIT THE NORTHEAST... ANOTHER WEAK H500 SHORT WAVE WILL RIDE
DOWN THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EMBEDDED IN THE LARGER TROUGH.
THIS WILL ONCE AGAIN RESULT IN A WEAK COLD FRONT... NOT AS STRONG AS
LAST NIGHTS... CROSSING THE SRN PLAINS. IN RESPONSE... WE COULD SEE
SOME LIGHT SPRINKLES DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL OK.
HOWEVER... LOW/MID LEVEL MOISTURE IS NOT AS PLENTIFUL AS THIS
MORNING... SO COVERAGE MAY BE LESS THAN TODAY... BUT A FEW MAY SEE
SOME DROPS ON WINDSHIELDS DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE ACROSS
LOCATIONS ALONG I-35 AND NORTH AND EAST OF THE OKC METRO. TEMPS WILL
BE COOL AGAIN OVERNIGHT... WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S IN THE N/NE TO
THE MID 40S ACROSS WRN OK TO WRN N TX.

TEMPS WILL REBOUND THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A SHORT RIDGE DEVELOPS
OVER THE SW U.S AND S/SWRLY FLOW RETURNS. TEMPS ACROSS WRN N TX AND
SWRN OK MAY BE A 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL IN SOME LOCATIONS BOTH
SAT AND SUN. MOISTURE RETURN WILL ALSO INCREASE AS THE RIDGE
DIMINISHES INTO MONDAY AND AN H500 SHORT WAVE TROUGH PUSHES ACROSS NM
AND NRN MEXICO INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN BY TUESDAY. THE GFS REMAINS
THE MORE BULLISH SOLUTION IN COMPARO TO THE ECMWF... BUT BOTH
DEVELOP SOME -TSRA ALONG THE ERN RED RIVER VALLEY SUN NIGHT INTO MON
AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLIDES SOUTH INTO THE ARKLATEX. THE CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE INTO TUESDAY AS THE UPPER
WAVE APPROACHES... WITH THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE WARM
FRONT AS IT LIFTS OUT OF NRN TX INTO OK. CONSISTENCY BETWEEN
SOLUTIONS IS OKAY... NOT GREAT... BUT THE GENERAL IDEA IS THE SAME.
EXACT LOCATION OF PRECIP REMAINS THE CHALLENGE... WITH THE GFS
DEVELOPING MORE QPF... WHICH CONTINUES TO BE ITS TREND AS OF LATE.
CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING FOR THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...
WITH THE BEST CHANCES ALONG SRN OK/NRN TX AS THE FRONT LIFTS NORTH.
INSTABILITY WILL BE ENOUGH FOR THUNDER... BUT SHEAR LOOKS
MARGINAL... 25 TO 35KTS... SO SEVERE POTENTIAL LOOKS LOW AT THE
MOMENT.

LATER IN THE WEEK... LATE WED INTO THU... A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH IN
FROM THE NORTH... WITH ANOTHER CHANCE AT THUNDERSTORMS. AT THE
MOMENT... MOISTURE RECOVERY MAY BE SLOW DUE TO THE EXIT OF THE FIRST
SYSTEM... BUT ENOUGH MAY EXIST FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT. GUIDANCE IS IN
OKAY AGREEMENT... BUT IT IS A BIT TOO FAR OUT FOR ANY SPECIFICS.

JTK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  44  74  50  77 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         41  80  48  80 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  45  84  52  84 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           40  81  47  75 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     39  71  50  75 /  10   0   0   0
DURANT OK         44  74  52  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

25/11




000
FXUS64 KOUN 272338
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
638 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...
28/00Z TAFS.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH ANOTHER INCREASE IN MAINLY
10-15KFT CLOUDS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL TERMINALS 00Z-18Z. WINDS
MAINLY LIGHT WITH SOUTHWEST WIND DOMINATING BEFORE SHIFTING TO
SOUTHEAST LATE IN FORECAST PERIOD AS WARM FRONT DEVELOPS NEAR RED
RIVER.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 318 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
FORECAST FOCUS IS ON TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND... AND THE RETURN OF
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BEGINNING SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK.

MILD... MARCH LIKE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. REMAINING UNDER NW FLOW ALOFT... WITH THE EASTERN TROUGH
SLOW TO EXIT THE NORTHEAST... ANOTHER WEAK H500 SHORT WAVE WILL RIDE
DOWN THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EMBEDDED IN THE LARGER TROUGH.
THIS WILL ONCE AGAIN RESULT IN A WEAK COLD FRONT... NOT AS STRONG AS
LAST NIGHTS... CROSSING THE SRN PLAINS. IN RESPONSE... WE COULD SEE
SOME LIGHT SPRINKLES DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL OK.
HOWEVER... LOW/MID LEVEL MOISTURE IS NOT AS PLENTIFUL AS THIS
MORNING... SO COVERAGE MAY BE LESS THAN TODAY... BUT A FEW MAY SEE
SOME DROPS ON WINDSHIELDS DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE ACROSS
LOCATIONS ALONG I-35 AND NORTH AND EAST OF THE OKC METRO. TEMPS WILL
BE COOL AGAIN OVERNIGHT... WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S IN THE N/NE TO
THE MID 40S ACROSS WRN OK TO WRN N TX.

TEMPS WILL REBOUND THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A SHORT RIDGE DEVELOPS
OVER THE SW U.S AND S/SWRLY FLOW RETURNS. TEMPS ACROSS WRN N TX AND
SWRN OK MAY BE A 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL IN SOME LOCATIONS BOTH
SAT AND SUN. MOISTURE RETURN WILL ALSO INCREASE AS THE RIDGE
DIMINISHES INTO MONDAY AND AN H500 SHORT WAVE TROUGH PUSHES ACROSS NM
AND NRN MEXICO INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN BY TUESDAY. THE GFS REMAINS
THE MORE BULLISH SOLUTION IN COMPARO TO THE ECMWF... BUT BOTH
DEVELOP SOME -TSRA ALONG THE ERN RED RIVER VALLEY SUN NIGHT INTO MON
AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLIDES SOUTH INTO THE ARKLATEX. THE CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE INTO TUESDAY AS THE UPPER
WAVE APPROACHES... WITH THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE WARM
FRONT AS IT LIFTS OUT OF NRN TX INTO OK. CONSISTENCY BETWEEN
SOLUTIONS IS OKAY... NOT GREAT... BUT THE GENERAL IDEA IS THE SAME.
EXACT LOCATION OF PRECIP REMAINS THE CHALLENGE... WITH THE GFS
DEVELOPING MORE QPF... WHICH CONTINUES TO BE ITS TREND AS OF LATE.
CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING FOR THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...
WITH THE BEST CHANCES ALONG SRN OK/NRN TX AS THE FRONT LIFTS NORTH.
INSTABILITY WILL BE ENOUGH FOR THUNDER... BUT SHEAR LOOKS
MARGINAL... 25 TO 35KTS... SO SEVERE POTENTIAL LOOKS LOW AT THE
MOMENT.

LATER IN THE WEEK... LATE WED INTO THU... A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH IN
FROM THE NORTH... WITH ANOTHER CHANCE AT THUNDERSTORMS. AT THE
MOMENT... MOISTURE RECOVERY MAY BE SLOW DUE TO THE EXIT OF THE FIRST
SYSTEM... BUT ENOUGH MAY EXIST FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT. GUIDANCE IS IN
OKAY AGREEMENT... BUT IT IS A BIT TOO FAR OUT FOR ANY SPECIFICS.

JTK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  44  74  50  77 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         41  80  48  80 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  45  84  52  84 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           40  81  47  75 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     39  71  50  75 /  10   0   0   0
DURANT OK         44  74  52  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

25/11



000
FXUS64 KOUN 272338
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
638 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...
28/00Z TAFS.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH ANOTHER INCREASE IN MAINLY
10-15KFT CLOUDS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL TERMINALS 00Z-18Z. WINDS
MAINLY LIGHT WITH SOUTHWEST WIND DOMINATING BEFORE SHIFTING TO
SOUTHEAST LATE IN FORECAST PERIOD AS WARM FRONT DEVELOPS NEAR RED
RIVER.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 318 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
FORECAST FOCUS IS ON TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND... AND THE RETURN OF
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BEGINNING SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK.

MILD... MARCH LIKE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. REMAINING UNDER NW FLOW ALOFT... WITH THE EASTERN TROUGH
SLOW TO EXIT THE NORTHEAST... ANOTHER WEAK H500 SHORT WAVE WILL RIDE
DOWN THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EMBEDDED IN THE LARGER TROUGH.
THIS WILL ONCE AGAIN RESULT IN A WEAK COLD FRONT... NOT AS STRONG AS
LAST NIGHTS... CROSSING THE SRN PLAINS. IN RESPONSE... WE COULD SEE
SOME LIGHT SPRINKLES DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL OK.
HOWEVER... LOW/MID LEVEL MOISTURE IS NOT AS PLENTIFUL AS THIS
MORNING... SO COVERAGE MAY BE LESS THAN TODAY... BUT A FEW MAY SEE
SOME DROPS ON WINDSHIELDS DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE ACROSS
LOCATIONS ALONG I-35 AND NORTH AND EAST OF THE OKC METRO. TEMPS WILL
BE COOL AGAIN OVERNIGHT... WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S IN THE N/NE TO
THE MID 40S ACROSS WRN OK TO WRN N TX.

TEMPS WILL REBOUND THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A SHORT RIDGE DEVELOPS
OVER THE SW U.S AND S/SWRLY FLOW RETURNS. TEMPS ACROSS WRN N TX AND
SWRN OK MAY BE A 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL IN SOME LOCATIONS BOTH
SAT AND SUN. MOISTURE RETURN WILL ALSO INCREASE AS THE RIDGE
DIMINISHES INTO MONDAY AND AN H500 SHORT WAVE TROUGH PUSHES ACROSS NM
AND NRN MEXICO INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN BY TUESDAY. THE GFS REMAINS
THE MORE BULLISH SOLUTION IN COMPARO TO THE ECMWF... BUT BOTH
DEVELOP SOME -TSRA ALONG THE ERN RED RIVER VALLEY SUN NIGHT INTO MON
AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLIDES SOUTH INTO THE ARKLATEX. THE CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE INTO TUESDAY AS THE UPPER
WAVE APPROACHES... WITH THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE WARM
FRONT AS IT LIFTS OUT OF NRN TX INTO OK. CONSISTENCY BETWEEN
SOLUTIONS IS OKAY... NOT GREAT... BUT THE GENERAL IDEA IS THE SAME.
EXACT LOCATION OF PRECIP REMAINS THE CHALLENGE... WITH THE GFS
DEVELOPING MORE QPF... WHICH CONTINUES TO BE ITS TREND AS OF LATE.
CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING FOR THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...
WITH THE BEST CHANCES ALONG SRN OK/NRN TX AS THE FRONT LIFTS NORTH.
INSTABILITY WILL BE ENOUGH FOR THUNDER... BUT SHEAR LOOKS
MARGINAL... 25 TO 35KTS... SO SEVERE POTENTIAL LOOKS LOW AT THE
MOMENT.

LATER IN THE WEEK... LATE WED INTO THU... A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH IN
FROM THE NORTH... WITH ANOTHER CHANCE AT THUNDERSTORMS. AT THE
MOMENT... MOISTURE RECOVERY MAY BE SLOW DUE TO THE EXIT OF THE FIRST
SYSTEM... BUT ENOUGH MAY EXIST FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT. GUIDANCE IS IN
OKAY AGREEMENT... BUT IT IS A BIT TOO FAR OUT FOR ANY SPECIFICS.

JTK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  44  74  50  77 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         41  80  48  80 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  45  84  52  84 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           40  81  47  75 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     39  71  50  75 /  10   0   0   0
DURANT OK         44  74  52  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

25/11




000
FXUS64 KOUN 272338
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
638 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...
28/00Z TAFS.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH ANOTHER INCREASE IN MAINLY
10-15KFT CLOUDS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL TERMINALS 00Z-18Z. WINDS
MAINLY LIGHT WITH SOUTHWEST WIND DOMINATING BEFORE SHIFTING TO
SOUTHEAST LATE IN FORECAST PERIOD AS WARM FRONT DEVELOPS NEAR RED
RIVER.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 318 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
FORECAST FOCUS IS ON TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND... AND THE RETURN OF
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BEGINNING SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK.

MILD... MARCH LIKE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. REMAINING UNDER NW FLOW ALOFT... WITH THE EASTERN TROUGH
SLOW TO EXIT THE NORTHEAST... ANOTHER WEAK H500 SHORT WAVE WILL RIDE
DOWN THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EMBEDDED IN THE LARGER TROUGH.
THIS WILL ONCE AGAIN RESULT IN A WEAK COLD FRONT... NOT AS STRONG AS
LAST NIGHTS... CROSSING THE SRN PLAINS. IN RESPONSE... WE COULD SEE
SOME LIGHT SPRINKLES DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL OK.
HOWEVER... LOW/MID LEVEL MOISTURE IS NOT AS PLENTIFUL AS THIS
MORNING... SO COVERAGE MAY BE LESS THAN TODAY... BUT A FEW MAY SEE
SOME DROPS ON WINDSHIELDS DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE ACROSS
LOCATIONS ALONG I-35 AND NORTH AND EAST OF THE OKC METRO. TEMPS WILL
BE COOL AGAIN OVERNIGHT... WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S IN THE N/NE TO
THE MID 40S ACROSS WRN OK TO WRN N TX.

TEMPS WILL REBOUND THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A SHORT RIDGE DEVELOPS
OVER THE SW U.S AND S/SWRLY FLOW RETURNS. TEMPS ACROSS WRN N TX AND
SWRN OK MAY BE A 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL IN SOME LOCATIONS BOTH
SAT AND SUN. MOISTURE RETURN WILL ALSO INCREASE AS THE RIDGE
DIMINISHES INTO MONDAY AND AN H500 SHORT WAVE TROUGH PUSHES ACROSS NM
AND NRN MEXICO INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN BY TUESDAY. THE GFS REMAINS
THE MORE BULLISH SOLUTION IN COMPARO TO THE ECMWF... BUT BOTH
DEVELOP SOME -TSRA ALONG THE ERN RED RIVER VALLEY SUN NIGHT INTO MON
AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLIDES SOUTH INTO THE ARKLATEX. THE CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE INTO TUESDAY AS THE UPPER
WAVE APPROACHES... WITH THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE WARM
FRONT AS IT LIFTS OUT OF NRN TX INTO OK. CONSISTENCY BETWEEN
SOLUTIONS IS OKAY... NOT GREAT... BUT THE GENERAL IDEA IS THE SAME.
EXACT LOCATION OF PRECIP REMAINS THE CHALLENGE... WITH THE GFS
DEVELOPING MORE QPF... WHICH CONTINUES TO BE ITS TREND AS OF LATE.
CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING FOR THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...
WITH THE BEST CHANCES ALONG SRN OK/NRN TX AS THE FRONT LIFTS NORTH.
INSTABILITY WILL BE ENOUGH FOR THUNDER... BUT SHEAR LOOKS
MARGINAL... 25 TO 35KTS... SO SEVERE POTENTIAL LOOKS LOW AT THE
MOMENT.

LATER IN THE WEEK... LATE WED INTO THU... A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH IN
FROM THE NORTH... WITH ANOTHER CHANCE AT THUNDERSTORMS. AT THE
MOMENT... MOISTURE RECOVERY MAY BE SLOW DUE TO THE EXIT OF THE FIRST
SYSTEM... BUT ENOUGH MAY EXIST FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT. GUIDANCE IS IN
OKAY AGREEMENT... BUT IT IS A BIT TOO FAR OUT FOR ANY SPECIFICS.

JTK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  44  74  50  77 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         41  80  48  80 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  45  84  52  84 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           40  81  47  75 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     39  71  50  75 /  10   0   0   0
DURANT OK         44  74  52  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

25/11



000
FXUS64 KTSA 272302
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
602 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. INCREASE
IN MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL RESULT IN CEILINGS IN THE 6-8 KFT RANGE
MUCH OF TONIGHT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 401 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
RIPPLES IN FAST NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING CHANCE
PRECIP EVENTS TO EASTERN OKLAHOMA  AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS TONIGHT AND AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT.  LITTLE
MORE SPRINKLES OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.  BETTER PRECIP
SOUTHEAST SUNDAY NIGHT.

MAJORITY OF SATURDAY / SUNDAY DRY. WARM SATURDAY
AND WARMER SUNDAY.

H500 WAVE IN SOUTHWEST WORKING UNDER UPPER RIDGE
OVER NORTHERN ROCKIES / PLAINS EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THIS KEEPS PRECIP / THUNDER CHANCES...ESPECIALLY
SOUTH MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NEXT WEEK.     GW

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...14









000
FXUS64 KTSA 272302
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
602 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. INCREASE
IN MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL RESULT IN CEILINGS IN THE 6-8 KFT RANGE
MUCH OF TONIGHT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 401 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
RIPPLES IN FAST NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING CHANCE
PRECIP EVENTS TO EASTERN OKLAHOMA  AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS TONIGHT AND AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT.  LITTLE
MORE SPRINKLES OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.  BETTER PRECIP
SOUTHEAST SUNDAY NIGHT.

MAJORITY OF SATURDAY / SUNDAY DRY. WARM SATURDAY
AND WARMER SUNDAY.

H500 WAVE IN SOUTHWEST WORKING UNDER UPPER RIDGE
OVER NORTHERN ROCKIES / PLAINS EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THIS KEEPS PRECIP / THUNDER CHANCES...ESPECIALLY
SOUTH MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NEXT WEEK.     GW

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...14









000
FXUS64 KTSA 272302
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
602 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. INCREASE
IN MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL RESULT IN CEILINGS IN THE 6-8 KFT RANGE
MUCH OF TONIGHT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 401 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
RIPPLES IN FAST NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING CHANCE
PRECIP EVENTS TO EASTERN OKLAHOMA  AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS TONIGHT AND AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT.  LITTLE
MORE SPRINKLES OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.  BETTER PRECIP
SOUTHEAST SUNDAY NIGHT.

MAJORITY OF SATURDAY / SUNDAY DRY. WARM SATURDAY
AND WARMER SUNDAY.

H500 WAVE IN SOUTHWEST WORKING UNDER UPPER RIDGE
OVER NORTHERN ROCKIES / PLAINS EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THIS KEEPS PRECIP / THUNDER CHANCES...ESPECIALLY
SOUTH MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NEXT WEEK.     GW

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...14









000
FXUS64 KTSA 272302
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
602 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. INCREASE
IN MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL RESULT IN CEILINGS IN THE 6-8 KFT RANGE
MUCH OF TONIGHT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 401 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
RIPPLES IN FAST NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING CHANCE
PRECIP EVENTS TO EASTERN OKLAHOMA  AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS TONIGHT AND AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT.  LITTLE
MORE SPRINKLES OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.  BETTER PRECIP
SOUTHEAST SUNDAY NIGHT.

MAJORITY OF SATURDAY / SUNDAY DRY. WARM SATURDAY
AND WARMER SUNDAY.

H500 WAVE IN SOUTHWEST WORKING UNDER UPPER RIDGE
OVER NORTHERN ROCKIES / PLAINS EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THIS KEEPS PRECIP / THUNDER CHANCES...ESPECIALLY
SOUTH MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NEXT WEEK.     GW

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...14









000
FXUS64 KTSA 272302
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
602 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. INCREASE
IN MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL RESULT IN CEILINGS IN THE 6-8 KFT RANGE
MUCH OF TONIGHT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 401 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
RIPPLES IN FAST NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING CHANCE
PRECIP EVENTS TO EASTERN OKLAHOMA  AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS TONIGHT AND AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT.  LITTLE
MORE SPRINKLES OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.  BETTER PRECIP
SOUTHEAST SUNDAY NIGHT.

MAJORITY OF SATURDAY / SUNDAY DRY. WARM SATURDAY
AND WARMER SUNDAY.

H500 WAVE IN SOUTHWEST WORKING UNDER UPPER RIDGE
OVER NORTHERN ROCKIES / PLAINS EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THIS KEEPS PRECIP / THUNDER CHANCES...ESPECIALLY
SOUTH MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NEXT WEEK.     GW

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...14








000
FXUS64 KTSA 272302
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
602 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. INCREASE
IN MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL RESULT IN CEILINGS IN THE 6-8 KFT RANGE
MUCH OF TONIGHT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 401 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
RIPPLES IN FAST NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING CHANCE
PRECIP EVENTS TO EASTERN OKLAHOMA  AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS TONIGHT AND AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT.  LITTLE
MORE SPRINKLES OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.  BETTER PRECIP
SOUTHEAST SUNDAY NIGHT.

MAJORITY OF SATURDAY / SUNDAY DRY. WARM SATURDAY
AND WARMER SUNDAY.

H500 WAVE IN SOUTHWEST WORKING UNDER UPPER RIDGE
OVER NORTHERN ROCKIES / PLAINS EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THIS KEEPS PRECIP / THUNDER CHANCES...ESPECIALLY
SOUTH MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NEXT WEEK.     GW

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...14









000
FXUS64 KTSA 272101
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
401 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...
RIPPLES IN FAST NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING CHANCE
PRECIP EVENTS TO EASTERN OKLAHOMA  AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS TONIGHT AND AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT.  LITTLE
MORE SPRINKLES OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.  BETTER PRECIP
SOUTHEAST SUNDAY NIGHT.

MAJORITY OF SATURDAY / SUNDAY DRY. WARM SATURDAY
AND WARMER SUNDAY.

H500 WAVE IN SOUTHWEST WORKING UNDER UPPER RIDGE
OVER NORTHERN ROCKIES / PLAINS EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THIS KEEPS PRECIP / THUNDER CHANCES...ESPECIALLY
SOUTH MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NEXT WEEK.     GW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   43  71  53  73 /  10   0   0  10
FSM   40  67  46  74 /  10  10   0  10
MLC   40  72  54  77 /   0   0   0  10
BVO   36  70  45  72 /  10   0   0  10
FYV   34  60  42  68 /  20  20   0  10
BYV   34  54  39  66 /  20  30   0  10
MKO   39  68  48  73 /  10  10   0  10
MIO   37  62  44  67 /  20  10   0  10
F10   41  71  51  75 /  10   0   0  10
HHW   41  72  51  79 /   0  10   0  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....21





000
FXUS64 KTSA 272101
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
401 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...
RIPPLES IN FAST NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING CHANCE
PRECIP EVENTS TO EASTERN OKLAHOMA  AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS TONIGHT AND AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT.  LITTLE
MORE SPRINKLES OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.  BETTER PRECIP
SOUTHEAST SUNDAY NIGHT.

MAJORITY OF SATURDAY / SUNDAY DRY. WARM SATURDAY
AND WARMER SUNDAY.

H500 WAVE IN SOUTHWEST WORKING UNDER UPPER RIDGE
OVER NORTHERN ROCKIES / PLAINS EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THIS KEEPS PRECIP / THUNDER CHANCES...ESPECIALLY
SOUTH MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NEXT WEEK.     GW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   43  71  53  73 /  10   0   0  10
FSM   40  67  46  74 /  10  10   0  10
MLC   40  72  54  77 /   0   0   0  10
BVO   36  70  45  72 /  10   0   0  10
FYV   34  60  42  68 /  20  20   0  10
BYV   34  54  39  66 /  20  30   0  10
MKO   39  68  48  73 /  10  10   0  10
MIO   37  62  44  67 /  20  10   0  10
F10   41  71  51  75 /  10   0   0  10
HHW   41  72  51  79 /   0  10   0  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....21






000
FXUS64 KTSA 272101
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
401 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...
RIPPLES IN FAST NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING CHANCE
PRECIP EVENTS TO EASTERN OKLAHOMA  AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS TONIGHT AND AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT.  LITTLE
MORE SPRINKLES OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.  BETTER PRECIP
SOUTHEAST SUNDAY NIGHT.

MAJORITY OF SATURDAY / SUNDAY DRY. WARM SATURDAY
AND WARMER SUNDAY.

H500 WAVE IN SOUTHWEST WORKING UNDER UPPER RIDGE
OVER NORTHERN ROCKIES / PLAINS EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THIS KEEPS PRECIP / THUNDER CHANCES...ESPECIALLY
SOUTH MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NEXT WEEK.     GW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   43  71  53  73 /  10   0   0  10
FSM   40  67  46  74 /  10  10   0  10
MLC   40  72  54  77 /   0   0   0  10
BVO   36  70  45  72 /  10   0   0  10
FYV   34  60  42  68 /  20  20   0  10
BYV   34  54  39  66 /  20  30   0  10
MKO   39  68  48  73 /  10  10   0  10
MIO   37  62  44  67 /  20  10   0  10
F10   41  71  51  75 /  10   0   0  10
HHW   41  72  51  79 /   0  10   0  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....21





000
FXUS64 KTSA 272101
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
401 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...
RIPPLES IN FAST NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING CHANCE
PRECIP EVENTS TO EASTERN OKLAHOMA  AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS TONIGHT AND AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT.  LITTLE
MORE SPRINKLES OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.  BETTER PRECIP
SOUTHEAST SUNDAY NIGHT.

MAJORITY OF SATURDAY / SUNDAY DRY. WARM SATURDAY
AND WARMER SUNDAY.

H500 WAVE IN SOUTHWEST WORKING UNDER UPPER RIDGE
OVER NORTHERN ROCKIES / PLAINS EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THIS KEEPS PRECIP / THUNDER CHANCES...ESPECIALLY
SOUTH MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NEXT WEEK.     GW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   43  71  53  73 /  10   0   0  10
FSM   40  67  46  74 /  10  10   0  10
MLC   40  72  54  77 /   0   0   0  10
BVO   36  70  45  72 /  10   0   0  10
FYV   34  60  42  68 /  20  20   0  10
BYV   34  54  39  66 /  20  30   0  10
MKO   39  68  48  73 /  10  10   0  10
MIO   37  62  44  67 /  20  10   0  10
F10   41  71  51  75 /  10   0   0  10
HHW   41  72  51  79 /   0  10   0  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....21





000
FXUS64 KTSA 272101
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
401 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...
RIPPLES IN FAST NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING CHANCE
PRECIP EVENTS TO EASTERN OKLAHOMA  AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS TONIGHT AND AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT.  LITTLE
MORE SPRINKLES OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.  BETTER PRECIP
SOUTHEAST SUNDAY NIGHT.

MAJORITY OF SATURDAY / SUNDAY DRY. WARM SATURDAY
AND WARMER SUNDAY.

H500 WAVE IN SOUTHWEST WORKING UNDER UPPER RIDGE
OVER NORTHERN ROCKIES / PLAINS EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THIS KEEPS PRECIP / THUNDER CHANCES...ESPECIALLY
SOUTH MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NEXT WEEK.     GW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   43  71  53  73 /  10   0   0  10
FSM   40  67  46  74 /  10  10   0  10
MLC   40  72  54  77 /   0   0   0  10
BVO   36  70  45  72 /  10   0   0  10
FYV   34  60  42  68 /  20  20   0  10
BYV   34  54  39  66 /  20  30   0  10
MKO   39  68  48  73 /  10  10   0  10
MIO   37  62  44  67 /  20  10   0  10
F10   41  71  51  75 /  10   0   0  10
HHW   41  72  51  79 /   0  10   0  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....21





000
FXUS64 KTSA 272101
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
401 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...
RIPPLES IN FAST NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING CHANCE
PRECIP EVENTS TO EASTERN OKLAHOMA  AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS TONIGHT AND AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT.  LITTLE
MORE SPRINKLES OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.  BETTER PRECIP
SOUTHEAST SUNDAY NIGHT.

MAJORITY OF SATURDAY / SUNDAY DRY. WARM SATURDAY
AND WARMER SUNDAY.

H500 WAVE IN SOUTHWEST WORKING UNDER UPPER RIDGE
OVER NORTHERN ROCKIES / PLAINS EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THIS KEEPS PRECIP / THUNDER CHANCES...ESPECIALLY
SOUTH MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NEXT WEEK.     GW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   43  71  53  73 /  10   0   0  10
FSM   40  67  46  74 /  10  10   0  10
MLC   40  72  54  77 /   0   0   0  10
BVO   36  70  45  72 /  10   0   0  10
FYV   34  60  42  68 /  20  20   0  10
BYV   34  54  39  66 /  20  30   0  10
MKO   39  68  48  73 /  10  10   0  10
MIO   37  62  44  67 /  20  10   0  10
F10   41  71  51  75 /  10   0   0  10
HHW   41  72  51  79 /   0  10   0  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....21





000
FXUS64 KOUN 272018
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
318 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...
FORECAST FOCUS IS ON TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND... AND THE RETURN OF
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BEGINNING SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK.

MILD... MARCH LIKE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. REMAINING UNDER NW FLOW ALOFT... WITH THE EASTERN TROUGH
SLOW TO EXIT THE NORTHEAST... ANOTHER WEAK H500 SHORT WAVE WILL RIDE
DOWN THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EMBEDDED IN THE LARGER TROUGH.
THIS WILL ONCE AGAIN RESULT IN A WEAK COLD FRONT... NOT AS STRONG AS
LAST NIGHTS... CROSSING THE SRN PLAINS. IN RESPONSE... WE COULD SEE
SOME LIGHT SPRINKLES DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL OK.
HOWEVER... LOW/MID LEVEL MOISTURE IS NOT AS PLENTIFUL AS THIS
MORNING... SO COVERAGE MAY BE LESS THAN TODAY... BUT A FEW MAY SEE
SOME DROPS ON WINDSHIELDS DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE ACROSS
LOCATIONS ALONG I-35 AND NORTH AND EAST OF THE OKC METRO. TEMPS WILL
BE COOL AGAIN OVERNIGHT... WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S IN THE N/NE TO
THE MID 40S ACROSS WRN OK TO WRN N TX.

TEMPS WILL REBOUND THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A SHORT RIDGE DEVELOPS
OVER THE SW U.S AND S/SWRLY FLOW RETURNS. TEMPS ACROSS WRN N TX AND
SWRN OK MAY BE A 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL IN SOME LOCATIONS BOTH
SAT AND SUN. MOISTURE RETURN WILL ALSO INCREASE AS THE RIDGE
DIMINISHES INTO MONDAY AND AN H500 SHORT WAVE TROUGH PUSHES ACROSS NM
AND NRN MEXICO INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN BY TUESDAY. THE GFS REMAINS
THE MORE BULLISH SOLUTION IN COMPARO TO THE ECMWF... BUT BOTH
DEVELOP SOME -TSRA ALONG THE ERN RED RIVER VALLEY SUN NIGHT INTO MON
AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLIDES SOUTH INTO THE ARKLATEX. THE CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE INTO TUESDAY AS THE UPPER
WAVE APPROACHES... WITH THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE WARM
FRONT AS IT LIFTS OUT OF NRN TX INTO OK. CONSISTENCY BETWEEN
SOLUTIONS IS OKAY... NOT GREAT... BUT THE GENERAL IDEA IS THE SAME.
EXACT LOCATION OF PRECIP REMAINS THE CHALLENGE... WITH THE GFS
DEVELOPING MORE QPF... WHICH CONTINUES TO BE ITS TREND AS OF LATE.
CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING FOR THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...
WITH THE BEST CHANCES ALONG SRN OK/NRN TX AS THE FRONT LIFTS NORTH.
INSTABILITY WILL BE ENOUGH FOR THUNDER... BUT SHEAR LOOKS
MARGINAL... 25 TO 35KTS... SO SEVERE POTENTIAL LOOKS LOW AT THE
MOMENT.

LATER IN THE WEEK... LATE WED INTO THU... A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH IN
FROM THE NORTH... WITH ANOTHER CHANCE AT THUNDERSTORMS. AT THE
MOMENT... MOISTURE RECOVERY MAY BE SLOW DUE TO THE EXIT OF THE FIRST
SYSTEM... BUT ENOUGH MAY EXIST FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT. GUIDANCE IS IN
OKAY AGREEMENT... BUT IT IS A BIT TOO FAR OUT FOR ANY SPECIFICS.

JTK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  44  74  52  77 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         43  78  50  78 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  46  80  54  84 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           42  81  47  75 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     40  71  47  75 /  10   0   0   0
DURANT OK         43  73  51  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$



000
FXUS64 KOUN 272018
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
318 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...
FORECAST FOCUS IS ON TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND... AND THE RETURN OF
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BEGINNING SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK.

MILD... MARCH LIKE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. REMAINING UNDER NW FLOW ALOFT... WITH THE EASTERN TROUGH
SLOW TO EXIT THE NORTHEAST... ANOTHER WEAK H500 SHORT WAVE WILL RIDE
DOWN THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EMBEDDED IN THE LARGER TROUGH.
THIS WILL ONCE AGAIN RESULT IN A WEAK COLD FRONT... NOT AS STRONG AS
LAST NIGHTS... CROSSING THE SRN PLAINS. IN RESPONSE... WE COULD SEE
SOME LIGHT SPRINKLES DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL OK.
HOWEVER... LOW/MID LEVEL MOISTURE IS NOT AS PLENTIFUL AS THIS
MORNING... SO COVERAGE MAY BE LESS THAN TODAY... BUT A FEW MAY SEE
SOME DROPS ON WINDSHIELDS DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE ACROSS
LOCATIONS ALONG I-35 AND NORTH AND EAST OF THE OKC METRO. TEMPS WILL
BE COOL AGAIN OVERNIGHT... WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S IN THE N/NE TO
THE MID 40S ACROSS WRN OK TO WRN N TX.

TEMPS WILL REBOUND THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A SHORT RIDGE DEVELOPS
OVER THE SW U.S AND S/SWRLY FLOW RETURNS. TEMPS ACROSS WRN N TX AND
SWRN OK MAY BE A 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL IN SOME LOCATIONS BOTH
SAT AND SUN. MOISTURE RETURN WILL ALSO INCREASE AS THE RIDGE
DIMINISHES INTO MONDAY AND AN H500 SHORT WAVE TROUGH PUSHES ACROSS NM
AND NRN MEXICO INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN BY TUESDAY. THE GFS REMAINS
THE MORE BULLISH SOLUTION IN COMPARO TO THE ECMWF... BUT BOTH
DEVELOP SOME -TSRA ALONG THE ERN RED RIVER VALLEY SUN NIGHT INTO MON
AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLIDES SOUTH INTO THE ARKLATEX. THE CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE INTO TUESDAY AS THE UPPER
WAVE APPROACHES... WITH THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE WARM
FRONT AS IT LIFTS OUT OF NRN TX INTO OK. CONSISTENCY BETWEEN
SOLUTIONS IS OKAY... NOT GREAT... BUT THE GENERAL IDEA IS THE SAME.
EXACT LOCATION OF PRECIP REMAINS THE CHALLENGE... WITH THE GFS
DEVELOPING MORE QPF... WHICH CONTINUES TO BE ITS TREND AS OF LATE.
CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING FOR THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...
WITH THE BEST CHANCES ALONG SRN OK/NRN TX AS THE FRONT LIFTS NORTH.
INSTABILITY WILL BE ENOUGH FOR THUNDER... BUT SHEAR LOOKS
MARGINAL... 25 TO 35KTS... SO SEVERE POTENTIAL LOOKS LOW AT THE
MOMENT.

LATER IN THE WEEK... LATE WED INTO THU... A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH IN
FROM THE NORTH... WITH ANOTHER CHANCE AT THUNDERSTORMS. AT THE
MOMENT... MOISTURE RECOVERY MAY BE SLOW DUE TO THE EXIT OF THE FIRST
SYSTEM... BUT ENOUGH MAY EXIST FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT. GUIDANCE IS IN
OKAY AGREEMENT... BUT IT IS A BIT TOO FAR OUT FOR ANY SPECIFICS.

JTK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  44  74  52  77 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         43  78  50  78 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  46  80  54  84 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           42  81  47  75 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     40  71  47  75 /  10   0   0   0
DURANT OK         43  73  51  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$




000
FXUS64 KOUN 271745 AAA
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1245 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.AVIATION...27/18Z TAF ISSUANCE...
MVFR CEILINGS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING AS A STREAM OF LOW
CLOUDS CONTINUE TO MAKE THEIR WAY SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS. CEILINGS SHOULD BEGIN TO LIFT THROUGH THE EVENING... WITH
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
BREEZY NORTH WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON... RELAXING
AND SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH/SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE EVENING. WINDS
WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT BACK TO THE NORTH... REMAINING LIGHT...
THROUGH THE MORNING ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA.

JTK

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1034 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
LIGHT RAIN/SPRINKLES ARE STARTING TO DIMINISH ALONG THE BAND FROM
ENID TO ATOKA. THIS TREND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE...AND ALL RAIN
SHOULD END SHORTLY AFTER NOON.

AT THIS POINT...THE FORECAST APPEARS TO BE IN GOOD SHAPE...AND NO
UPDATES ARE PLANNED THIS MORNING.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 747 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

UPDATE...
UPDATE TO PRECIP/WX...

DISCUSSION...
OBSERVING RADAR TRENDS THIS AM ACROSS NRN INTO CENTRAL OK...
EXPANDED THE CHANCE FOR SPRINKLES ACROSS THE AREA... PRIMARILY
ACROSS NRN INTO E CENTRAL OK. WATCHING OBS ACROSS KS INTO NRN
OK... NO REPORTS OF MEASURABLE PRECIP HAVE BEEN REPORTED EXCEPT
FOR KEND AT 1150Z. WILL HOLD OF ON CONDITIONAL POPS FOR THE NOW...
AS THIS ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS AND
THOSE LUCKY ENOUGH TO GET A FEW DROPS WILL LIKELY ONLY SEE A FEW
BRIEF SPRINKLES OR A FEW RAIN DROPS.

JTK

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 649 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

AVIATION...
12Z TAFS...NORTH WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT WILL BECOME LIGHT
AND VARIABLE BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. A SOUTH WIND WILL RETURN
DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MEANWHILE...MAINLY VFR CEILINGS
WILL PREVAIL WITH MID CLOUDS. PNC WILL HAVE MFVR CEILINGS THIS
MORNING. CLOUDS WILL DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT MID CLOUDS MAY
INCREASE AGAIN OVERNIGHT.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 315 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
NORTHERLY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
INTO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS. WINDS WILL QUICKLY SHIFT BACK TO
THE SOUTH HOWEVER LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. MEANWHILE...
SPRINKLES MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH MID-LEVEL CLOUDS THIS MORNING...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.

A FAST MOVING SYSTEM WILL ENTER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST LATE
TONIGHT AND WILL BE LOCATED OVER THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY
EARLY SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL PUSH ANOTHER COLD FRONT THROUGH
MOST OF OKLAHOMA. THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT IN
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AS THE SURFACE BOUNDARY
ENCOUNTERS BETTER MOISTURE.

A TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES AND MEXICO...IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS TEXAS ON TUESDAY. THIS WILL BRING AN
INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND STORM/SHOWER CHANCES...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS.

A WEAK FRONT WILL BRING ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS
MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA ON THURSDAY...WITH
PERHAPS A STRONGER FRONT ARRIVING FRIDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  59  44  74  52 /  20   0   0   0
HOBART OK         64  43  78  50 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  66  46  80  54 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           66  42  81  47 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     57  40  71  47 /  30  10   0   0
DURANT OK         62  43  73  51 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

23/04/04



000
FXUS64 KOUN 271745 AAA
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1245 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.AVIATION...27/18Z TAF ISSUANCE...
MVFR CEILINGS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING AS A STREAM OF LOW
CLOUDS CONTINUE TO MAKE THEIR WAY SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS. CEILINGS SHOULD BEGIN TO LIFT THROUGH THE EVENING... WITH
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
BREEZY NORTH WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON... RELAXING
AND SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH/SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE EVENING. WINDS
WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT BACK TO THE NORTH... REMAINING LIGHT...
THROUGH THE MORNING ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA.

JTK

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1034 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
LIGHT RAIN/SPRINKLES ARE STARTING TO DIMINISH ALONG THE BAND FROM
ENID TO ATOKA. THIS TREND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE...AND ALL RAIN
SHOULD END SHORTLY AFTER NOON.

AT THIS POINT...THE FORECAST APPEARS TO BE IN GOOD SHAPE...AND NO
UPDATES ARE PLANNED THIS MORNING.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 747 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

UPDATE...
UPDATE TO PRECIP/WX...

DISCUSSION...
OBSERVING RADAR TRENDS THIS AM ACROSS NRN INTO CENTRAL OK...
EXPANDED THE CHANCE FOR SPRINKLES ACROSS THE AREA... PRIMARILY
ACROSS NRN INTO E CENTRAL OK. WATCHING OBS ACROSS KS INTO NRN
OK... NO REPORTS OF MEASURABLE PRECIP HAVE BEEN REPORTED EXCEPT
FOR KEND AT 1150Z. WILL HOLD OF ON CONDITIONAL POPS FOR THE NOW...
AS THIS ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS AND
THOSE LUCKY ENOUGH TO GET A FEW DROPS WILL LIKELY ONLY SEE A FEW
BRIEF SPRINKLES OR A FEW RAIN DROPS.

JTK

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 649 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

AVIATION...
12Z TAFS...NORTH WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT WILL BECOME LIGHT
AND VARIABLE BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. A SOUTH WIND WILL RETURN
DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MEANWHILE...MAINLY VFR CEILINGS
WILL PREVAIL WITH MID CLOUDS. PNC WILL HAVE MFVR CEILINGS THIS
MORNING. CLOUDS WILL DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT MID CLOUDS MAY
INCREASE AGAIN OVERNIGHT.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 315 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
NORTHERLY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
INTO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS. WINDS WILL QUICKLY SHIFT BACK TO
THE SOUTH HOWEVER LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. MEANWHILE...
SPRINKLES MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH MID-LEVEL CLOUDS THIS MORNING...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.

A FAST MOVING SYSTEM WILL ENTER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST LATE
TONIGHT AND WILL BE LOCATED OVER THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY
EARLY SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL PUSH ANOTHER COLD FRONT THROUGH
MOST OF OKLAHOMA. THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT IN
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AS THE SURFACE BOUNDARY
ENCOUNTERS BETTER MOISTURE.

A TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES AND MEXICO...IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS TEXAS ON TUESDAY. THIS WILL BRING AN
INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND STORM/SHOWER CHANCES...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS.

A WEAK FRONT WILL BRING ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS
MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA ON THURSDAY...WITH
PERHAPS A STRONGER FRONT ARRIVING FRIDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  59  44  74  52 /  20   0   0   0
HOBART OK         64  43  78  50 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  66  46  80  54 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           66  42  81  47 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     57  40  71  47 /  30  10   0   0
DURANT OK         62  43  73  51 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

23/04/04




000
FXUS64 KOUN 271745 AAA
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1245 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.AVIATION...27/18Z TAF ISSUANCE...
MVFR CEILINGS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING AS A STREAM OF LOW
CLOUDS CONTINUE TO MAKE THEIR WAY SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS. CEILINGS SHOULD BEGIN TO LIFT THROUGH THE EVENING... WITH
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
BREEZY NORTH WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON... RELAXING
AND SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH/SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE EVENING. WINDS
WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT BACK TO THE NORTH... REMAINING LIGHT...
THROUGH THE MORNING ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA.

JTK

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1034 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
LIGHT RAIN/SPRINKLES ARE STARTING TO DIMINISH ALONG THE BAND FROM
ENID TO ATOKA. THIS TREND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE...AND ALL RAIN
SHOULD END SHORTLY AFTER NOON.

AT THIS POINT...THE FORECAST APPEARS TO BE IN GOOD SHAPE...AND NO
UPDATES ARE PLANNED THIS MORNING.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 747 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

UPDATE...
UPDATE TO PRECIP/WX...

DISCUSSION...
OBSERVING RADAR TRENDS THIS AM ACROSS NRN INTO CENTRAL OK...
EXPANDED THE CHANCE FOR SPRINKLES ACROSS THE AREA... PRIMARILY
ACROSS NRN INTO E CENTRAL OK. WATCHING OBS ACROSS KS INTO NRN
OK... NO REPORTS OF MEASURABLE PRECIP HAVE BEEN REPORTED EXCEPT
FOR KEND AT 1150Z. WILL HOLD OF ON CONDITIONAL POPS FOR THE NOW...
AS THIS ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS AND
THOSE LUCKY ENOUGH TO GET A FEW DROPS WILL LIKELY ONLY SEE A FEW
BRIEF SPRINKLES OR A FEW RAIN DROPS.

JTK

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 649 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

AVIATION...
12Z TAFS...NORTH WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT WILL BECOME LIGHT
AND VARIABLE BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. A SOUTH WIND WILL RETURN
DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MEANWHILE...MAINLY VFR CEILINGS
WILL PREVAIL WITH MID CLOUDS. PNC WILL HAVE MFVR CEILINGS THIS
MORNING. CLOUDS WILL DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT MID CLOUDS MAY
INCREASE AGAIN OVERNIGHT.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 315 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
NORTHERLY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
INTO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS. WINDS WILL QUICKLY SHIFT BACK TO
THE SOUTH HOWEVER LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. MEANWHILE...
SPRINKLES MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH MID-LEVEL CLOUDS THIS MORNING...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.

A FAST MOVING SYSTEM WILL ENTER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST LATE
TONIGHT AND WILL BE LOCATED OVER THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY
EARLY SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL PUSH ANOTHER COLD FRONT THROUGH
MOST OF OKLAHOMA. THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT IN
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AS THE SURFACE BOUNDARY
ENCOUNTERS BETTER MOISTURE.

A TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES AND MEXICO...IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS TEXAS ON TUESDAY. THIS WILL BRING AN
INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND STORM/SHOWER CHANCES...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS.

A WEAK FRONT WILL BRING ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS
MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA ON THURSDAY...WITH
PERHAPS A STRONGER FRONT ARRIVING FRIDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  59  44  74  52 /  20   0   0   0
HOBART OK         64  43  78  50 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  66  46  80  54 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           66  42  81  47 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     57  40  71  47 /  30  10   0   0
DURANT OK         62  43  73  51 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

23/04/04



000
FXUS64 KOUN 271745 AAA
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1245 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.AVIATION...27/18Z TAF ISSUANCE...
MVFR CEILINGS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING AS A STREAM OF LOW
CLOUDS CONTINUE TO MAKE THEIR WAY SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS. CEILINGS SHOULD BEGIN TO LIFT THROUGH THE EVENING... WITH
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
BREEZY NORTH WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON... RELAXING
AND SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH/SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE EVENING. WINDS
WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT BACK TO THE NORTH... REMAINING LIGHT...
THROUGH THE MORNING ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA.

JTK

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1034 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
LIGHT RAIN/SPRINKLES ARE STARTING TO DIMINISH ALONG THE BAND FROM
ENID TO ATOKA. THIS TREND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE...AND ALL RAIN
SHOULD END SHORTLY AFTER NOON.

AT THIS POINT...THE FORECAST APPEARS TO BE IN GOOD SHAPE...AND NO
UPDATES ARE PLANNED THIS MORNING.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 747 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

UPDATE...
UPDATE TO PRECIP/WX...

DISCUSSION...
OBSERVING RADAR TRENDS THIS AM ACROSS NRN INTO CENTRAL OK...
EXPANDED THE CHANCE FOR SPRINKLES ACROSS THE AREA... PRIMARILY
ACROSS NRN INTO E CENTRAL OK. WATCHING OBS ACROSS KS INTO NRN
OK... NO REPORTS OF MEASURABLE PRECIP HAVE BEEN REPORTED EXCEPT
FOR KEND AT 1150Z. WILL HOLD OF ON CONDITIONAL POPS FOR THE NOW...
AS THIS ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS AND
THOSE LUCKY ENOUGH TO GET A FEW DROPS WILL LIKELY ONLY SEE A FEW
BRIEF SPRINKLES OR A FEW RAIN DROPS.

JTK

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 649 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

AVIATION...
12Z TAFS...NORTH WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT WILL BECOME LIGHT
AND VARIABLE BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. A SOUTH WIND WILL RETURN
DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MEANWHILE...MAINLY VFR CEILINGS
WILL PREVAIL WITH MID CLOUDS. PNC WILL HAVE MFVR CEILINGS THIS
MORNING. CLOUDS WILL DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT MID CLOUDS MAY
INCREASE AGAIN OVERNIGHT.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 315 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
NORTHERLY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY...AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
INTO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS. WINDS WILL QUICKLY SHIFT BACK TO
THE SOUTH HOWEVER LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. MEANWHILE...
SPRINKLES MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH MID-LEVEL CLOUDS THIS MORNING...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.

A FAST MOVING SYSTEM WILL ENTER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST LATE
TONIGHT AND WILL BE LOCATED OVER THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY
EARLY SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL PUSH ANOTHER COLD FRONT THROUGH
MOST OF OKLAHOMA. THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT IN
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AS THE SURFACE BOUNDARY
ENCOUNTERS BETTER MOISTURE.

A TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES AND MEXICO...IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS TEXAS ON TUESDAY. THIS WILL BRING AN
INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND STORM/SHOWER CHANCES...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS.

A WEAK FRONT WILL BRING ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS
MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA ON THURSDAY...WITH
PERHAPS A STRONGER FRONT ARRIVING FRIDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  59  44  74  52 /  20   0   0   0
HOBART OK         64  43  78  50 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  66  46  80  54 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           66  42  81  47 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     57  40  71  47 /  30  10   0   0
DURANT OK         62  43  73  51 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

23/04/04




000
FXUS64 KTSA 271739
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1239 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1129 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
A CHILLY LATE MARCH DAY IS IN PROGRESS ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. HAVE MADE SOME MINOR CHANGES TO AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES AND SKY COVER BUT THE REST OF THE FORECAST LOOKS GOOD
AT THIS TIME.

UPDATE ON THE WAY.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.

&&

$$

AVIATION...05






000
FXUS64 KTSA 271739
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1239 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1129 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
A CHILLY LATE MARCH DAY IS IN PROGRESS ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. HAVE MADE SOME MINOR CHANGES TO AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES AND SKY COVER BUT THE REST OF THE FORECAST LOOKS GOOD
AT THIS TIME.

UPDATE ON THE WAY.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.

&&

$$

AVIATION...05






000
FXUS64 KTSA 271739
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1239 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1129 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
A CHILLY LATE MARCH DAY IS IN PROGRESS ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. HAVE MADE SOME MINOR CHANGES TO AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES AND SKY COVER BUT THE REST OF THE FORECAST LOOKS GOOD
AT THIS TIME.

UPDATE ON THE WAY.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.

&&

$$

AVIATION...05






000
FXUS64 KTSA 271739
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1239 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1129 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
A CHILLY LATE MARCH DAY IS IN PROGRESS ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. HAVE MADE SOME MINOR CHANGES TO AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES AND SKY COVER BUT THE REST OF THE FORECAST LOOKS GOOD
AT THIS TIME.

UPDATE ON THE WAY.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.

&&

$$

AVIATION...05






000
FXUS64 KTSA 271739
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1239 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1129 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
A CHILLY LATE MARCH DAY IS IN PROGRESS ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. HAVE MADE SOME MINOR CHANGES TO AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES AND SKY COVER BUT THE REST OF THE FORECAST LOOKS GOOD
AT THIS TIME.

UPDATE ON THE WAY.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.

&&

$$

AVIATION...05






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