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000
FLUS44 KTSA 302200
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
500 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
500 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL INCREASES THURSDAY...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
KANSAS IN RESPONSE TO AN INCREASING LOW LEVEL JET. THESE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY MOVE INTO PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA TO THE
NORTH AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 44...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
ALTHOUGH WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED...THERE IS A
LIMITED RISK OF AN ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORM.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ONGOING WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...PRIMARILY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 44
CORRIDOR. A LIMITED POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS
WILL CONTINUE BEFORE THE STORMS BEGIN TO DIMINISH BY MID MORNING.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE AGAIN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY...WITH
SOME SEVERE RISK DUE TO INCREASING INSTABILITY AND SHEAR.

A GREATER THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST AND
EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...AND INTO NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...AS THE COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION.
INSTABILITY AND BOTH LOW LEVEL AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BE
SUFFICIENT FOR LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND PERHAPS AN
ISOLATED TORNADO. THE THUNDERSTORM AND SEVERE WEATHER THREATS
SHOULD DIMINISH SUBSTANTIALLY BY LATE THURSDAY EVENING AS DRIER
AIR MOVES IN BEHIND THE FRONT. DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST
THEREAFTER INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$






000
FLUS44 KTSA 302200
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
500 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
500 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL INCREASES THURSDAY...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
KANSAS IN RESPONSE TO AN INCREASING LOW LEVEL JET. THESE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY MOVE INTO PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA TO THE
NORTH AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 44...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
ALTHOUGH WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED...THERE IS A
LIMITED RISK OF AN ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORM.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ONGOING WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...PRIMARILY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 44
CORRIDOR. A LIMITED POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS
WILL CONTINUE BEFORE THE STORMS BEGIN TO DIMINISH BY MID MORNING.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE AGAIN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY...WITH
SOME SEVERE RISK DUE TO INCREASING INSTABILITY AND SHEAR.

A GREATER THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST AND
EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...AND INTO NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...AS THE COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION.
INSTABILITY AND BOTH LOW LEVEL AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BE
SUFFICIENT FOR LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND PERHAPS AN
ISOLATED TORNADO. THE THUNDERSTORM AND SEVERE WEATHER THREATS
SHOULD DIMINISH SUBSTANTIALLY BY LATE THURSDAY EVENING AS DRIER
AIR MOVES IN BEHIND THE FRONT. DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST
THEREAFTER INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$







000
FLUS44 KTSA 301758
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1258 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1258 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...GENERALLY NORTHWEST OF I 44.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
THERE IS A VERY LIMITED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS... MAINLY AFTER
MIDNIGHT TO THE NORTHWEST OF TULSA. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS LATE TONIGHT. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY
MAKE IT FAR ENOUGH EAST TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF TULSA.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.


EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING NEAR
THE KANSAS BORDER WEDNESDAY MORNING... WITH A LOW SEVERE THREAT
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ACTIVITY. THIS SHOULD DISSIPATE EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE AGAIN FORECAST FOR LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT AND UPPER DISTURBANCE.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ALONG THE FRONT AS IT MOVES
ACROSS THE REGION LATER IN THE DAY THURSDAY AND INTO THURSDAY
EVENING. THE ACTIVITY LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY WILL HAVE
THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL OF BEING SEVERE... AS THE COMBINATION OF
SHEAR AND INSTABILITY WILL BE MOST FAVORABLE AT THAT TIME. DAMAGING
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS.


WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$







000
FLUS44 KTSA 301758
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1258 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1258 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...GENERALLY NORTHWEST OF I 44.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
THERE IS A VERY LIMITED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS... MAINLY AFTER
MIDNIGHT TO THE NORTHWEST OF TULSA. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS LATE TONIGHT. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY
MAKE IT FAR ENOUGH EAST TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF TULSA.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.


EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING NEAR
THE KANSAS BORDER WEDNESDAY MORNING... WITH A LOW SEVERE THREAT
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ACTIVITY. THIS SHOULD DISSIPATE EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE AGAIN FORECAST FOR LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT AND UPPER DISTURBANCE.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ALONG THE FRONT AS IT MOVES
ACROSS THE REGION LATER IN THE DAY THURSDAY AND INTO THURSDAY
EVENING. THE ACTIVITY LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY WILL HAVE
THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL OF BEING SEVERE... AS THE COMBINATION OF
SHEAR AND INSTABILITY WILL BE MOST FAVORABLE AT THAT TIME. DAMAGING
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS.


WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$





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000
FLUS44 KSHV 301618
HWOSHV

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1118 AM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-011630-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-
UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE LA-
NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-
FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-
HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX-
1118 AM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
TODAY...MAINLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20. HOWEVER...NO HAZARDOUS
WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION AS THE
HEAT CONTINUES TO BUILD AND SOUTHERLY WINDS HELP TO INCREASE SEA
BREEZE ACTIVITY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THEN BY LATE THURSDAY
INTO EARLY FRIDAY...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FOUR STATE
AREA WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AREA WIDE. A FEW STORMS
MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH TO PRODUCE SOME ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
HOWEVER...NO WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS
TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS AND STORM SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$

12




000
FLUS44 KSHV 301618
HWOSHV

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1118 AM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-011630-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-
UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE LA-
NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-
FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-
HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX-
1118 AM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
TODAY...MAINLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20. HOWEVER...NO HAZARDOUS
WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION AS THE
HEAT CONTINUES TO BUILD AND SOUTHERLY WINDS HELP TO INCREASE SEA
BREEZE ACTIVITY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THEN BY LATE THURSDAY
INTO EARLY FRIDAY...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FOUR STATE
AREA WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AREA WIDE. A FEW STORMS
MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH TO PRODUCE SOME ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
HOWEVER...NO WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS
TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS AND STORM SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$

12





000
FLUS44 KTSA 301024
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
524 AM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
524 AM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHWEST OF A PAWNEE TO BARTLESVILLE LINE.
ONSET...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...

THERE IS A VERY LIMITED RISK OF MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL MAINLY
AFTER MIDNIGHT TO THE NORTHWEST OF TULSA. AFTER A DRY DAY
TODAY...ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO
DEVELOP OVER NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS LATE
TONIGHT. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY MAKE IT FAR ENOUGH EAST TO
AFFECT PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF
TULSA.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY THRU MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

SOME LINGERING ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED STORMS WILL LIKELY BE
ONGOING NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH A LOW SEVERE
THREAT. THE BULK OF THE DAY WEDNESDAY SHOULD BE QUIET.

STORMS ARE FORECAST TO FIRE LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT AND UPPER DISTURBANCE. MORE STORMS ARE
CERTAINLY POSSIBLE ALONG THE FRONT AS IT MOVES THRU LATER IN THE
DAY ON THURSDAY AND INTO THURSDAY EVENING. THE STORMS LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY WILL HAVE THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL OF
BEING SEVERE...AS THE COMBINATION OF SHEAR AND INSTABILITY WILL BE
MOST FAVORABLE. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN
THREATS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$

LACY



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000
FLUS44 KLZK 301000
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-011000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
500 AM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

ON WEDNESDAY AN UPPER LEVEL AND SURFACE SYSTEM BEGIN TO APPROACH
ARKANSAS AND DEVELOP ISOLATED CONVECTION...INITIALLY IN NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS...THEN GRADUALLY INTO THE STATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS
STORM SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS ARKANSAS ON
THURSDAY...AND DEVELOP SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THE STORM SYSTEM...WITH LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS THE
GREATEST THREAT. THE SYSTEM AND FRONT WILL MOVE OUT OF ARKANSAS
FRIDAY MORNING TAKING THE STORMS OUT OF THE STATE. DRY AND MUCH
COOLER WEATHER WILL RETURN FOR THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

59




000
FLUS44 KLZK 301000
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-011000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
500 AM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

ON WEDNESDAY AN UPPER LEVEL AND SURFACE SYSTEM BEGIN TO APPROACH
ARKANSAS AND DEVELOP ISOLATED CONVECTION...INITIALLY IN NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS...THEN GRADUALLY INTO THE STATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS
STORM SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS ARKANSAS ON
THURSDAY...AND DEVELOP SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THE STORM SYSTEM...WITH LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS THE
GREATEST THREAT. THE SYSTEM AND FRONT WILL MOVE OUT OF ARKANSAS
FRIDAY MORNING TAKING THE STORMS OUT OF THE STATE. DRY AND MUCH
COOLER WEATHER WILL RETURN FOR THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

59




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000
FLUS44 KMEG 300827
HWOMEG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
327 AM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-011200-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-BENTON TN-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-
COAHOMA-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-
DUNKLIN-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-
HENDERSON-HENRY-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-
LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-
PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-
TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
327 AM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OUT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. SOME STORMS MAY BECOME
STRONG TO SEVERE. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN
THREATS FROM THESE STORMS. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE
STORMS FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY NIGHT ACROSS EASTERN
ARKANSAS AND THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.

$$

KRM






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